WEBVTT

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Alex Volkov: AI engineers are sleeping on the personal
agents renaissance explosions happening in

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the real world. It's kind of crazy.

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Nathan Benaich: Americans say that they're much, that they
much prefer living near a nuclear power

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plant than a data center,

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which is, uh, quite wild.

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Alex Volkov: Anthropic is also going to do an explosive
IPO.

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they reported an insane quarter, uh, 16.8
billion dollars, about

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45% from the second quarter increase.

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Omar Sanseviero: we've been doing optimizations for Gemma.

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We have been able to achieve over 100,000
tokens per second with the E2B, so our

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smallest model.

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Alex Volkov: Andrej Karpathy says

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6 billion people have barely touched an
LLM.

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Peter Gostev: I'm very pro rumor, but, you know, uh,
the- I'm also a psycho, so, you know,

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you don't have to be.

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Alex Volkov: Welcome to ThursdAI for October 15.

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Uh, I'm live from New York.

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Uh, my name is Alex Volkov, I'm an AI
evangelist with CoreWeave, and with me

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Wolfram Ravenwolf, also AI evangelist,
also from CoreWeave, and Peter Gostev,

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evals and model behavior at Arena.

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And I just spent 3 days at AI Engineer
here in New York.

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I can't wait to tell you guys all about
this.

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And while I was there, there was an
incredible week just blowing up, so, so we

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had to try and catch up.

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Uh, Meta shipped Muse Wonder,

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which was rumored

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by them as as this big watermelon model,
and it smells big.

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It definitely smells like a big model, and
you can use it right now in in Muse, and

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we're gonna talk about this. Uh, it's
number 2 on Arena, which is

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puts Meta Square in the Frontier Lab race.

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As we told you before multiple times,

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do not, under any circumstances, do not
bet against Zach.

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We told you. We told you this 2 years ago.

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We told you this after Llama 4 dropped, it
was a disaster, and we told you this, uh,

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when he started hiring people with soup.

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And so now we're gonna feel it.

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Peter, I think you you tested it out.

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I think you have some thoughts.

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Uh, would love to hear

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Peter Gostev: Yeah.

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Alex Volkov: from you.

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Peter Gostev: Yeah, maybe to, to differentiate, we do
have few different leaderboards, and they,

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they are second on the text arena,

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Alex Volkov: Mm-hmm.

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Peter Gostev: but they're actually 12th on the agent
arena.

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Alex Volkov: Interesting.

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Peter Gostev: Yeah, and it, it's kind of interesting to
interpret.

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I think we do have this kind of divergence
now going on.

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So, for example, Argon, uh, from Google as
well did really well on text.

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So it's actually first.

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Um, so you can roughly interpret it as,
how much people like to chat to the model.

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So it's interesting that there is a
divergence between what people want, who

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people want to talk to versus

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agentic capabilities and coding and all of
that, and it looks like it's different.

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So yeah, Argon is fourth on Agent Arena,
and Muse won the max, so it's not the full

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version.

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Alex Volkov: Mm-hmm.

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Peter Gostev: It's on, it's ranked 12th.

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Alex Volkov: Uh, very interesting. We, we also have to
talk about the whole thing where I saw the

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timeline,

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react negatively because, Muse Wonder
wasn't able to recreate the 3D scenes in,

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and people were like, oh no, this is a bad
model because it, it can't compete with

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Astra on like the 3GS thing.

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Uh, we have to address this because I
don't know if my assistant

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every day needs 3GS, so I don't know if
this is like a personal thing that I need

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my assistant to do. Okay, uh, what else?

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Okay, so folks, la- later today, Omar
Sanseviero from Google DeepMind joins us

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to talk about it, about Argon
specifically.

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We also have, thanks to Peter, we have,
Nathan Benaich from the State of AI Report

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joining us in an hour to talk about the
state of AI.

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Uh, they've been running this for a
decade, Peter?

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Is is that, is it's like a crazy thing.

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I'm really excited to hear from him.

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Peter Gostev: Yeah.

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Yeah, no, he's a, he's a great guy.

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Yeah, he's uh, he's been doing this for
ages.

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Yeah, I actually haven't checked how long,
but yeah, I've been reading it for many

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years.

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Alex Volkov: I think it's, I think it's a decade, but
Slopos prepared the news while I was

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running at the engineer, so hopefully
Slopos did a good job.

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Uh, good job, Slopos. Um,

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and then what else?

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Oh, Anthropic had an investor day.

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So before we only had rumors and leaks,
whatever.

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Anthropic is about to go IPO.

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We have some numbers

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and a specific thing for kind of the only
sponsor for this podcast, CoreWeave, with

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our Agent Lens product.

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Uh, Anthropic Claude code specifically now
supports open telemetry.

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So you literally can start running Claude
code and then see your results in, um,

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in Forge Agent Lens, which is super cool.

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I think I've seen some examples already,
uh, so we're definitely going to talk

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about this at least a little bit.

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And then, uh, so after Nathan Benaich,
we'll talk about state of the art, but

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I think

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since I was a little bit of out of the
loop, I do have a whole prep thing here.

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Would love to hear from you guys about the
highlight of the week.

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I think we'll start with Peter.

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Peter Gostev: Well, my highlight was, uh, I was at the
NVIDIA event yesterday.

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Alex Volkov: Oh, you met Jensen, right?

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Peter Gostev: Yeah, yeah, he's

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Alex Volkov: Tell us, tell us.

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Peter Gostev: He was watching on the show.

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Yeah, they they had a kind of, it was very
confusing afternoon because during the

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day, during the afternoon, they were
building, they had this kind of builders

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event, so it was all like, people you meet
at AI engineer conference kind of thing.

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So that was really fun.

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Alex Volkov: Yeah.

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Peter Gostev: Um, and yeah, met a few people from
Twitter who I haven't met before.

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They had like, uh, it was in the office in
London of a company that does like

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humanoid robots, uh, which I had no idea
that it was central London, you know, so

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that was awesome.

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Um, yeah, they were kind of a, it was all
about OpenClaw kind of thing, so they were

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kind of showing how they also launched the
laptop, right, the, the one with the kind

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of Spark,

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um, or, or rather did it start shipping or
something?

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I think they announced it a few months
ago, right?

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Alex Volkov: Mhm.

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Peter Gostev: Um, so yeah, a few cool things like that.

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Yeah, and then in the evening it was very
different.

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It was in a fancy,

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uh, kind of, uh, reception lounge, uh, of
a, I know there's a weird converted church

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building in, in London, and there was

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Alex Volkov: Nice.

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Peter Gostev: AI minister and all of the fancy people
from, I don't know,

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universities and industry and a very
different, very different vibe.

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Alex Volkov: That's so cool, man. I- it's kind of like,

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besides the AI engineer London I, that we
both went to and we recorded from, this is

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the first time that you're saying
something about, like, somewhere else

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outside of the States that gets me FOMO.

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I'm like, oh, that sounds super cool.

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I wish I would have been there.

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Uh, that's your highlight, obviously.

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Uh, the, folks are welcome to check out
Peter's timeline for this.

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Uh, you posted, uh, very well from there,
um, and you can tell us more about this.

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And then, Wolfram, what's your highlight?

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What's your one highlight from this week?

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Wolfram Ravenwolf: There's so much stuff, but if I have to
pick one, just one that I'm currently most

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excited about, it's an open weights
release, uh, of Fish Audio.

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Alex Volkov: Fish Audio.

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Wolfram Ravenwolf: Fish Audio Drama 3.

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Yeah, that is currently, I mean, there's
so much, I could na- name multiple things,

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but

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Alex Volkov: Since we're going to cover, Gemini 4
Argon, and you are our Google guy with the

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Pixel phone and whatever, and you didn't
choose, Argon, I think that I'm very

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interested to hear what you think about
Argon, since this wasn't your highlight.

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Uh, I think it's

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Wolfram Ravenwolf: Yeah, definitely. I can say something
about this.

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Alex Volkov: Okay, yeah, we'll definitely, we'll
definitely get to that.

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Um, highlight of the week for me.

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Um,

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okay, this is a highlight and a hot take.

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I've spent the last 3 days among the top
AI engineers, in New York, and also this

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AI engineer

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conference

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was adjacent

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to obviously Wall Street, so this was a

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finance and AI engineers together.

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So there's a lot of finance bros, a lot
of, big trading companies, a lot of banks.

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The highlight for me is I realized
something that I kind of Wolfram and I

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talked about on the show, Peter, maybe
with you as well.

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Um, AI engineers are sleeping on the
personal agents renaissance explosions

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happening in the real world. It's kind of
crazy.

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Uh, so folks who are listening to
ThursdAI, I know you guys are AI.

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Hopefully we do a good job to tell you
about the stuff that's happening outside

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of our bubble as well.

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It is kind of crazy. It feels to me that
because everybody's building their own

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harness, or they're so used to Claude Code
doing stuff for them, they're trying to

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force this,

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behavior into tools that don't need to do
these tools.

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Meanwhile, the world is changing for
normies because of Grokbot and Muse and to

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some extent bots, or dots,

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to some extent dots. Uh, and and this is
like the summary for me because I'm like

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very, personal assistant pilled or
personal agent pilled, and I see that I

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talk to folks and they don't have one
running around 24/7 doing stuff for them.

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this is my highlight of, this is not the
AI news, but this is news to me,

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that even the engineers that we talk to
every week for the past 3 years that love

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to stay at the forefront of what's
happening are missing a huge, huge thing

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that's happening. So hopefully we're here
to tell you about this huge new thing, and

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we're here to make sure that you guys
don't miss it, because I think it is huge.

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Because most of the normies that I talk to

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did hear about some of these, personal
agents.

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Wolfram, go ahead.

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Wolfram Ravenwolf: What really excited me this week, it's
another thing.

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It's not an AI release or something, but
it is something someone I very much

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respect said, because Linus Torvalds
really said that not using AI to create

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code is like,

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it's just a tool, so if you don't use it
and you are a smart person, you should be

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using it. He, he said if anyone is
submitting, as an example, it's, it's as

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crazy to say you can't use AI for doing
something.

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It's like saying you can't use a compiler
to create code, because that is also a

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machine tool that you are using, and you
are not using assembly, assembler to

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create the code. And that was an example,
and it's great to see the mindset change.

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I mean, he already, already had an open
mindset, and he says, as long as you

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understand the code, I don't care how you
create it.

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That is the important thing, and I think
more people should be thinking like that.

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It doesn't matter what tool has been used,
but did you, what you ever, whatever you

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created, do you understand it, and does it
work?

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That is the important thing, not how you
create it.

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Alex Volkov: The do you understand the part is
interesting.

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we should definitely talk about this
because I definitely slop.

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I turned my slop cannon towards some
projects that, Peter, I think you you can

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resonate. I have no idea what's going on
under the hood, as long as I see it and it

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works and it's dope. Uh, but I do agree,
there's some stuff, especially in critical

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infrastructure, so the folks at OpenAI,
uh,

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let me scratch that. The folks at AI
Engineer from banks, for example, there's

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a lot of stuff

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that needs to be human readable.

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There's a lot of stuff that they need to
understand everything.

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Somebody taught me the concept of

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toxic access,

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where

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the loan book, the master loan book record
or whatever, something inside the bank

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that, all the money lives in for
everybody.

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if there's people with access that can
change some stuff, that's like toxic

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access or something like that.

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Uh, so that, obviously, people need to
understand what's going on there and be

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accountable as well. let me run to TLDR,
which is a section of ThursdAI where we

00:10:48.772 --> 00:10:53.371
tell you briefly about the most
interesting, exciting parts of what

00:10:53.452 --> 00:10:55.891
happened, curated to our interests.

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I will, I think I'll stop saying that
soon, but we used to be able to cover all

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the news. Uh, I no longer, with fair
conscience, can say this is all everything

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that happened in the world of AI,

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but here is the most important thing that
happened in the world of AI.

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Let's go.

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All right, here's everything on ThursdAI
that we're covering on October 15th in

00:11:24.491 --> 00:11:26.291
about 5 minutes. Let's get into it.

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So we're live from New York after AI
Engineer, uh, where I think the highlight

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was Capital One

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Max Kanat Alexander made the best case
I've heard when code quality still

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matters. This is

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probably the MVP talk, and I would
recommend folks to, to tune into the live

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show and wait for the release.

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Um,

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swyx also came on stage, at his own
conference and talked about how to kill

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your SaaS, uh, hackathon.

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There was a hackathon this weekend, and 72
clones of big SaaSes, spent 100 billion

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tokens over this weekend to build, clones.

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And then Anthropic shows dynamic
workflows, as well.

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Let's see what else we have with the TLDR.

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Yeah, um,

00:12:04.812 --> 00:12:08.332
in big companies and APIs, Meta's first

00:12:09.052 --> 00:12:10.381
big and heavy and

00:12:11.782 --> 00:12:13.401
like frontier-ish

00:12:14.302 --> 00:12:15.772
model, or maybe frontier model.

00:12:15.872 --> 00:12:16.951
No, it's actually a frontier model.

00:12:17.351 --> 00:12:22.791
Meta Muse Wonder is number 2 on on Arena,
and this is the best version,

00:12:23.351 --> 00:12:23.691
uh,

00:12:24.432 --> 00:12:24.611
and

00:12:25.512 --> 00:12:27.032
it is now available in different tools.

00:12:27.112 --> 00:12:30.351
So it's available in MetaCode and Muse
only for subscribers.

00:12:30.872 --> 00:12:32.571
Uh, some builders are split about this.

00:12:33.152 --> 00:12:34.432
Also, there's 2 versions there.

00:12:34.552 --> 00:12:37.731
There's Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full.

00:12:38.672 --> 00:12:39.092
Um...

00:12:41.392 --> 00:12:42.532
Did you see what I did there?

00:12:42.632 --> 00:12:44.152
Muse Wonder and Muse Wonder Full?

00:12:44.192 --> 00:12:47.252
That's, I think, what they did, because
everybody calls their models Max on the

00:12:47.312 --> 00:12:50.551
Max reasoning. They call it Full, and it's
wonderful, and it's pretty cool.

00:12:51.032 --> 00:12:51.831
Uh, Gemini 4

00:12:52.432 --> 00:12:54.171
finally launched. Welcome, Gemini 4.

00:12:54.272 --> 00:12:57.712
Again, as a reminder, we'll have the folks
from Gemini, Omar, Sanseviero, and

00:12:57.832 --> 00:13:01.741
Geneviève, joining us in about an hour to
talk about Gemini 4 Argon.

00:13:01.822 --> 00:13:06.662
It's out for everyone. It's number one on
Arena and visual evals, uh, and we can't

00:13:06.702 --> 00:13:09.851
wait to talk to these folks, and hear all
about the use cases about Gemini.

00:13:10.412 --> 00:13:14.791
And then, uh, we talked about Anthropic
opening, open telemetry traces and talking

00:13:14.812 --> 00:13:15.632
about their IPO.

00:13:17.152 --> 00:13:20.391
And Agent SDK still runs on your cloud
subscription.

00:13:20.512 --> 00:13:21.831
Wolfram, hopefully you caught that.

00:13:22.352 --> 00:13:27.632
There was an update, and now there is an
Agent SDK, and, um, if you guys remember

00:13:27.712 --> 00:13:28.072
the whole

00:13:29.472 --> 00:13:31.431
maybe Anthropic will block you from the

00:13:32.672 --> 00:13:36.191
subscription service if you use it for
like Hermes Agent or whatever.

00:13:36.312 --> 00:13:36.491
Now

00:13:37.352 --> 00:13:40.551
we're back at the place where Agent SDK
supposedly runs on your Claude

00:13:40.632 --> 00:13:40.951
subscription.

00:13:41.632 --> 00:13:41.991
Um,

00:13:42.752 --> 00:13:46.991
Anthropic also showed investors a 6- 16.8
billion dollar quarter,

00:13:48.112 --> 00:13:52.951
uh, ahead of its reported November IPO,
and there's a rumor about Fable 5.5

00:13:53.152 --> 00:13:56.412
showing up in Azure, but it's unconfirmed,
just a rumor.

00:13:56.952 --> 00:13:57.232
Uh,

00:13:57.952 --> 00:14:01.811
folks from TypeSafe, this was just this
morning, this is like nearly breaking

00:14:01.872 --> 00:14:03.712
news, like like I think it's in the
breaking news category.

00:14:04.192 --> 00:14:08.711
Uh, Jev 1.14, which can now see images.

00:14:08.832 --> 00:14:13.721
So Image Jev, we heard that it's coming,
and Image Jev is now here, so it's now in

00:14:13.842 --> 00:14:14.201
preview.

00:14:14.962 --> 00:14:15.401
Um,

00:14:16.402 --> 00:14:17.971
and I think that's wonderful. I really
want to try it.

00:14:18.052 --> 00:14:21.312
I didn't have time running around, but
like Image GeV is something I want for, I

00:14:21.412 --> 00:14:22.291
waited for a long time.

00:14:23.092 --> 00:14:25.972
Microsoft shipped its inference chip Maia
300

00:14:26.652 --> 00:14:28.892
and its own decision model, Microsoft
Decision 1.

00:14:29.172 --> 00:14:33.132
So decision models are taking over, and
I'm very, very interested to see how,

00:14:33.512 --> 00:14:36.431
Decision 1 stacks up with ImageJev.

00:14:38.112 --> 00:14:39.312
Open source LLM.

00:14:39.792 --> 00:14:41.031
In open source LLM,

00:14:41.672 --> 00:14:43.291
4 open decision models

00:14:44.312 --> 00:14:48.231
was released, Amos 1, from 0.5B to 27B.

00:14:48.672 --> 00:14:52.131
Uh, they also answer with bounding boxes,
so it's not only Jev.

00:14:52.272 --> 00:14:54.631
Jev answers with bounding boxes, so do
these models.

00:14:55.232 --> 00:14:55.692
Uh...

00:14:57.492 --> 00:14:57.912
haven't,

00:14:58.585 --> 00:15:00.171
I haven't had the time to test them.

00:15:00.612 --> 00:15:06.592
MiniCPM returns with 4.7 and runs a 35
billion param vision model on iPhone

00:15:06.612 --> 00:15:10.711
in about 3 gigs. Uh, Liquid, shout out to
our friends from Liquid AI.

00:15:10.812 --> 00:15:14.771
They released their biggest Liquid
foundation model, 24 billion parameters,

00:15:15.182 --> 00:15:19.742
built for local agents, and we constantly
talk about running agents locally.

00:15:20.502 --> 00:15:20.821
And then

00:15:22.342 --> 00:15:22.661
QwenGyre,

00:15:23.391 --> 00:15:26.391
RL framework for long horizon agents came
out.

00:15:27.032 --> 00:15:28.191
Uh, I think it's a paper.

00:15:29.992 --> 00:15:35.332
In this week's buzz, we told you about
Forge, CoreWeave Forge, the rebrand for

00:15:35.472 --> 00:15:37.811
our, agentic cloud offerings on SaaS.

00:15:38.332 --> 00:15:40.851
Forge model distillation is now in
preview,

00:15:41.452 --> 00:15:41.711
and,

00:15:42.756 --> 00:15:47.035
I think that's super cool. And also Agent
Lens in preview, and Agent Lens is

00:15:48.116 --> 00:15:52.836
just hot this week because now you can
connect Claude, uh, via OpenTelemetry and

00:15:53.036 --> 00:15:57.475
see the most, you know, the most useful
and not useful traces from your Claude,

00:15:57.876 --> 00:15:59.645
uh, run directly in Agent Lens.

00:15:59.726 --> 00:16:02.996
I think that's super cool. apparently XAI
dropped Grok Voice 3.

00:16:03.716 --> 00:16:06.416
Do you guys, here see this, speech-to-
speech leaderboard?

00:16:06.695 --> 00:16:10.915
It tops the speech-to-speech leaderboards,
and, apparently all of the Starlink

00:16:10.976 --> 00:16:13.655
support calls are now used by Grok Voice
3.

00:16:14.296 --> 00:16:17.306
And, uh, Wolfram, you also mentioned Fish
Audio, correct?

00:16:18.026 --> 00:16:18.485
Drama voice.

00:16:18.506 --> 00:16:19.385
Wolfram Ravenwolf: Correct.

00:16:19.466 --> 00:16:21.265
Alex Volkov: Just summarize for us.

00:16:23.026 --> 00:16:25.646
Wolfram Ravenwolf: Yeah, uh, it's a new, um,

00:16:26.546 --> 00:16:30.825
a model, a speech model that you can
direct, where you can give instructions

00:16:30.986 --> 00:16:32.726
for how the voice should be sounding.

00:16:32.786 --> 00:16:36.865
I think this is best if we, when we talk
about it, we we show some examples.

00:16:37.346 --> 00:16:38.325
Alex Volkov: Yeah, we maybe play some examples.

00:16:38.346 --> 00:16:40.825
Wolfram Ravenwolf: It's open source as well, so you can run
it locally,

00:16:41.466 --> 00:16:45.625
and uh, it's also at the top of what is
possible with voice right now.

00:16:46.146 --> 00:16:47.825
Alex Volkov: Oh, that's super cool. Um,

00:16:48.946 --> 00:16:49.306
all right.

00:16:50.346 --> 00:16:52.105
Let's go to industry.

00:16:52.986 --> 00:16:56.365
Industry is where we talk about stuff that
are not releases, but I think is important

00:16:56.386 --> 00:16:58.646
from this week. Uh, Andrej Karpathy says

00:16:59.265 --> 00:17:02.065
6 billion people have barely touched an
LLM.

00:17:02.866 --> 00:17:06.366
Uh, he he did some back of the napkin
math, and

00:17:07.186 --> 00:17:11.355
don't we love a good, like, Karpathy tweet
that sets the industry ablaze, and it

00:17:11.436 --> 00:17:13.555
feels like he's been tweeting less since
he joined Anthropic.

00:17:13.916 --> 00:17:18.475
Uh, so he literally had this, like, funnel
of saying 6 billion people barely touched

00:17:18.516 --> 00:17:23.176
an LLM and AI, and the gap, he says, is
getting wider, uh, and then he kind of

00:17:23.196 --> 00:17:27.125
does calculate. So hopefully, everybody
who tunes into ThursdAI, folks, you're on

00:17:27.146 --> 00:17:30.976
the top of under Karpathy's funnel, but he
does have this thing where, like, only a

00:17:31.076 --> 00:17:33.795
handful of people touch the models at the
Frontier Labs.

00:17:33.861 --> 00:17:37.341
and last week, State of the AI, state of
AI report came out.

00:17:37.541 --> 00:17:40.631
Nathan Benaich, the author, the the guys
who's been running this for a while, is

00:17:40.671 --> 00:17:46.500
gonna join us, was at 10 AM Pacific, which
is going to be in an hour, to talk about

00:17:46.541 --> 00:17:46.661
it.

00:17:47.301 --> 00:17:47.500
And

00:17:48.415 --> 00:17:50.825
I'm excited. Peter, you connected us to
Nathan.

00:17:51.185 --> 00:17:52.304
Uh, I'm very, very excited.

00:17:52.345 --> 00:17:55.015
He's been running this State of AI report
f- for a while now.

00:17:56.150 --> 00:17:59.269
Peter Gostev: Alex, I think, uh, did you mention
Nemotron?

00:17:59.669 --> 00:18:00.610
I don't think so, right?

00:18:00.950 --> 00:18:01.050
Alex Volkov: No.

00:18:01.310 --> 00:18:03.330
Peter Gostev: The, it just launched about half an hour
ago.

00:18:03.710 --> 00:18:04.050
Alex Volkov: Ooh.

00:18:04.150 --> 00:18:04.370
Peter Gostev: And

00:18:04.830 --> 00:18:05.289
Alex Volkov: No, half an hour.

00:18:05.310 --> 00:18:05.889
Peter Gostev: Nemotron,

00:18:06.710 --> 00:18:08.349
yeah, Nemotron 3.5

00:18:09.230 --> 00:18:10.169
Super VL,

00:18:10.830 --> 00:18:16.389
120, uh, billion total parameters and 12
billion active parameters.

00:18:16.990 --> 00:18:17.409
Alex Volkov: No, I do not.

00:18:17.430 --> 00:18:17.789
Peter Gostev: Um,

00:18:18.669 --> 00:18:20.570
it looks like they're focusing on,

00:18:21.350 --> 00:18:26.050
uh, more, it's multimodal, so the idea is
that it's good at video understanding,

00:18:26.150 --> 00:18:29.909
image understanding, and long-running
agents, and roughly where they're kind of

00:18:30.070 --> 00:18:30.849
pitching it at

00:18:31.750 --> 00:18:34.990
DeepSeek V4 flash, including small,

00:18:35.990 --> 00:18:38.289
that kind of level, but it's meant to be
quite fast and,

00:18:38.910 --> 00:18:42.369
um, and let's say it's performant at, at
that sort of level.

00:18:42.590 --> 00:18:43.210
So, yeah.

00:18:43.230 --> 00:18:44.710
Alex Volkov: But just a new release. We haven't tested
it.

00:18:44.750 --> 00:18:46.169
It just literally came out. Yeah.

00:18:46.510 --> 00:18:46.649
Peter Gostev: Yeah.

00:18:46.750 --> 00:18:47.009
Alex Volkov: Um.

00:18:47.190 --> 00:18:47.489
Peter Gostev: Perfect.

00:18:47.510 --> 00:18:51.370
Alex Volkov: So shout out to our friends from f- f-
from Nemotron, Team Green, and uh, and our

00:18:51.429 --> 00:18:54.629
friend Chris Alexiuk, who works on that
team and, and always joins us and talks

00:18:54.670 --> 00:18:55.910
about it. So shout out to NVIDIA.

00:18:56.269 --> 00:18:57.410
Uh, there's also rumors

00:18:58.430 --> 00:18:59.629
that NVIDIA, did you guys see this?

00:18:59.990 --> 00:19:02.329
And NVIDIA, is in talks to buy,

00:19:03.084 --> 00:19:03.643
Reflection?

00:19:04.444 --> 00:19:07.854
I think it was Reflection. Well, the lab
behind Beam that we talked about Beam last

00:19:07.894 --> 00:19:09.513
week. I'm pretty sure it's Reflection.

00:19:09.534 --> 00:19:13.433
This is like, there's rumors that Jensen's
collecting the Infinity Stones of open

00:19:13.894 --> 00:19:18.818
source. So Hugging Face, Reflection, also
rumored, also friends of the pod, the

00:19:18.898 --> 00:19:22.218
Israeli company rumored that NVIDIA is
like talking about purchasing them as

00:19:22.258 --> 00:19:27.277
well. All right, I think it's time for us
to go to Frontier Labs and talk about Meta

00:19:27.338 --> 00:19:28.017
Muse Wonder.

00:19:39.338 --> 00:19:41.678
Alrighty, folks, let's talk about...

00:19:43.378 --> 00:19:46.837
do not bet against Mark Zuckerberg, and
now Alex Wang.

00:19:47.018 --> 00:19:48.258
Uh, so in addition to

00:19:48.898 --> 00:19:49.277
having,

00:19:49.958 --> 00:19:50.917
great meme taste,

00:19:51.998 --> 00:19:53.717
Meta is now back at the frontier.

00:19:54.398 --> 00:19:58.767
Meta's frontier model is number 2 on Arena
and, just 12 points behind Argon, which

00:19:58.788 --> 00:20:03.287
we're going to talk about. Uh, but some
builders are calling these benchmarks, and

00:20:03.528 --> 00:20:05.317
I think, several things can be true.

00:20:06.198 --> 00:20:09.197
Meta Superintelligence Labs released Muse
Wonder and Muse Wonder Full.

00:20:09.958 --> 00:20:12.337
Uh, Wonder Full is kind of the over-the-
top

00:20:13.498 --> 00:20:15.398
model that we don't get in the API.

00:20:15.538 --> 00:20:17.778
It only exists in Meta subscription tiers.

00:20:18.898 --> 00:20:22.817
Alex Wang called it their largest and most
capable model yet.

00:20:23.537 --> 00:20:25.198
Uh, I joked with somebody yesterday

00:20:25.898 --> 00:20:29.458
that all I need to say every week on the
show is that this new model launch,

00:20:29.578 --> 00:20:31.867
numbers are bigger, and they claim it's
their best yet.

00:20:32.388 --> 00:20:34.607
And it does, we're kind of there, right?

00:20:34.627 --> 00:20:38.047
We're kind of there where it's like the
new iPhone 18 moment for every lab, and

00:20:38.468 --> 00:20:39.887
this is the best iPhone we've released
yet.

00:20:40.428 --> 00:20:44.827
Uh, both Meta models, though they do smell
like a big model to me.

00:20:44.948 --> 00:20:46.827
So both have 1 million token.

00:20:47.388 --> 00:20:47.747
Um,

00:20:48.707 --> 00:20:52.187
Muse Wonder via API, it's 4 bucks in and
20

00:20:52.788 --> 00:20:56.747
dollars out per million tokens, basically
Opus 5.5 pricing.

00:20:57.028 --> 00:20:57.688
But if you see

00:20:58.582 --> 00:21:03.142
the evals charts, they actually show that
they beat Opus on multiple interesting

00:21:03.222 --> 00:21:05.981
benchmarks, and those benchmarks are not
your standard benchmarks, besides the

00:21:06.062 --> 00:21:09.571
SWE-bench one. I'm pretty sure that those
benchmarks are, a little bit different.

00:21:10.132 --> 00:21:10.532
Um,

00:21:11.372 --> 00:21:12.091
Muse Wonder,

00:21:12.812 --> 00:21:15.062
in parentheses, full, is the better model.

00:21:15.142 --> 00:21:19.421
That's the one that kind of, they say,
beat Opus and beat Astra and beat Fable,

00:21:19.792 --> 00:21:21.751
only for Muse code subscribers.

00:21:22.232 --> 00:21:23.631
And uh, 50

00:21:26.052 --> 00:21:27.431
or 200 dollars a month.

00:21:27.672 --> 00:21:31.132
This is the tier that you need to pay,
either 50 dollars a month or 200 dollars a

00:21:31.152 --> 00:21:32.312
month to get it on Muse Code.

00:21:33.272 --> 00:21:34.872
No open weights for it either, but

00:21:35.752 --> 00:21:37.232
here's the news that excites us.

00:21:38.232 --> 00:21:42.791
Uh, Muse Spark, the model that was there
before Muse Wonder, they told us about

00:21:42.912 --> 00:21:45.952
open source, and Muse- Mu- Muse Spark is
basically the new Llama.

00:21:46.392 --> 00:21:49.271
They're going to, not yet, but they're
going to open source Muse Spark.

00:21:49.792 --> 00:21:53.152
Uh, I hope this is the latest version,
1.3, but I'm very, very excited.

00:21:53.512 --> 00:21:54.431
Uh, Meta says,

00:21:55.234 --> 00:21:55.354
the

00:21:56.035 --> 00:21:57.594
Meta Wonder models are too big

00:21:58.315 --> 00:21:59.954
and maybe even too risky for open source.

00:22:00.115 --> 00:22:01.794
That's a, that's an interesting call out.

00:22:02.635 --> 00:22:02.995
Um,

00:22:04.375 --> 00:22:05.744
right, let's, let's just dive in there.

00:22:05.945 --> 00:22:08.225
Uh, Peter, I know you guys tested Muse
Wonder.

00:22:08.465 --> 00:22:09.945
Um, would love to hear from you.

00:22:10.905 --> 00:22:16.405
Peter Gostev: Yeah, so you, you're right to say that it
was second on the text arena, which means

00:22:16.425 --> 00:22:17.744
that people like talking to it.

00:22:17.945 --> 00:22:20.304
It is, I think, 12th on the

00:22:21.185 --> 00:22:23.364
agent arena, and agent arena is when

00:22:24.265 --> 00:22:29.005
all people like you and I go on arena and
use it in various kinds of ways, which

00:22:29.185 --> 00:22:31.825
could include coding, could include white
collar work.

00:22:32.465 --> 00:22:37.505
So that doesn't, that's not amazing, I
must say, 12 is not, it's not that great.

00:22:38.185 --> 00:22:43.664
Um, wi- which is kind of interesting, like
people say, or is it benchmarks or, or

00:22:44.024 --> 00:22:45.144
like Alex Wang is,

00:22:45.985 --> 00:22:50.405
uh, fighting back and saying, oh, you
know, who needs, uh, 3D and all of that.

00:22:50.465 --> 00:22:50.604
But

00:22:50.745 --> 00:22:50.885
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

00:22:50.985 --> 00:22:55.784
Peter Gostev: you know, 3- 3D aside, I have tried also
building websites with it, and I must say

00:22:55.945 --> 00:22:57.925
it was kind of awful, that websites.

00:22:57.985 --> 00:22:58.084
Alex Volkov: Mm.

00:22:58.105 --> 00:23:01.424
Peter Gostev: I, I don't know, maybe it was my
experience, maybe I did something wrong,

00:23:02.105 --> 00:23:04.185
and I didn't spend, like, many hours with
it.

00:23:04.425 --> 00:23:04.605
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

00:23:05.025 --> 00:23:05.225
Peter Gostev: But

00:23:06.025 --> 00:23:07.864
I think that's kind of an important as
well.

00:23:07.905 --> 00:23:08.505
I've never seen

00:23:09.305 --> 00:23:14.505
a- a model that's really bad, but it's
good at 3D and it's good at websites, but

00:23:14.585 --> 00:23:16.504
it's fundamentally bad. Like, I- I think-

00:23:17.145 --> 00:23:21.405
I- I think it's kind of unreasonable to
say, well, it- it's much as Opus, but

00:23:21.445 --> 00:23:24.505
actually it's really bad at half of the
things that people use it for.

00:23:24.585 --> 00:23:28.245
So it- it's kind of, I I don't know, I
don't want to be unfair to them.

00:23:28.305 --> 00:23:29.864
It's clearly a better model,

00:23:30.505 --> 00:23:34.744
but equally, I think it's still behind on
some things, like front end for sure.

00:23:34.865 --> 00:23:38.524
3D aside, front end is seems like really
quite bad, actually.

00:23:38.825 --> 00:23:38.858
Alex Volkov: So

00:23:38.858 --> 00:23:39.805
Peter Gostev: This is the frontier.

00:23:40.165 --> 00:23:40.844
Alex Volkov: I will say,

00:23:42.525 --> 00:23:47.445
while 3D is not a use case that I expect
my assistants to kind of use, and it's

00:23:47.525 --> 00:23:48.864
obvious that Meta is

00:23:49.485 --> 00:23:52.185
fine tuning Muse Wonder for the Muse
Assistant, right?

00:23:52.205 --> 00:23:55.784
Like, it's very obvious to us why they
have the model, and the way they gonna put

00:23:55.805 --> 00:23:59.904
this capability in people's hands is via
their personal agent or AI assistant,

00:23:59.965 --> 00:24:01.204
whatever you want to call this category.

00:24:01.565 --> 00:24:03.214
And so they're optimizing f- f- for that
thing.

00:24:03.238 --> 00:24:07.144
We, we should probably mention the two
innovation type things that they're adding

00:24:07.205 --> 00:24:12.445
there that are not evaluated, which is,
dynamic memory and dynamic context stuff.

00:24:12.645 --> 00:24:12.924
Um,

00:24:13.845 --> 00:24:15.374
however, uh, Peter, to your point,

00:24:16.335 --> 00:24:22.295
while asking my assistant to create 3D
castles and 3D series or whatever Nisten

00:24:22.335 --> 00:24:26.375
created and they showed us last week, a
virtual copy of Toronto with 100,000

00:24:26.495 --> 00:24:27.134
agents running,

00:24:27.775 --> 00:24:29.535
that's not what I'm gonna ask my assistant
to do.

00:24:29.895 --> 00:24:34.065
Building websites is kind of what I think,
many people would like their agents to

00:24:34.125 --> 00:24:34.724
help them with.

00:24:35.405 --> 00:24:38.445
Building websites, one-off websites for
like a use case,

00:24:39.085 --> 00:24:41.005
or like more, more stuff as well.

00:24:41.045 --> 00:24:44.715
So I think that this is definitely in the
realm of, something that people will ask

00:24:44.795 --> 00:24:48.784
their assistants to do. Wolfram, do you
have any thoughts on, uh, Meta Wonder,

00:24:49.005 --> 00:24:49.665
Meta Muse Wonder?

00:24:49.885 --> 00:24:54.385
Wolfram Ravenwolf: Oh, on one hand, uh, that is exactly this
what I've seen less technical people who

00:24:54.425 --> 00:24:55.605
are not as much into AI.

00:24:55.685 --> 00:24:59.924
They use AI assistants to, uh, create
websites or update their websites.

00:24:59.965 --> 00:25:02.525
So that is very important to be good in
this regard.

00:25:02.685 --> 00:25:07.445
3D, on the other hand, of course, it's a
nice demo, but yeah, the practical use

00:25:07.485 --> 00:25:09.304
case for us most of the time is not that
high.

00:25:09.685 --> 00:25:13.785
I tested Wonder, and it is excellent in
German, which is not true with all the

00:25:13.845 --> 00:25:14.285
models, so

00:25:14.525 --> 00:25:14.744
Alex Volkov: Mhm.

00:25:15.045 --> 00:25:17.725
Wolfram Ravenwolf: It has the colloquialisms and stuff, so
this is great.

00:25:18.245 --> 00:25:22.924
Um, yeah, it's, it's a good model, and I
think that they have their own agents, uh,

00:25:23.125 --> 00:25:27.304
that they are offering personal agents
means that it can also be used very well

00:25:27.345 --> 00:25:28.884
in Hermes Agent and the other ones.

00:25:29.204 --> 00:25:30.484
It's available with the API.

00:25:30.925 --> 00:25:31.045
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

00:25:31.165 --> 00:25:33.764
Wolfram Ravenwolf: Um, yeah, I think it's great to have more
choice here.

00:25:35.085 --> 00:25:36.764
Alex Volkov: I think a very interesting thing is,

00:25:37.485 --> 00:25:40.845
I haven't seen the Muse code subscription
being used in like Hermes Agent.

00:25:41.204 --> 00:25:44.945
I don't know if that's possible, but I
think that'd be cool, because now, we're

00:25:44.965 --> 00:25:47.804
gonna get there, but the Claude SDK looks
to be back up.

00:25:48.605 --> 00:25:49.044
Um.

00:25:49.245 --> 00:25:52.445
Wolfram Ravenwolf: What's always possible is to have your
Hermes Agent just use another agent.

00:25:52.525 --> 00:25:56.885
I'm using all the agents like that, that
Hermes on my own system is my main, and

00:25:57.045 --> 00:26:00.585
connecting to CrockPot and the other ones
and just taking control of them all.

00:26:00.925 --> 00:26:02.164
Alex Volkov: Yeah. How did you set it up?

00:26:02.285 --> 00:26:03.765
Yam, you had a comment as well about Muse?

00:26:03.965 --> 00:26:06.364
Yam Peleg: Yeah, that's uh, that's a good idea,
actually.

00:26:06.405 --> 00:26:08.844
I never thought about, about trying it as
well.

00:26:09.405 --> 00:26:09.964
How do you,

00:26:10.725 --> 00:26:12.785
if we have time, how do you, how do you
set this?

00:26:12.845 --> 00:26:13.965
Like, what do you use it for?

00:26:14.804 --> 00:26:18.364
Wolfram Ravenwolf: Oh, I've been using this for a long time,
even before the agent stuff came up.

00:26:18.565 --> 00:26:19.644
I was calling it minions.

00:26:19.805 --> 00:26:25.325
Amy has her minions, and she uses computer
use if there is no API or CLI tool.

00:26:25.565 --> 00:26:29.644
It's just a s- a skill, basically, a
minion skill where she can use, we did it

00:26:29.685 --> 00:26:34.125
in the, in the, ah, when, when the first
computer use stuff came out, she was going

00:26:34.145 --> 00:26:36.804
to the ChatGPT website and using that as a
minion

00:26:37.045 --> 00:26:37.185
Yam Peleg: Yeah.

00:26:37.205 --> 00:26:40.364
Wolfram Ravenwolf: from Claude and stuff like that, and it
still works the same way.

00:26:40.445 --> 00:26:45.845
You just give it a tool, like it can use a
CLI tool, or it can use a website or

00:26:46.045 --> 00:26:50.604
Crocbot, the app can be controlled with
computer use, and it's just another agent

00:26:50.685 --> 00:26:53.044
for a sub-agent for the main agent.

00:26:53.405 --> 00:26:54.505
So very easy to set up.

00:26:54.645 --> 00:26:58.644
Yam Peleg: Okay. I do it all the time in the
terminal, uh, Claude calling Codex, Codex

00:26:58.765 --> 00:26:59.364
calling Claude.

00:26:59.405 --> 00:26:59.945
Wolfram Ravenwolf: Mm-hmm. Yeah.

00:27:00.045 --> 00:27:02.385
Yam Peleg: The variety gives, gives you a lot for
100%.

00:27:02.965 --> 00:27:04.964
I'm j- I'm just wondering because these
are,

00:27:05.805 --> 00:27:09.385
these are different. They're extremely
powerful, connected to many different

00:27:09.445 --> 00:27:13.784
services. So just, I don't know, just,
just the use case, like what you use it

00:27:13.845 --> 00:27:14.265
for. I mean,

00:27:14.405 --> 00:27:14.785
Alex Volkov: I think, yeah.

00:27:14.805 --> 00:27:15.648
Yam Peleg: It can be interesting. Okay,

00:27:15.745 --> 00:27:15.925
Wolfram Ravenwolf: Just

00:27:16.705 --> 00:27:21.804
one use case is a council like GPT Pro,
which you can't just use with the API and

00:27:21.825 --> 00:27:23.545
so on. So we are using it that way.

00:27:23.625 --> 00:27:24.145
If we are

00:27:24.785 --> 00:27:27.645
creating a concept for something, it goes
through all these.

00:27:27.665 --> 00:27:33.645
I have a whole council of 12, 13 agents
that all, uh, work together to

00:27:33.785 --> 00:27:38.065
make sure that this is, uh, if it's very
important, to be the best one we can make.

00:27:38.705 --> 00:27:38.844
Yam Peleg: Cool.

00:27:40.145 --> 00:27:42.065
Alex Volkov: We definitely should talk about use cases,
though.

00:27:42.145 --> 00:27:45.945
So we talk about models and numbers, et
cetera, but I think, as we started to say

00:27:45.985 --> 00:27:48.964
in the beginning, we're approaching the
level of capability where, like, for most

00:27:49.005 --> 00:27:53.355
of us, um, the stuff that we need to do,
we can probably already do.

00:27:53.715 --> 00:27:53.934
So,

00:27:55.401 --> 00:27:55.622
Go ahead.

00:27:55.642 --> 00:28:00.221
Peter Gostev: Maybe one, one, one thing to add as well,
I think, about the release, and I imagine

00:28:00.281 --> 00:28:03.621
they probably just don't have enough
compute, but it so- sounds like at least

00:28:03.802 --> 00:28:04.342
from, like,

00:28:04.602 --> 00:28:05.601
Alex Volkov: Theo, you know, the-

00:28:06.842 --> 00:28:10.962
Peter Gostev: I think they don't. Yeah, it's like the-
yeah, I don't think so, because why, why

00:28:11.062 --> 00:28:13.802
is the full one not available via API?

00:28:14.162 --> 00:28:16.021
Like, I don't think they're just being
stingy, right?

00:28:16.122 --> 00:28:17.401
Maybe they want to cross-sell the

00:28:18.202 --> 00:28:22.001
subscriptions, but that feels, I don't
think that's working that well.

00:28:22.442 --> 00:28:28.421
So, for example, I think Theo, right, the
the YouTuber, he, uh, he was

00:28:28.522 --> 00:28:33.281
very complimentary about the Muse model,
which I was confused by, and then he came

00:28:33.322 --> 00:28:35.802
out and said, well, actually the the full
one is great.

00:28:35.962 --> 00:28:38.162
The regular one that we got, he thought
was bad.

00:28:38.562 --> 00:28:38.701
Alex Volkov: Mm.

00:28:38.722 --> 00:28:43.241
Peter Gostev: So I I haven't tested the full one, so my
impression is very like meh about the

00:28:43.322 --> 00:28:43.922
model, but

00:28:44.762 --> 00:28:47.722
maybe the full one is amazing, but we
don't have access to it.

00:28:47.762 --> 00:28:52.441
So I, I, I wonder if there's also that
kind of mismatch that they think, oh,

00:28:52.482 --> 00:28:56.761
their model is amazing, then the reception
is like, oh, is it benchmarks or what?

00:28:56.962 --> 00:29:00.081
But actually, maybe it is amazing, but
they, they mean a different model.

00:29:00.362 --> 00:29:01.122
It's not ideal.

00:29:01.722 --> 00:29:06.222
Alex Volkov: This is kind of on the same topic of,
folks, let's say inside Anthropic, they're

00:29:06.242 --> 00:29:08.811
probably not using Opus, they're probably
using like t- Opus

00:29:09.572 --> 00:29:11.012
plus plus, whatever model.

00:29:11.052 --> 00:29:14.591
And so when they talk about the stuff that
works for them in the public, I'm not sure

00:29:14.652 --> 00:29:16.392
that they mean kind of the models that are
available to us.

00:29:16.492 --> 00:29:17.831
That's a very interesting, very
interesting point.

00:29:17.852 --> 00:29:21.402
And I think Theo also gets early access to
like the models that are not available, in

00:29:21.442 --> 00:29:26.641
the API. Um, you can get Muse Wonder, not
Wonderful, Muse Wonder within the product.

00:29:26.682 --> 00:29:30.461
So I gotta wonder if any of you guys used
it within the product itself.

00:29:31.582 --> 00:29:32.982
Because I switched immediately, so

00:29:33.742 --> 00:29:38.802
I, I've been using Muse, as you guys know,
because I've talked about this a lot, and

00:29:38.942 --> 00:29:42.582
I will continue talking about this because
I think Muse is wonderful, not the model.

00:29:43.032 --> 00:29:46.591
I, when I realized that I can only get
access to this new intelligence,

00:29:47.311 --> 00:29:50.071
essentially what happens is, Wolfram, you
know all about this, you've been doing

00:29:50.092 --> 00:29:54.111
this for Amy for a while. Essentially, I
realized that I can upgrade my assistant's

00:29:54.192 --> 00:29:55.112
intelligence with a click.

00:29:56.472 --> 00:29:57.551
And that is incredible to me.

00:29:57.952 --> 00:30:02.931
That is just like, um, this is the scene
from The Matrix where Neo gets a thing,

00:30:03.032 --> 00:30:05.192
and now he's like, boom, and I know kung
fu.

00:30:05.632 --> 00:30:08.992
So skills is kind of like that, but also
like upgraded intelligence is kind of like

00:30:09.032 --> 00:30:10.551
that. And so I upgraded,

00:30:11.735 --> 00:30:14.036
muse, uh, Wolfred, my muse, to

00:30:14.916 --> 00:30:16.876
Wonder, and I gave it a lot of tasks.

00:30:17.076 --> 00:30:19.275
Here's use cases time. Let's talk about
use cases a little bit.

00:30:19.596 --> 00:30:23.605
Uh, the podcast studio that I'm in, shout
out, Virgo and Ezra, for helping me set

00:30:23.625 --> 00:30:25.886
this up super quick. Muse found this out.

00:30:26.026 --> 00:30:28.715
Muse emailed Ezra a couple of times,
including the the notes and the

00:30:28.756 --> 00:30:30.076
requirements I need for the podcast.

00:30:30.436 --> 00:30:32.276
On the way here, Muse got me coffee.

00:30:32.676 --> 00:30:33.635
I did a,

00:30:34.276 --> 00:30:39.325
meet up yesterday, liquid cooling IRL, AI
engineers in sauna, and you guys can see

00:30:39.346 --> 00:30:43.156
this wristband, Muse designed and ordered
it and it shipped to the hotel.

00:30:43.796 --> 00:30:45.136
And all of this was on Muse Wonder.

00:30:45.176 --> 00:30:48.336
I was just kept like shoving tasks to it,
and it was executing them

00:30:49.836 --> 00:30:54.129
mostly perfectly. The failure modes of
this model, Peter, it's really hard to

00:30:54.189 --> 00:30:57.608
benchmark, so we need to talk about how we
benchmark those like use cases, but the

00:30:57.669 --> 00:30:59.669
failure modes of this model were not the

00:31:00.309 --> 00:31:03.388
logic part. The failure modes of this
model were the website doesn't work, the

00:31:03.428 --> 00:31:05.749
website is black and last because
Cloudflare doesn't like agents,

00:31:06.509 --> 00:31:09.449
or, the Stripe link doesn't quite connect
or something.

00:31:09.689 --> 00:31:12.828
So the failure were real world failures,
including a very funny ones

00:31:13.639 --> 00:31:17.289
where, Muse called some businesses and
businesses hung up because they don't want

00:31:17.328 --> 00:31:19.288
to talk to a personal assistant.

00:31:19.549 --> 00:31:20.909
It was really funny. So,

00:31:22.229 --> 00:31:22.748
I think,

00:31:24.349 --> 00:31:26.869
again, I think we're approaching a level
of capability where most people

00:31:27.509 --> 00:31:29.649
do not care, um, and

00:31:30.869 --> 00:31:32.228
as long as it does stuff for them.

00:31:32.349 --> 00:31:34.468
And then the question is, does it do stuff
for them?

00:31:34.509 --> 00:31:38.748
So I think when Meta released the models,
they had some evals in there.

00:31:39.109 --> 00:31:40.008
I think we should pull them up

00:31:40.629 --> 00:31:42.489
that are not the standard ones.

00:31:42.669 --> 00:31:44.228
There are some, like, personal assistant
ones.

00:31:44.509 --> 00:31:47.788
And Peter, the question back to you is,
you are saying on the agent arena,

00:31:48.709 --> 00:31:49.969
Muse Wonder is kind of suffering.

00:31:50.108 --> 00:31:50.869
I gotta wonder if

00:31:51.549 --> 00:31:54.908
my experience with like the personal agent
stuff versus the agent arena,

00:31:55.749 --> 00:31:57.168
where are those tasks falling?

00:31:57.229 --> 00:31:58.748
Where's the daylight between those tasks?

00:31:59.989 --> 00:32:02.428
Peter Gostev: Yeah, it's, it's definitely hard to say,
and I think,

00:32:04.269 --> 00:32:07.828
yeah, it, it could, the, the kind of
failures that you're talking about, they

00:32:07.869 --> 00:32:09.109
do sound more like the

00:32:09.949 --> 00:32:12.088
harness in a, in a broader sense, like

00:32:12.149 --> 00:32:12.368
Alex Volkov: Mhm.

00:32:12.389 --> 00:32:14.588
Peter Gostev: connections, integrations, like things
like that.

00:32:14.669 --> 00:32:16.989
So, yeah, it's definitely, it's definitely
hard to say.

00:32:17.509 --> 00:32:20.429
One thing to say, though, about the, the
benchmarks, and you mentioned the

00:32:20.549 --> 00:32:21.189
different ones,

00:32:21.828 --> 00:32:22.148
um,

00:32:22.869 --> 00:32:24.848
this is kind of a pattern, which is a
funny one.

00:32:24.909 --> 00:32:29.528
I, I did a bit of analysis on this, maybe
I should, I should publish it there, where

00:32:29.589 --> 00:32:33.489
I kind of pulled together the different
benchmarks that labs were using over the

00:32:33.549 --> 00:32:35.709
last year, just all of the releases.

00:32:36.389 --> 00:32:37.348
And the half

00:32:38.149 --> 00:32:43.348
life of a benchmark that they quote is,
is, uh, basically like one release,

00:32:43.949 --> 00:32:47.568
uh, where so many benchmarks just get
quoted once 'cause they get a good number

00:32:47.669 --> 00:32:49.109
and then they're never seen again.

00:32:49.469 --> 00:32:53.868
So I wonder it, uh, I'm not accusing them
of, of this in this case.

00:32:53.989 --> 00:32:57.728
Maybe they're meaningful benchmarks, I, I
don't know, but that's also something to

00:32:57.829 --> 00:33:01.369
look out for, is that quite often I would
open a release and I'm looking at it, I

00:33:01.429 --> 00:33:04.289
don't recognize even the titles of half of
the benchmarks.

00:33:04.509 --> 00:33:04.648
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

00:33:04.709 --> 00:33:08.349
Peter Gostev: And, you know, I- I'm in the industry, so
I- I don't really know how,

00:33:09.269 --> 00:33:13.508
how reliable, how are they gonna stick to
those benchmarks or- or not.

00:33:13.789 --> 00:33:18.048
But if they're inventing new ones or kind
of citing new ones because it has a good

00:33:18.149 --> 00:33:21.868
score, I think that that's also not- not
necessarily indicative of the performance.

00:33:22.589 --> 00:33:25.338
Alex Volkov: Uh, that's true, and I- I think, to some
extent this makes sense because

00:33:25.599 --> 00:33:28.859
capability, let me, try to find the, the
exact thing you're talking about, but I

00:33:28.879 --> 00:33:32.758
think the capability moves and different
benchmarks need, need to switch as well,

00:33:32.799 --> 00:33:34.999
right? Like, we've we've seen that OpenAI
decides not to do

00:33:35.679 --> 00:33:39.709
SWE-bench anymore because SWE-bench was
like leaked in full, and then SWE-bench,

00:33:40.209 --> 00:33:43.629
Verified came out as SWE-bench Pro and
like a bunch of like, updates to this

00:33:43.749 --> 00:33:47.368
paradigm. Um, but I definitely want to
pull up some of them so we can talk about

00:33:47.389 --> 00:33:48.148
this meta...

00:33:49.949 --> 00:33:53.559
Wonder. Nisten, meanwhile, any comments on
Muse Wonder from your end?

00:33:55.599 --> 00:33:57.139
Nisten Tahiraj: No, it's is Wonder a new thing?

00:33:57.238 --> 00:33:58.038
I'm lo- I

00:33:58.639 --> 00:34:01.539
I have Muse running in circles all night.

00:34:01.599 --> 00:34:02.238
I don't know what it

00:34:02.839 --> 00:34:04.599
does. It tests websites and stuff.

00:34:05.039 --> 00:34:08.219
It's pretty dumb sometimes, but it's just
so energetic.

00:34:08.238 --> 00:34:09.838
Alex Volkov: Nisten, you don't know what Muse Wonder
is?

00:34:10.238 --> 00:34:11.172
Nisten Tahiraj: No idea. Just

00:34:11.219 --> 00:34:14.349
Alex Volkov: I love how, how co-hosts of ThursdAI
sometimes joins as co-hosts with deep

00:34:15.209 --> 00:34:17.809
insights and knowledge and building things
in the engineering, and sometimes they

00:34:17.849 --> 00:34:20.988
join as guests and just like chill here
and like get their news from the live

00:34:21.009 --> 00:34:21.148
show.

00:34:21.809 --> 00:34:24.188
This is incredible. Muse Wonder is their
new model.

00:34:24.289 --> 00:34:26.708
This is their Opus that beats Opus on
multiple things.

00:34:26.849 --> 00:34:29.658
So I think, it's time for us to show some
numbers.

00:34:29.712 --> 00:34:29.714
see.

00:34:29.734 --> 00:34:31.854
Nisten Tahiraj: Oh wow, holy cow. How does that compare to
to Argon?

00:34:31.974 --> 00:34:32.693
Holy shoot.

00:34:32.814 --> 00:34:34.003
Alex Volkov: Yeah, so so this is the thing.

00:34:34.344 --> 00:34:37.004
They did not, they did not do any Argon
comparisons.

00:34:37.143 --> 00:34:43.053
Uh, the Muse Wonder full and Muse Wonder
on Max, are compared only to Claude Fable

00:34:43.254 --> 00:34:46.334
5.1, Astra 6, and Claude Opus 5.5.

00:34:46.694 --> 00:34:49.113
And, I think, Peter, maybe this is the one
that you called out.

00:34:49.514 --> 00:34:52.194
They have a new benchmark called Personal
Superintelligence Index.

00:34:52.754 --> 00:34:55.473
Internal Composite Index of Personal and
knowledge work.

00:34:55.514 --> 00:34:58.854
So basically doing kind of like a
artificial analysis, ish thing,

00:34:59.054 --> 00:35:00.093
capability-ish thing.

00:35:00.453 --> 00:35:02.334
I'm not quite sure how that works out.

00:35:02.574 --> 00:35:03.654
And on that index,

00:35:04.374 --> 00:35:09.253
Muse Wonder, the one that we don't get
access to, on Muse Wonder Full is 59, and

00:35:09.354 --> 00:35:10.594
Muse Wonder is 54,

00:35:11.314 --> 00:35:14.354
beating pretty much everybody besides Opus
5.5 Max.

00:35:15.154 --> 00:35:15.473
Um,

00:35:17.474 --> 00:35:19.893
which other ones here, Peter, would you
say?

00:35:19.914 --> 00:35:22.194
Nisten Tahiraj: This is crazy. Where is, uh, like-

00:35:22.514 --> 00:35:24.214
Alex Volkov: Wait, hold on, Nisten, just one second.

00:35:24.294 --> 00:35:28.303
Peter, which ones of these would you say
are one times or benchmark or, or new

00:35:28.364 --> 00:35:28.643
ones?

00:35:29.444 --> 00:35:31.003
Peter Gostev: Well, like, if you scroll down

00:35:31.604 --> 00:35:33.323
a little bit, so we've got GDP

00:35:34.124 --> 00:35:36.063
PDF, Job Bench.

00:35:36.284 --> 00:35:38.803
Alex Volkov: Yeah, GDP PDF I have never seen before.

00:35:39.284 --> 00:35:40.683
Job Bench I have never seen before.

00:35:40.724 --> 00:35:41.263
I think we're missing.

00:35:41.284 --> 00:35:41.923
Peter Gostev: Memory Bench.

00:35:42.524 --> 00:35:45.443
Alex Volkov: Missing LDJ here, he knows a lot about
some of these.

00:35:45.724 --> 00:35:49.964
Uh, I will say on the artificial analysis
index, which I think a new one is coming,

00:35:50.957 --> 00:35:53.876
this model does not beat Astra and Fable
on that specific index.

00:35:53.977 --> 00:35:57.476
But also that index, again, it's testing
generality of models, and I think coding

00:35:57.537 --> 00:35:59.416
agents and not necessarily personal
assistants.

00:36:00.057 --> 00:36:00.376
Um,

00:36:02.337 --> 00:36:04.437
OS World, for example, we know and love,
right?

00:36:04.537 --> 00:36:08.626
OS World is a benchmark that measures
computer use and and browser use, and on

00:36:08.767 --> 00:36:09.686
this benchmark,

00:36:10.407 --> 00:36:11.487
uh, let's see,

00:36:12.447 --> 00:36:14.487
Muse Wonder, the one that we do have
access to,

00:36:15.157 --> 00:36:16.396
matches Fable

00:36:17.197 --> 00:36:19.236
and is significantly below

00:36:19.957 --> 00:36:24.137
Opus 5.5 on computer use and even below,
Claude.

00:36:24.377 --> 00:36:26.577
So computer use, this model is not the
best.

00:36:27.577 --> 00:36:27.896
Um,

00:36:28.600 --> 00:36:31.616
w- which, okay, so going back to what
assistants need,

00:36:32.217 --> 00:36:34.377
computer is like the number one thing that
I need for my assistant.

00:36:34.497 --> 00:36:37.577
It needs to go and click the right
buttons, otherwise it's not useful to me.

00:36:38.057 --> 00:36:38.417
Um,

00:36:39.197 --> 00:36:40.846
a very interesting set of releases here.

00:36:42.007 --> 00:36:43.766
And uh, Nisten, you mentioned Argon.

00:36:43.807 --> 00:36:48.016
We're going to talk with folks from uh,
Gemini about Argon in about an hour.

00:36:48.097 --> 00:36:52.337
We have Omer back and Geneviève, so we're
gonna talk about that with them.

00:36:54.417 --> 00:36:57.876
I think we're good on, uh, uh, the news
coverage or anything else left there?

00:36:58.277 --> 00:36:58.836
Wolfram, go ahead.

00:36:59.837 --> 00:37:03.516
Wolfram Ravenwolf: Uh, yeah, since we were looking at the
benchmarks, I, as I'm creating Wolfbench

00:37:03.557 --> 00:37:07.536
2.0, I, I have a crisis moment, and I
realized something.

00:37:07.837 --> 00:37:11.337
It's so hard to benchmark agents because
they are complete systems.

00:37:11.397 --> 00:37:12.436
They are not just the model.

00:37:12.797 --> 00:37:16.256
You have the skills and memories and all
this, and everybody using an agent has a

00:37:16.337 --> 00:37:19.117
different one, even if it's the same
system, because of all the different

00:37:19.397 --> 00:37:23.816
personalizations, connectors, and so on,
and even the internet access and the

00:37:24.117 --> 00:37:25.997
search providers, they all affect the
results.

00:37:26.477 --> 00:37:30.737
And the thing is, nowadays we are at a, we
are now at a point where you can have your

00:37:30.837 --> 00:37:35.397
agent create a benchmark for your own
purposes and use the same system.

00:37:35.477 --> 00:37:39.737
I'm doing it with Hermes, so I can put a
Hermes in the sandbox with my, my soul and

00:37:39.837 --> 00:37:44.797
skill and all and so on, and use a model
and do some tests specifically for the

00:37:44.997 --> 00:37:47.677
users I have, and I think everybody can
now do this.

00:37:48.317 --> 00:37:49.436
Just have your agent build it.

00:37:49.517 --> 00:37:51.517
You can build all the software in the
world now.

00:37:52.037 --> 00:37:53.476
You can also build an evaluation.

00:37:53.677 --> 00:37:57.636
I mean, as someone building evaluations
professionally, that is a strange moment,

00:37:57.997 --> 00:38:01.736
but it is really here now where you can
have a customized evaluation for your own

00:38:01.877 --> 00:38:02.357
purposes

00:38:03.196 --> 00:38:06.276
with the agents you are using and test new
models, test new agents.

00:38:06.397 --> 00:38:09.536
All of this is now possible, which wasn't
possible just

00:38:09.597 --> 00:38:10.176
Alex Volkov: There was.

00:38:10.196 --> 00:38:11.517
Wolfram Ravenwolf: It was a lot of work now.

00:38:12.037 --> 00:38:12.676
Now it's possible.

00:38:13.317 --> 00:38:17.216
Alex Volkov: There was a talk at AIE that calls out
this paradigm where you're like, you talk

00:38:17.237 --> 00:38:17.536
to your

00:38:18.407 --> 00:38:21.686
slop generator. You're like, hey, how can
I know that you're right?

00:38:22.007 --> 00:38:24.846
And the slop generator says, well, I can
do an eval for you.

00:38:25.287 --> 00:38:27.186
Uh, here's a few things to test myself on.

00:38:27.247 --> 00:38:28.566
And then you say, okay, do it yourself.

00:38:28.647 --> 00:38:32.526
And so the slop generator generates the
evaluations for itself, and they're also

00:38:32.607 --> 00:38:32.927
slop.

00:38:33.807 --> 00:38:36.407
And where are we if nobody reads those
traces?

00:38:36.527 --> 00:38:39.047
Uh, we're talk- we're gonna talk about
reading traces in a bit, in the Claude

00:38:39.087 --> 00:38:41.556
section. Um, so this is Muse

00:38:42.337 --> 00:38:46.417
Wonder, and the call out there for our
open source folks is that the Muse Spark

00:38:46.457 --> 00:38:47.476
model is going to get open source.

00:38:47.537 --> 00:38:49.937
This is a new Llama, and I think that's
one, that's great.

00:38:50.777 --> 00:38:53.477
I need to start using the word wonderful
because it's confusing, but I think that's

00:38:53.537 --> 00:38:53.736
great.

00:38:54.617 --> 00:38:56.497
Uh, right, let's talk about Anthropic.

00:38:56.657 --> 00:38:58.377
Anthropic is big in the news this week.

00:38:59.577 --> 00:39:01.176
Anthropic gave us 4 stories this week.

00:39:01.337 --> 00:39:06.016
You can trace your agent now, which is a
very big one for, at least the sponsor of

00:39:06.057 --> 00:39:11.416
the show. Uh, you can now, or I guess
again, we're so back, you can run the

00:39:11.477 --> 00:39:13.036
agent SDK on your subscription.

00:39:13.677 --> 00:39:15.697
So this means that you can plug it into
Hermes.

00:39:15.757 --> 00:39:20.377
I see Wolfram shaking, he said, uh, uh,
very strongly because, folks, I have told

00:39:20.397 --> 00:39:20.997
you before,

00:39:21.637 --> 00:39:24.317
so all of this personal agent type
revolution,

00:39:25.327 --> 00:39:29.697
what I, hold on, so what I mostly need
from this is that personal agent ability

00:39:29.857 --> 00:39:31.777
with Opus 5.5 capability.

00:39:32.537 --> 00:39:37.456
And now it seems that while I was able to
pay API prices for this before, now I

00:39:37.497 --> 00:39:39.256
could do this with my, uh, Claude
subscription.

00:39:39.317 --> 00:39:41.376
So I'm definitely excited to try this out.

00:39:41.476 --> 00:39:44.470
I've seen this in multiple coding
harnesses and agents.

00:39:44.950 --> 00:39:46.229
Uh, what else do we have?

00:39:46.710 --> 00:39:51.869
Uh, Anthropic also showed investors a 16.8
billion dollar quarter,

00:39:53.054 --> 00:39:53.574
and also

00:39:54.214 --> 00:39:59.404
rumored Fable 5.5, uh, in Azure configs,
which is a very interesting thing because

00:39:59.564 --> 00:40:01.104
Opus 5.5 is kind of

00:40:02.404 --> 00:40:05.182
beating Fable 5.1 for most stuff.

00:40:05.324 --> 00:40:07.323
They're not like super, super, strong.

00:40:08.284 --> 00:40:09.924
So let's talk about some of the Anthropic
stuff.

00:40:10.924 --> 00:40:11.703
How is this lab?

00:40:11.724 --> 00:40:12.043
Wolfram Ravenwolf: One more.

00:40:12.564 --> 00:40:13.123
Alex Volkov: Yeah, one more.

00:40:13.524 --> 00:40:14.884
Wolfram Ravenwolf: One more. There's even one more.

00:40:14.924 --> 00:40:18.983
They posted a, an article about
strengthening their defenses against

00:40:19.084 --> 00:40:20.124
distillation attacks.

00:40:20.484 --> 00:40:25.203
So after clamoring for, ah, we have to
regulate and ban this stuff, uh, now they

00:40:25.444 --> 00:40:27.124
basically did it by themselves,

00:40:27.964 --> 00:40:33.023
increasing their defense. They, they
reduced the amount of distillation that

00:40:33.244 --> 00:40:39.083
happened to the tracing, reasoning traces
and so on by 90 to 99%.

00:40:39.523 --> 00:40:44.583
So it will be much harder to distill
Claude reasoning now, and we'll see what

00:40:44.724 --> 00:40:46.083
effect that has on other models.

00:40:46.604 --> 00:40:48.003
Alex Volkov: I know the effect that it has on me.

00:40:48.724 --> 00:40:52.884
There's not a day goes by that my Claudes
are disconnected, I need to re-log in

00:40:52.924 --> 00:40:57.213
again, and then the remote control thing
fails, and so from New York I can control

00:40:57.254 --> 00:41:00.373
my Mac. I don't know if this is the effect
of their security on the distillation, but

00:41:00.414 --> 00:41:02.713
it affects me personally. I don't want to
call this out.

00:41:02.914 --> 00:41:04.073
Anthropic, please,

00:41:05.154 --> 00:41:07.134
please let me use my Claudes wherever I
am.

00:41:07.794 --> 00:41:09.593
This is getting old. This is really
getting old.

00:41:09.834 --> 00:41:10.914
All right, talk about this.

00:41:11.034 --> 00:41:11.353
Uh,

00:41:12.594 --> 00:41:13.873
let's talk about OpenTelemetry,

00:41:14.834 --> 00:41:17.074
which is kind of a nerdy subject, but it's
an important subject.

00:41:17.154 --> 00:41:22.194
OpenTelemetry is this open standard for
how, systems communicate their traces to

00:41:22.253 --> 00:41:23.454
each other, basically the logs.

00:41:23.574 --> 00:41:27.303
OpenTelemetry has been around for a long,
long while, and then folks like, the We

00:41:27.424 --> 00:41:30.664
folks from Weights and Biases, and now the
Agent Lens folks, which we're now

00:41:30.784 --> 00:41:33.378
launching in, in deploy preview.

00:41:34.058 --> 00:41:36.258
This is how systems communicate with those
platforms.

00:41:36.458 --> 00:41:37.998
Um, and now Claude

00:41:38.618 --> 00:41:42.417
itself, the Claude harness is now
supporting OpenTelemetry.

00:41:42.818 --> 00:41:47.178
What I'm saying is, where before you had
to run something like a 1B Hive mind,

00:41:47.298 --> 00:41:50.468
which we told you about, that shows you
all, all the Claude, conversations.

00:41:50.848 --> 00:41:55.048
Now Claude itself can send its traces to
whatever tool of choice that you have.

00:41:55.448 --> 00:42:00.068
Obviously, on this pod, we strongly, we
strongly ship, the CoreWeave Agent Lens,

00:42:00.268 --> 00:42:04.067
product we just launched, but any anything
that supports OpenTelemetry, Claude code

00:42:04.108 --> 00:42:06.188
now supports. I think it's incredible,

00:42:07.228 --> 00:42:11.788
and I think it's very interesting how what
you just said, Wolfram, where they try to

00:42:11.868 --> 00:42:15.957
prevent distillation while also
simultaneously allowing Claude, Claude to

00:42:15.998 --> 00:42:18.088
send his traces in uh OpenTelemetry.

00:42:18.768 --> 00:42:20.307
Though this was never a problem.

00:42:20.408 --> 00:42:21.767
Claude was always writing the

00:42:22.648 --> 00:42:24.047
conversations to local, right?

00:42:24.088 --> 00:42:26.008
So you always able to get it on disk.

00:42:26.968 --> 00:42:28.347
They were not, they're not encrypted.

00:42:28.368 --> 00:42:31.447
The reasoning traces are encrypted, but
the conversations themselves aren't.

00:42:31.847 --> 00:42:33.257
Uh, but I think a, it's a cool tool.

00:42:33.458 --> 00:42:35.717
You can, send your traces to observability
stacks.

00:42:36.398 --> 00:42:40.208
Uh, and this includes everything, agent
turns and tool calls and MCP calls and

00:42:40.448 --> 00:42:44.247
latency and token usage, so you can, like,
properly measure how much Claude is

00:42:44.328 --> 00:42:47.047
costing you. Uh, and if you're a company,
you can do this at scale.

00:42:49.808 --> 00:42:51.408
Oh, there's one stat here from Ramp.

00:42:51.528 --> 00:42:56.767
They said this helped them to cut token
use to 10 to 20% on some agents because

00:42:56.848 --> 00:42:59.448
they learned that some of their agents are
running through loops.

00:42:59.728 --> 00:43:03.007
Will you guys be, are you guys following
your agents in any way?

00:43:03.128 --> 00:43:04.647
Are you evaluating them based on this way?

00:43:04.728 --> 00:43:06.608
Will you be using this from Claude Code?

00:43:08.448 --> 00:43:10.067
Nisten and Yam both shook heads.

00:43:10.688 --> 00:43:11.468
Nisten Tahiraj: Definitely gonna try.

00:43:11.488 --> 00:43:12.247
Alex Volkov: Somebody pick it up.

00:43:13.808 --> 00:43:15.587
Nisten Tahiraj: Yeah, this sounds good, especially for

00:43:16.248 --> 00:43:18.408
stopping loops and getting over all

00:43:19.328 --> 00:43:22.747
agent stuff. I- I have noticed that, uh,
Claude Code does,

00:43:23.728 --> 00:43:27.468
does tend to stop often if you have
anything to do with the reasoning, now it

00:43:27.488 --> 00:43:30.048
just like triggers it as a, as a, as a
word.

00:43:30.448 --> 00:43:34.428
Like, if you're working with any type of
LLM, like I've been working on WebGPU, the

00:43:34.488 --> 00:43:37.947
moment I even like mention anything about
reasoning, now, now it just triggers it

00:43:38.008 --> 00:43:38.408
right away,

00:43:39.048 --> 00:43:41.608
uh, which is like for a small model, but
yeah.

00:43:43.408 --> 00:43:43.807
Alex Volkov: Um.

00:43:44.168 --> 00:43:47.087
Nisten Tahiraj: Still good, though. It's, you can't beat
Opus, so.

00:43:48.568 --> 00:43:53.167
Alex Volkov: Opus inside the Claude Code harness, I
think it's still the best tool

00:43:54.087 --> 00:43:56.568
for overall tasks and doing some stuff.

00:43:56.768 --> 00:43:58.887
Uh, Opus also helped prepare the show.

00:43:59.128 --> 00:44:00.168
Nisten Tahiraj: Just Opus Low.

00:44:00.368 --> 00:44:02.827
If you need to do something, just try

00:44:03.527 --> 00:44:05.367
all in Opus Low, guys.

00:44:06.008 --> 00:44:07.527
It is just straight up vibing.

00:44:08.087 --> 00:44:12.047
Alex Volkov: Um, so I think, and because of this
reason, Anthropic is also going to do an

00:44:12.148 --> 00:44:13.107
explosive IPO.

00:44:13.708 --> 00:44:19.568
Um, they reported an insane quarter, uh,
16.8 billion dollars, about

00:44:19.708 --> 00:44:22.628
45% from the second quarter increase.

00:44:23.867 --> 00:44:27.708
Adjusted profitable to the second quarter
in a row and cash flow positive.

00:44:28.588 --> 00:44:33.748
Anthropic is profitable and cash flow
positive and gets billions of dollars and

00:44:33.908 --> 00:44:34.227
going

00:44:35.068 --> 00:44:35.748
45%

00:44:36.548 --> 00:44:38.347
from the previous quarter still.

00:44:39.308 --> 00:44:40.807
it's absolutely insane.

00:44:40.998 --> 00:44:43.977
Nisten Tahiraj: I think they're- they have way better
opinionated,

00:44:44.598 --> 00:44:44.938
uh,

00:44:45.798 --> 00:44:48.317
coding than the other models.

00:44:48.558 --> 00:44:52.078
I think people are impressed more like by
the, the agentic and completeness ability

00:44:52.118 --> 00:44:56.077
of Astra, but like the actual quality of
the code, it's, it's not that good.

00:44:57.078 --> 00:45:00.958
I mean, it's pretty good, uh, but it, it's
not as good as Opus.

00:45:01.038 --> 00:45:04.297
And when it comes to DevOps, even Opus is
bad, and Astra is like even

00:45:04.958 --> 00:45:09.537
below that. Yeah, I, I think they still
have a lot of tricks, and it's mainly

00:45:09.678 --> 00:45:10.917
because of Haiku, honestly.

00:45:11.558 --> 00:45:14.037
It's- Haiku is like the most disruptive,
uh,

00:45:14.638 --> 00:45:15.857
model I think they've ever

00:45:16.558 --> 00:45:21.678
released at that price, and they even give
you 200 dollars in credits now to just use

00:45:22.478 --> 00:45:26.357
throughout apps. That's not gonna run out
at 1 cent at 100K.

00:45:26.398 --> 00:45:30.118
Like, whatever app you're gonna serve to
people, if you just keep it under 100K

00:45:30.278 --> 00:45:34.657
context for Haiku, which most
conversational UX stuff is, is good

00:45:34.678 --> 00:45:35.037
enough.

00:45:36.118 --> 00:45:40.138
That is more than enough, and on the max
plan, that 200 dollars, that's probably

00:45:40.198 --> 00:45:42.557
gonna support like a thousand users pretty
easily.

00:45:42.958 --> 00:45:43.097
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

00:45:43.438 --> 00:45:46.278
Nisten Tahiraj: 10 cents in, 1 cent cash, that's,

00:45:47.198 --> 00:45:49.777
uh, yeah, it's just, it's just way too
cheap.

00:45:49.907 --> 00:45:51.248
Alex Volkov: so let's talk about the subscription saga.

00:45:51.308 --> 00:45:52.548
Wolfram, I'm gonna put you up there,

00:45:53.751 --> 00:45:58.192
As we said, we would love to use personal
agents with the Opus 5.5 level.

00:45:58.312 --> 00:45:59.431
Now it seems like it's possible.

00:45:59.565 --> 00:46:00.622
could you cover that a little bit?

00:46:00.682 --> 00:46:04.162
Did you see this? The Claude SDK and the
slash P stuff.

00:46:05.202 --> 00:46:08.281
Wolfram Ravenwolf: That's why I was waiting for the new
Hermes update, where this is now possible

00:46:08.321 --> 00:46:08.842
to do. So

00:46:09.602 --> 00:46:14.642
I cancelled my subscription with Opus
when, or with uh, Anthropic, when uh, you

00:46:14.802 --> 00:46:17.381
weren't able to use it without getting
banned.

00:46:17.522 --> 00:46:21.921
Some people apparently got banned for
using it, and uh, so that was when I

00:46:22.042 --> 00:46:25.681
decided I don't want the subscription if I
can't use it with the agent I'm using.

00:46:26.202 --> 00:46:30.022
I pay for this, and if it's Claude Code or
if it's Hermes, it shouldn't matter, in my

00:46:30.082 --> 00:46:34.661
opinion. And now it's possible to use your
personal agent, be it Hermes, OpenClaw,

00:46:34.802 --> 00:46:40.502
whatever you use, and connect the SDK, the
agent SDK, and use Opus as the

00:46:40.602 --> 00:46:45.122
main model in your own agent that way,
again, in a legal way without being

00:46:45.282 --> 00:46:50.082
banned. So yeah, now it's possible again,
and I have to reconsider resubscribing.

00:46:50.922 --> 00:46:55.201
Alex Volkov: So the cool thing about, what happened 2
weeks ago is that not only did OpenAI

00:46:55.362 --> 00:46:56.142
always allow this

00:46:57.162 --> 00:47:01.421
use case, they also literally shipped a
button and an integration called, like,

00:47:01.802 --> 00:47:05.902
sign with your ChatGPT, and then the other
products could use your tokens from your

00:47:06.002 --> 00:47:07.021
subscription, right?

00:47:07.082 --> 00:47:07.202
So

00:47:07.841 --> 00:47:09.421
Devin is one example from Cognition.

00:47:09.482 --> 00:47:11.181
It supports that use case from the get-go.

00:47:11.562 --> 00:47:14.981
Hermes Agent was called out on stage, Nous
Research, shout out to Nous Research, our

00:47:15.042 --> 00:47:17.962
good friends from there, and congrats on
their round again.

00:47:18.401 --> 00:47:22.422
Um, and Hermes Agent is now going to
support both, and this was always the use

00:47:22.442 --> 00:47:25.489
case with OpenAI. It looks looks like
Anthropic kind of needs to follow suit.

00:47:26.264 --> 00:47:27.363
so now it's going to be possible.

00:47:27.504 --> 00:47:31.953
Quinn Slack, also a friend from AMP, the
coding agent, said that this is why now

00:47:32.134 --> 00:47:33.333
you can use their models.

00:47:34.334 --> 00:47:36.053
Uh, Peter Gostev, will you take the risk?

00:47:36.173 --> 00:47:40.053
Will you use your Anthropic subscription
within external tools, or will you just

00:47:40.094 --> 00:47:41.494
say, ah, Claude Code is good enough?

00:47:43.173 --> 00:47:43.532
Peter Gostev: Yeah,

00:47:44.994 --> 00:47:48.233
it is kind of a, a funny one, because I
think they're clearly trying to push you

00:47:48.274 --> 00:47:50.274
in the direction of, of using Claude Code.

00:47:50.614 --> 00:47:50.793
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

00:47:50.934 --> 00:47:54.013
Peter Gostev: Um, so yeah, it's kind of annoying.

00:47:54.294 --> 00:47:57.974
I don't know, aren't they making enough
money already to just let people be?

00:47:58.574 --> 00:48:01.334
Like, uh, I f- I feel like there, there
should be more freedom.

00:48:01.374 --> 00:48:06.313
But yeah, I mean, I, I don't personally,
I, I just don't because I, I've got enough

00:48:06.654 --> 00:48:09.753
stuff going on. I use other models via Pi,
for example, if I need to.

00:48:09.854 --> 00:48:11.614
I find that, uh, more convenient.

00:48:12.174 --> 00:48:14.513
Um, because I, and I'll tell you why, is
that I think

00:48:15.134 --> 00:48:20.033
with Anthropic, with OpenAI, they clearly,
their main priority is to use their own

00:48:20.134 --> 00:48:21.893
models, right, and to,

00:48:22.694 --> 00:48:27.953
uh, and to kind of, uh, to, to coordinate
everything, and I think it's just easier

00:48:28.054 --> 00:48:28.813
to, to,

00:48:29.454 --> 00:48:32.373
uh, use other models in other ways, but
yeah, it,

00:48:33.054 --> 00:48:37.714
uh, I, I prefer to just match the harness
to the model, basically, and simply put.

00:48:39.174 --> 00:48:42.013
Alex Volkov: Harness to the model, I think, is very
important and something that folks miss.

00:48:43.574 --> 00:48:46.133
Claude Code and Claude definitely go hand
in hand.

00:48:46.414 --> 00:48:48.934
Again, Muse Wonder and Muse probably go
hand in hand as well.

00:48:49.758 --> 00:48:54.518
Codex is also very good with Astra and
less so in other places, and that's why

00:48:54.798 --> 00:48:55.897
it's, for agents like

00:48:56.558 --> 00:48:58.587
Hermes, it's some time to catch up.

00:48:58.788 --> 00:48:59.627
And there's a rumor,

00:49:00.548 --> 00:49:04.428
and we don't love rumors here, but we will
say it, that Fable 5.5

00:49:05.468 --> 00:49:05.947
showed up.

00:49:07.308 --> 00:49:07.511
And I

00:49:08.552 --> 00:49:13.412
I think I'm like, I'm getting tired of
rumors, so I'm gonna do this for just one

00:49:13.512 --> 00:49:14.872
second. This is not planned.

00:49:15.272 --> 00:49:15.711
But hey,

00:49:16.872 --> 00:49:22.404
uh, Anthropic is going to release Fable 6
also, and then, Opus 6 is going to come

00:49:22.445 --> 00:49:26.304
out, and then Opus 6.1 or 6.5 is going to
come out after that, it's going to be even

00:49:26.365 --> 00:49:28.045
better, and then Opus 7.

00:49:28.485 --> 00:49:31.005
Uh, so if you heard it here first, Opus 7
is coming.

00:49:31.564 --> 00:49:35.444
We just don't know when or how, but I'm
getting tired of this, like, oh, this

00:49:35.565 --> 00:49:39.555
model is coming and this getting just a
lot of, o- okay, so, so when we, when

00:49:39.595 --> 00:49:43.115
we'll get it, we'll get it. I don't
understand why this, why the X algorithm

00:49:43.155 --> 00:49:45.254
for all of us is so fine-tuned on just
like

00:49:46.355 --> 00:49:51.234
trying to snipe the news of something that
we all know is on a continuous improvement

00:49:51.355 --> 00:49:52.154
loop all the time.

00:49:52.955 --> 00:49:56.295
Could you just tell me if that's
interesting to you when you see somebody

00:49:56.355 --> 00:49:57.075
and just like, oh,

00:49:57.885 --> 00:49:59.605
I've seen this leak or whatever.

00:50:00.565 --> 00:50:02.405
We know the models are gonna get better.

00:50:02.485 --> 00:50:06.244
We know it's very important for these labs
to tell you how better they were gonna

00:50:06.285 --> 00:50:08.765
get. It's, it was especially important
pre-IPO.

00:50:09.325 --> 00:50:12.884
Um, I'm interested in testing them out,
playing with them, hearing what Peter

00:50:12.925 --> 00:50:17.365
says, what Nisten and Wolfram and Yam say,
rather than just like knowing the news.

00:50:18.045 --> 00:50:21.045
But given said all that, somebody did spot

00:50:21.805 --> 00:50:24.684
Fable 5.5, so I'm very excited to see how
that's gonna go.

00:50:25.765 --> 00:50:28.404
Uh, comments? Did you guys hear my, do do
you push back?

00:50:28.465 --> 00:50:31.275
Do you feel like it's, it's important to
snipe and like do breaking news, et

00:50:31.295 --> 00:50:33.575
cetera, at this age, or are we getting a
little bit of

00:50:34.295 --> 00:50:36.935
tired of models getting better, numbers
got better?

00:50:37.775 --> 00:50:40.475
Nisten Tahiraj: I want to see them run a full factory or
something.

00:50:40.575 --> 00:50:41.734
That's that rumor.

00:50:42.615 --> 00:50:46.875
Like, I want to see a whole bunch of
humanoids running whatever model

00:50:47.655 --> 00:50:48.775
that, uh, yeah.

00:50:49.815 --> 00:50:51.814
Yeah, they're, yeah, the models are going
to get better, of course.

00:50:52.295 --> 00:50:54.255
There's going to be, there's going to be
all Opus 6.

00:50:54.495 --> 00:50:58.394
I think Anthropic's going to not allow
everyone to just stay on top of the

00:50:58.455 --> 00:50:59.314
benchmarks. They always

00:51:00.015 --> 00:51:01.295
have something in the,

00:51:01.935 --> 00:51:03.274
in the back end, but uh,

00:51:03.895 --> 00:51:06.654
yeah, rumors now are more acceptable for

00:51:07.695 --> 00:51:12.855
uh, like actual humanoids running a
factory, running a hospital or something.

00:51:13.215 --> 00:51:13.814
We gotta,

00:51:14.615 --> 00:51:18.254
uh, we gotta leave the rumors for more
like actual physical stuff.

00:51:20.055 --> 00:51:21.154
Yeah, I agree.

00:51:21.415 --> 00:51:21.814
That's,

00:51:22.495 --> 00:51:23.414
I'm not sure why.

00:51:24.935 --> 00:51:26.634
Like everybody else, it's common sense.

00:51:26.695 --> 00:51:27.175
I don't know.

00:51:27.534 --> 00:51:27.754
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

00:51:28.619 --> 00:51:29.099
Wolfram,

00:51:30.058 --> 00:51:32.219
from an evaluation standpoint, do you
think that,

00:51:32.863 --> 00:51:36.562
s- sniping the news and telling you, oh,
this model is coming is still important,

00:51:36.623 --> 00:51:37.662
or are we like past that?

00:51:38.623 --> 00:51:42.862
Wolfram Ravenwolf: I mean, right now, the most important
thing for most people using agents is to

00:51:42.943 --> 00:51:45.143
have a way to use a subscription, so

00:51:45.823 --> 00:51:49.562
if the new model comes out and it's API
only, or it's so expensive that you run

00:51:49.623 --> 00:51:51.282
out of, uh, your tokens as

00:51:51.943 --> 00:51:55.883
as quickly and you can't really use it,
it's not as useful as a model that is just

00:51:56.023 --> 00:51:59.463
smart enough. And I think we are reaching
a point where a model is smart enough for

00:51:59.583 --> 00:51:59.782
most

00:52:00.383 --> 00:52:03.562
users, and the much higher intelligence is
only for

00:52:04.343 --> 00:52:09.263
bigger projects and stuff that you as a,
as a user of a personal agent are not even

00:52:09.423 --> 00:52:10.203
needing for

00:52:11.023 --> 00:52:14.823
book me a flight or, uh, plan my vacation
and stuff like that.

00:52:15.743 --> 00:52:15.883
Alex Volkov: No.

00:52:15.983 --> 00:52:20.242
Wolfram Ravenwolf: I think there's a limit to what we really
need, and everything beyond that is on a

00:52:20.383 --> 00:52:22.822
company level and not on a personal level
anymore.

00:52:24.143 --> 00:52:26.542
Peter Gostev: Um, I, uh, completely disagree.

00:52:26.823 --> 00:52:31.843
I think we're gonna look back at this a
year later, gonna be like, oh, we were so,

00:52:31.983 --> 00:52:33.143
so stupid and naive.

00:52:33.343 --> 00:52:34.463
I think it's gonna be amazing.

00:52:34.502 --> 00:52:39.723
And I, I, I get your point, like, I think
it's kinda, kinda tedious, you know, this

00:52:39.983 --> 00:52:42.162
number is gonna go up. But I think

00:52:42.783 --> 00:52:43.443
the fact that

00:52:44.703 --> 00:52:46.122
we, we shouldn't take it for granted.

00:52:46.223 --> 00:52:50.002
I think OpenAI and Anthropic are the two
labs that actually ship models very

00:52:50.183 --> 00:52:50.643
regularly.

00:52:51.023 --> 00:52:51.203
Alex Volkov: Mhm.

00:52:51.223 --> 00:52:53.862
Peter Gostev: But we haven't seen a full pro model from,

00:52:54.543 --> 00:52:58.403
uh, Google for, what, 8, 10 months?

00:52:58.502 --> 00:52:59.822
I, I don't know, haven't counted.

00:52:59.903 --> 00:53:02.422
So they, they were only shipping, uh,
flash models.

00:53:02.983 --> 00:53:07.883
So I think, well, you, I, I find it
perfectly reasonable for people not to pay

00:53:07.903 --> 00:53:11.963
attention to rumors, but I think there is
information in it when, when, uh,

00:53:12.143 --> 00:53:13.143
companies actually ship.

00:53:13.543 --> 00:53:18.562
So let's say if there is a scenario that
Anthropic doesn't ship 5.5 Fable for

00:53:18.623 --> 00:53:22.262
another 2 months, I think that's also kind
of newsworthy, like what happened there?

00:53:22.703 --> 00:53:22.842
Alex Volkov: Mm.

00:53:22.863 --> 00:53:28.603
Peter Gostev: Um, so yeah, it's a, I that, so I think it
can kind of go both ways, um,

00:53:28.863 --> 00:53:33.343
which I don't think you have to have
rumors for, but I still, I I still get a

00:53:33.383 --> 00:53:34.862
little bit of information out of it.

00:53:34.943 --> 00:53:38.522
So yeah, we'll see, like I haven't
counted, uh, how many weeks

00:53:39.263 --> 00:53:42.903
OpenAI, when did they first kind of, um,
had Astra

00:53:43.543 --> 00:53:46.763
released? It's probably what, like a month
ago, 6 weeks ago, something like that.

00:53:46.863 --> 00:53:49.353
Alex Volkov: Astra is around a month ago, 5 month, 5
weeks ago or something, yeah.

00:53:49.773 --> 00:53:54.613
Peter Gostev: So, so yeah, you'd expect them to, I'm
gonna leave 6.1 Sol aside because I think

00:53:54.653 --> 00:53:59.713
that was like maybe out of cycle a little
bit, but eh, the next Astra, you'd think

00:53:59.773 --> 00:54:00.872
that's probably another month

00:54:01.573 --> 00:54:05.433
away, right? So I think, but if it's 2
months away, then I think we'll get some

00:54:05.533 --> 00:54:08.973
information out of it because it's, uh,
like they're probably spending more time,

00:54:09.213 --> 00:54:11.593
I know, aligning the model or something
like that.

00:54:11.693 --> 00:54:11.813
So

00:54:12.453 --> 00:54:17.353
yeah, so, you know, I'm very pro rumor,
but, you know, uh, the- I'm also a psycho,

00:54:17.413 --> 00:54:18.032
so, you know,

00:54:18.733 --> 00:54:19.572
you don't have to be.

00:54:19.853 --> 00:54:25.372
Alex Volkov: I- I- I think first of all, the descending
opinions is, I talked to our fans, in

00:54:25.513 --> 00:54:29.273
IRL, they love this. That when we
disagree, we give like multiple, sides of

00:54:29.313 --> 00:54:31.433
the story, and I think they actually do
love this.

00:54:31.673 --> 00:54:35.482
So that's great, Peter, and I do think
that, you're giving an additional insight

00:54:35.543 --> 00:54:38.782
there where now Anthropic is going to be
public in IPO,

00:54:39.543 --> 00:54:42.402
whether or not they're going to release a
new model actually will move the news,

00:54:42.543 --> 00:54:44.943
will move markets, given how big Anthropic
is.

00:54:45.303 --> 00:54:47.302
Uh, that's a very interesting kind of
thing.

00:54:47.423 --> 00:54:51.496
So maybe we're, after doing this for quite
a while, maybe we need to find the passion

00:54:51.536 --> 00:54:53.496
again to say, oh, this model's coming,
yeah, let's go.

00:54:53.896 --> 00:54:56.236
Um, but yeah, we'll definitely get there.

00:54:56.316 --> 00:54:56.436
So

00:54:57.236 --> 00:54:59.656
I think that's enough about Anthropic, um,

00:55:00.316 --> 00:55:02.956
and given, let me see if I can make this
connection here.

00:55:03.356 --> 00:55:07.036
Given that Anthropic is going to IPO
likely on Wall Street, and given that I am

00:55:07.116 --> 00:55:10.155
here very, very close to Wall Street, and
the reason I'm here is AI Engineer.

00:55:10.236 --> 00:55:12.276
Let's talk about AI Engineer in New York.

00:55:12.596 --> 00:55:12.915
Uh,

00:55:13.636 --> 00:55:16.696
nice? Yeah, okay. this week, AI Engineer
in New York.

00:55:16.896 --> 00:55:19.106
This is the second New York, AI Engineer
conference.

00:55:19.146 --> 00:55:22.846
For those of you who are new to our show
and not familiar with AI Engineer, uh,

00:55:23.026 --> 00:55:26.605
ThursdAI started as a Twitter space and
then became a podcast, and the first time

00:55:26.666 --> 00:55:30.285
that I ever told anyone else when they
said, hey, what do you do?

00:55:30.466 --> 00:55:34.745
I told them I have a podcast, was on my
way to AI Engineer in 2023 to cover it.

00:55:35.266 --> 00:55:41.075
Uh, since then, the conference has blown
up, and swyx, the co-host of Latent Space

00:55:41.116 --> 00:55:43.836
and the creator of AI Engineer category
and the

00:55:44.516 --> 00:55:44.996
conference,

00:55:45.716 --> 00:55:49.675
has been curating incredible folks
throughout these conferences.

00:55:49.836 --> 00:55:52.475
So we went live, earlier this year twice.

00:55:52.956 --> 00:55:57.926
One time from the Moscone West was this,
with Wolfram during the, in the middle of

00:55:58.006 --> 00:56:01.286
show The Engineer, and then, uh, Peter
actually interviewed you when we chatted

00:56:01.326 --> 00:56:03.486
in London as well. So we went live from
London,

00:56:04.126 --> 00:56:04.446
um,

00:56:05.246 --> 00:56:07.046
Wolfram as well, uh, and

00:56:07.726 --> 00:56:11.405
this time, for some reason, they decided
not to do it on Thursday, but we're here

00:56:11.486 --> 00:56:13.026
in New York, after AI Engineer.

00:56:13.546 --> 00:56:18.366
And what interests me about this specific
conference is the zeitgeist is incredible

00:56:18.426 --> 00:56:22.226
because a lot of folks come there, first
of all, to learn so that you know that the

00:56:22.286 --> 00:56:24.745
speakers are gonna get deliver something,
but also the hallway conversations.

00:56:24.846 --> 00:56:28.455
And so I have a little bit of a, like,
debrief for you because I know that many

00:56:28.496 --> 00:56:29.615
people did not make it to New York.

00:56:29.756 --> 00:56:31.515
None of my co-hosts are here in New York
right now.

00:56:31.956 --> 00:56:34.475
Um, and so here's a little bit of a
debrief.

00:56:34.916 --> 00:56:35.115
This

00:56:35.756 --> 00:56:40.355
specific conference, specific- because it
was around adjacent to Wall Street, this

00:56:40.436 --> 00:56:41.995
focused on finance and AI.

00:56:42.476 --> 00:56:44.116
The big hedge funds were all here.

00:56:44.395 --> 00:56:44.855
Um,

00:56:46.316 --> 00:56:48.196
Two Sigma, let me go find them.

00:56:49.116 --> 00:56:54.815
Capital One and just Bridgewater, Apollo,
Citadel, Bloomberg, like all of those

00:56:54.916 --> 00:56:57.516
folks, and then OpenAI and Anthropic were
also here.

00:56:57.876 --> 00:57:02.236
Uh, the big theme from Latent Space, what
they said, was autonomy versus security.

00:57:02.756 --> 00:57:05.196
Now that the big companies are actually
running agents.

00:57:06.116 --> 00:57:10.075
And when I say now that the companies are
running agents, to contrast, a year ago,

00:57:10.596 --> 00:57:15.515
2025 was the year of agents in quotes, and
the zeitgeist was agents don't work.

00:57:16.276 --> 00:57:18.135
This was before Opus 4.5.

00:57:18.235 --> 00:57:21.235
This was before the kind of the November,
January revolution.

00:57:22.316 --> 00:57:26.316
Just scroll back just a year ago, agents
did not do work, and now all these folks

00:57:26.396 --> 00:57:29.456
are saying, oh shit, agents do so much
work that we need to like put guardrails

00:57:29.476 --> 00:57:34.235
on them and do like, how do we, how do we
deal with autonomy and models crossing the

00:57:34.316 --> 00:57:36.795
threshold from non-coding work to like
making decisions?

00:57:36.916 --> 00:57:40.935
There's now agents inside banks, there's
golden data sets, there's evals, there's a

00:57:41.016 --> 00:57:45.595
bunch of stuff that the industry now
contends with that they didn't have to a

00:57:45.656 --> 00:57:46.896
year ago, because a year ago

00:57:47.576 --> 00:57:51.655
agents did not work. Most of the AI in, in
companies were software engineers trying

00:57:51.676 --> 00:57:53.335
to get, lines of code out.

00:57:53.736 --> 00:57:57.296
Now there's like agentic things happening
inside most of these ones.

00:57:57.856 --> 00:58:02.995
Nisten Tahiraj: Like 2 years ago, I think I posted
something about I've never seen an agent

00:58:03.256 --> 00:58:06.975
actually do anything useful other than
Plinys buying crypto,

00:58:07.576 --> 00:58:09.455
and that was, uh, that was only 2 years
ago.

00:58:09.696 --> 00:58:12.415
So just remember, everyone's opinion is
always wrong

00:58:13.136 --> 00:58:14.695
at some, at some point.

00:58:15.056 --> 00:58:18.356
Yeah, there was a tweet from me yesterday,
I don't know what people are doing with

00:58:18.456 --> 00:58:18.835
agents.

00:58:19.096 --> 00:58:20.716
Alex Volkov: No, but also we're changing so fast.

00:58:20.736 --> 00:58:22.595
Nisten Tahiraj: And then it just completely

00:58:23.016 --> 00:58:23.156
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

00:58:23.296 --> 00:58:24.975
Nisten Tahiraj: flip one, one, yeah.

00:58:25.296 --> 00:58:27.109
Alex Volkov: And this is what we talk about when we
talk about acceleration.

00:58:27.109 --> 00:58:30.655
you, you can't be looking at the current
state of the world right now and say, hey,

00:58:31.056 --> 00:58:34.596
AI is this. You, you have to start, this
is why we're talking about acceleration.

00:58:34.616 --> 00:58:37.395
This is why we're try- trying to bring you
the news and the use cases because, we

00:58:37.496 --> 00:58:38.595
kind of feel that this is happening.

00:58:38.616 --> 00:58:41.806
So all the banks are now, thinking about
this, like, very strongly.

00:58:41.946 --> 00:58:45.626
Not only AI engineers are spending tokens,
banks are actually using agentic

00:58:45.906 --> 00:58:46.936
processes. Max

00:58:47.656 --> 00:58:53.436
Kanat Alexander, he is, I believe he's a,
a distinguished engineer in, at

00:58:53.816 --> 00:58:54.416
Capital One.

00:58:55.775 --> 00:59:00.175
He was the code simplicity guy, uh, and he
did a bunch of Kubernetes stuff at Google.

00:59:00.216 --> 00:59:01.536
He's a fascinating dude to talk to.

00:59:01.976 --> 00:59:03.735
His talk was the highlight.

00:59:04.176 --> 00:59:08.055
Uh, he said, like, he talked about, does
code quality even matter?

00:59:08.456 --> 00:59:11.395
Uh, given the background of this person, I
think it's very, very important.

00:59:11.715 --> 00:59:15.337
A principal software engineer and open
source, back in Google.

00:59:15.438 --> 00:59:17.468
He- He- he led a bunch of the bug stuff in
Google.

00:59:17.948 --> 00:59:21.918
Uh, he basically says the code quality
matters in proportion to how durable your

00:59:22.018 --> 00:59:22.657
software is,

00:59:23.298 --> 00:59:27.178
uh, because AI is about to make a whole
new kind of software way more common,

00:59:27.498 --> 00:59:28.657
disposable software.

00:59:29.218 --> 00:59:32.068
Just write once, use it, and then just
throw it away.

00:59:32.308 --> 00:59:34.868
So when you have disposable software, does

00:59:35.508 --> 00:59:36.868
quality matter if it works?

00:59:37.548 --> 00:59:43.257
If you build a calculator or an app for
yourself, party planner, like, who, like,

00:59:43.358 --> 00:59:47.037
does it matter? So this was one great, uh,

00:59:47.718 --> 00:59:52.318
show, and I recommend folks to tune into
the AI Engineer live stream on YouTube,

00:59:52.768 --> 00:59:54.127
which you can rewatch if you want to.

00:59:54.248 --> 00:59:55.728
The talks will get released.

00:59:56.608 --> 01:00:00.587
The other kind of like hallway
conversation was, first of all, about

01:00:00.648 --> 01:00:02.607
evals and whether or not agents are
working.

01:00:03.048 --> 01:00:06.797
Um, but as I said in the beginning of the
show, the thing that was highlight for me,

01:00:07.238 --> 01:00:08.957
which I do want to ask you guys about as
well,

01:00:09.718 --> 01:00:09.877
is

01:00:10.918 --> 01:00:15.418
the disconnect between how advanced all
those AI engineers are in use cases and

01:00:15.718 --> 01:00:17.117
harnesses and personal agents

01:00:17.998 --> 01:00:20.478
with the revolution of personal agents for
normies.

01:00:21.478 --> 01:00:24.877
And how, when I talk to some of these AI
engineers, I'm like, hey, do you use

01:00:25.078 --> 01:00:26.778
Instinct, Muse, Grokbot, or

01:00:27.558 --> 01:00:32.257
whatever? And I don't get an answer yes
from them, and that's really, really

01:00:32.398 --> 01:00:35.808
something, because many of the engineers
just like build their own harnesses or use

01:00:35.888 --> 01:00:37.548
Claude Code or Codex, and why not

01:00:38.208 --> 01:00:39.647
use Codex for some of this stuff?

01:00:40.208 --> 01:00:41.687
And so there's like a big disconnect,

01:00:42.568 --> 01:00:45.598
which is very interesting to me
specifically because how big and wide

01:00:45.698 --> 01:00:49.158
OpenClaw and the Hermes Agent got, and
those are harnesses you can tweak and play

01:00:49.178 --> 01:00:49.957
with. Um,

01:00:50.578 --> 01:00:52.658
so I did, I did notice this in the halls
as well.

01:00:53.338 --> 01:00:57.368
And, specifically, this is highlighted for
me because I did talk, like Wolfram does,

01:00:58.008 --> 01:01:00.608
to every person in the world that is not
an engineer.

01:01:00.648 --> 01:01:03.407
Wolfram talks to stewardesses on planes to
try to AI pill them.

01:01:03.728 --> 01:01:07.107
Uh, so I did the same. Wolfram, I took a
page out of your book and I talked with,

01:01:07.648 --> 01:01:08.087
there was

01:01:10.488 --> 01:01:12.888
the Token Billionaires Lounge we w- told
you about before.

01:01:12.951 --> 01:01:14.467
This, this AI engineer had this again.

01:01:14.708 --> 01:01:18.887
So if you are spending more than 1 billion
tokens a week or something, you get this

01:01:18.988 --> 01:01:19.627
golden card.

01:01:20.588 --> 01:01:23.507
I think I have it, hold on. Wolfram,
there's a new card that you need to get.

01:01:24.708 --> 01:01:28.607
The token billionaires card kind of looks
like this, and then this gives you access

01:01:28.668 --> 01:01:29.588
to this, like, lounge.

01:01:30.508 --> 01:01:33.107
That this lounge is kind of like for
billionaires lounge.

01:01:33.548 --> 01:01:36.288
There were a lot of service providers in
that lounge that were not part of the

01:01:36.348 --> 01:01:38.268
conference, and I tried to talk with them.

01:01:38.988 --> 01:01:41.307
Here's the thing that I got from them, not
from the engineers.

01:01:41.428 --> 01:01:46.268
All of them know about Muse because Muse
is getting pushed down their throats in

01:01:46.388 --> 01:01:47.667
every Instagram post.

01:01:48.067 --> 01:01:49.418
Like, Zuck is really going out of their
way.

01:01:49.457 --> 01:01:52.587
So, like, they all know about Muse. Many
of them didn't install it or didn't get,

01:01:53.942 --> 01:01:56.572
why it's, why it's good for them, didn't
yet, catch that.

01:01:57.532 --> 01:01:59.452
Uh, so those conversations were
fascinating.

01:01:59.932 --> 01:02:01.452
Um, let's see what else.

01:02:02.492 --> 01:02:04.052
So, AI engineer, if you haven't been
there.

01:02:04.332 --> 01:02:06.992
The highlight for me, and I, I tell it to
everyone also.

01:02:08.312 --> 01:02:11.591
If you're listening to the show, you're
good enough to submit a

01:02:12.231 --> 01:02:13.791
talk proposal to AI Engineer.

01:02:13.992 --> 01:02:18.211
And if you submit a proposal to AI
Engineer, you get access, and Wolfram and

01:02:18.312 --> 01:02:20.151
Peter both can comment that this is true.

01:02:20.552 --> 01:02:22.152
You get access to this, where am I?

01:02:22.192 --> 01:02:25.591
Oh, there we go. Uh, you get access to
this amazing speakers lounge where all the

01:02:25.672 --> 01:02:30.072
speakers that are hand selected are top of
the level of people, and you get also

01:02:30.192 --> 01:02:31.231
access to Speakers Dinner.

01:02:31.312 --> 01:02:35.581
And to me, the Speakers Dinner and the
Speakers Lounge hangout is the highest

01:02:35.881 --> 01:02:39.481
tier of, folks who understand whatever
word I say.

01:02:39.722 --> 01:02:42.082
You don't need to explain what harness is.

01:02:42.332 --> 01:02:43.492
you actually learn a lot.

01:02:44.092 --> 01:02:48.311
One example that I can shout out is, I
just w- were walking by and somebody,

01:02:48.532 --> 01:02:49.632
somebody's tag said linear.

01:02:49.852 --> 01:02:50.891
I was like, oh, who's this dude?

01:02:51.092 --> 01:02:52.242
Oh, he's the, you know, the, the

01:02:52.922 --> 01:02:53.662
senior, like,

01:02:54.322 --> 01:02:57.542
I don't remember the full, I think he's
like manages software for Linear, all of

01:02:57.602 --> 01:03:00.222
Linear. Linear is a, agentic forward

01:03:01.142 --> 01:03:02.261
task management software.

01:03:03.702 --> 01:03:05.742
And I had a bunch of feedback about
Linear.

01:03:05.782 --> 01:03:09.362
We just sat down just right there and
talked about how I use Linear with my

01:03:09.422 --> 01:03:10.941
agents and what they can do to improve.

01:03:11.262 --> 01:03:12.521
This is one of those conversations.

01:03:12.542 --> 01:03:16.441
So if you are listening to this pod, if
you have anything to say, I strongly,

01:03:16.542 --> 01:03:20.582
strongly recommend to apply for a
conversation talk at AIE.

01:03:21.262 --> 01:03:22.822
Um, Wolfram, Peter,

01:03:23.622 --> 01:03:25.081
any thoughts on that space?

01:03:26.802 --> 01:03:30.541
Wolfram Ravenwolf: It's the highest level of networking you
can have in the AI space because you are

01:03:30.562 --> 01:03:31.541
not talking to some

01:03:32.162 --> 01:03:35.921
other attendees of a conference, you are
talking to the the big shots who are

01:03:36.162 --> 01:03:38.341
creating the AI news we are reporting
about.

01:03:38.602 --> 01:03:40.562
So this is super, super amazing.

01:03:40.762 --> 01:03:44.722
And even if you don't become a speaker, I
mean, just attending and going to the

01:03:44.882 --> 01:03:49.021
booth and talking to the people you meet
there, they're all the, the people from

01:03:49.122 --> 01:03:51.801
Google and Anthropic and OpenAI, they are
all there.

01:03:52.402 --> 01:03:56.642
So it's the best way to connect to the
makers and shakers in the AI space,

01:03:56.762 --> 01:03:58.521
definitely. Best conference I know.

01:04:00.482 --> 01:04:02.382
Alex Volkov: 100%. Um, Peter, go ahead.

01:04:03.122 --> 01:04:04.522
Peter Gostev: Yeah, now I would say also

01:04:05.482 --> 01:04:10.821
everyone can apply, but do take time to
make a good application because I can't

01:04:10.842 --> 01:04:15.342
remember what the stats were, but I think
swyx was saying, not for this one, but for

01:04:15.362 --> 01:04:20.561
the one in London, I think it was like
the, the acceptance rate was very low.

01:04:21.122 --> 01:04:22.182
So I would say

01:04:23.562 --> 01:04:24.701
put, put effort in.

01:04:24.882 --> 01:04:25.042
It's

01:04:25.082 --> 01:04:25.742
Alex Volkov: Put effort.

01:04:25.762 --> 01:04:28.282
Peter Gostev: It's, yeah, the, the reason why it's a

01:04:29.002 --> 01:04:33.761
good networking, uh, opportunity is
because it is a bunch of good people.

01:04:34.042 --> 01:04:39.881
So, yeah, it's i- it's worth, you know,
don't just LLM generate, uh, your your

01:04:40.802 --> 01:04:42.201
summary and proposal.

01:04:42.442 --> 01:04:43.562
Yeah, take take your time.

01:04:43.922 --> 01:04:47.462
Alex Volkov: Here's an additional insight that I got,
and I think we've talked about this on the

01:04:47.521 --> 01:04:49.841
show, but, obviously this is on our
mindset, right?

01:04:49.882 --> 01:04:50.082
So,

01:04:51.362 --> 01:04:52.121
AI engineer

01:04:53.002 --> 01:04:54.532
in London, the zeitgeist

01:04:55.192 --> 01:04:57.671
were talking about, should we still read
code?

01:04:58.272 --> 01:05:00.131
We don't write code anymore. Should we
still read code?

01:05:00.192 --> 01:05:02.152
I talked about the ZL continuum on my way
back.

01:05:02.952 --> 01:05:06.131
Uh, I think it's clear now that barely,
barely anybody's reading code.

01:05:06.192 --> 01:05:08.952
Now we're like stressed how to even test
it and make it valuable.

01:05:09.592 --> 01:05:10.771
The zeitgeist here

01:05:11.551 --> 01:05:11.771
was

01:05:12.431 --> 01:05:13.572
the end of attention,

01:05:14.272 --> 01:05:19.852
and how do we scale from managing one or
two agents directly by steering them and

01:05:19.912 --> 01:05:20.611
seeing outputs

01:05:21.232 --> 01:05:26.812
to running multiple, multiple tens or
hundreds even agents, and how do we have

01:05:27.192 --> 01:05:31.412
the attention to attend to all of that and
make, decisions, or whether or not we just

01:05:31.432 --> 01:05:33.222
like let this swarm run and deal with
this.

01:05:33.542 --> 01:05:36.061
And I think it's a very interesting, I
talked to many, many people.

01:05:36.302 --> 01:05:39.722
There's not a lot of solutions. Ryan
Carson are, by the way, shout out Ryan.

01:05:39.781 --> 01:05:43.021
We hung out during this whole AI engineer,
our previous, our co-host.

01:05:43.152 --> 01:05:45.652
Um, me and Ryan, we were talking to like a
bunch of people.

01:05:45.732 --> 01:05:48.711
Ryan gave a great talk about this as well,
and he's missing a control plane.

01:05:48.772 --> 01:05:51.971
He's missing like a one central place
where he can like see all of the stuff

01:05:52.032 --> 01:05:52.592
that's working.

01:05:53.312 --> 01:05:56.471
Another thing that was in the zeitgeist is
the move to the cloud.

01:05:56.912 --> 01:05:58.151
Many people are just getting

01:05:58.752 --> 01:06:01.151
limited by their local environments.

01:06:01.952 --> 01:06:04.231
You can see this from the Frontier Labs as
well.

01:06:05.152 --> 01:06:09.572
Codex Cloud just launched, InDev Day
renewed, launched Claude Cloud.

01:06:09.872 --> 01:06:13.352
You can now hand off tasks to the cloud as
well, and they even give you, like Nisten,

01:06:13.372 --> 01:06:17.131
I think you said, they give you some
budget, like 100 dollars, to try the cloud

01:06:17.192 --> 01:06:21.011
thing. Uh, obviously Devin and Cursor,
they have cloud agents, um,

01:06:21.752 --> 01:06:25.571
and folks are getting to the limit of
their environment, not only because

01:06:26.312 --> 01:06:30.131
it doesn't run 24/7, you need to run
caffeinate to keep it running, but also

01:06:30.192 --> 01:06:32.152
because the rock environments are running
out of memory.

01:06:32.712 --> 01:06:34.172
and Peter, I think you mentioned this as
well.

01:06:34.192 --> 01:06:36.871
You're like coding so much in your things
that the agents just like killed your

01:06:36.912 --> 01:06:38.351
computer, so you got a different box.

01:06:38.712 --> 01:06:42.716
Uh, and when you spin those up in
sandboxes on the cloud, you kind of don't

01:06:42.756 --> 01:06:44.275
have this restriction. You c- you can't go
wide.

01:06:44.296 --> 01:06:47.946
So like, we're getting to a point where
not only are we using more billions tokens

01:06:48.026 --> 01:06:50.326
more, my case, definitely Peter's case,

01:06:51.106 --> 01:06:55.806
definitely Wolfram's case, all of us here,
probably like 10x for the past few months,

01:06:55.896 --> 01:06:57.615
and the Zeitgeist and the engineer as
well.

01:06:58.136 --> 01:07:02.035
We also need a place for that whole thing
to happen, all the tools to happen, and

01:07:02.096 --> 01:07:03.695
that's not happening in local environment.

01:07:05.575 --> 01:07:07.216
I heard, um, the engineer.

01:07:07.776 --> 01:07:08.055
Um,

01:07:08.756 --> 01:07:13.746
all right, folks, next up we have, Omar
Sanseviero and Geneviève Huskens, I

01:07:13.906 --> 01:07:16.025
believe. Uh, they're joining us now.

01:07:16.386 --> 01:07:20.646
Uh, just before that, as always, given the
show is sponsored by one sponsor only,

01:07:20.946 --> 01:07:24.745
CoreWeave, I would love to tell you about
some of the stuff that we have, and then

01:07:24.786 --> 01:07:26.846
we're gonna talk with, Geneviève and Omar
about

01:07:27.946 --> 01:07:32.325
finally we got the new big Gemini back,
and it's so exciting to hear about this as

01:07:32.366 --> 01:07:35.866
well. Let's go to this week's buzz, and
just right after that, we'll have our

01:07:35.906 --> 01:07:36.226
guests.

01:07:45.706 --> 01:07:46.425
CoreWeave.

01:07:48.546 --> 01:07:49.346
From CoreWeave.

01:07:54.586 --> 01:07:55.045
I think

01:07:55.945 --> 01:07:56.225
that

01:07:56.826 --> 01:07:57.666
it's time to

01:07:58.506 --> 01:08:02.986
sunset that transition and come up with a
new transition, Wolfram, because, as of 2

01:08:03.026 --> 01:08:05.686
weeks ago, CoreWeave Forge is now,

01:08:07.109 --> 01:08:11.549
the home for the weights and biases as a
tool, and also a bunch of other tools,

01:08:11.948 --> 01:08:13.419
specifically, Agent Lens.

01:08:13.579 --> 01:08:15.808
Agent Lens launches this week, and, if

01:08:16.409 --> 01:08:18.328
the highlight here for me in Agent Lens,

01:08:18.999 --> 01:08:21.609
Wolfram, t- tell me if if if you're also
on this, is that

01:08:22.429 --> 01:08:28.169
Claude Code now supports OpenTelemetry
exports, and then now you can use our

01:08:28.309 --> 01:08:31.219
tools to actually look at the agent
runtimes that you have

01:08:32.019 --> 01:08:34.498
and analyze if it did the work correctly.

01:08:34.939 --> 01:08:36.619
So, um, would,

01:08:38.572 --> 01:08:39.972
would love to just like let you know that

01:08:41.112 --> 01:08:42.271
that you can now use that.

01:08:42.392 --> 01:08:45.171
Uh, you can sign up on
forge.coreweave.com.

01:08:45.267 --> 01:08:48.366
The highlight for me from Fully Connected
2 weeks ago was that

01:08:49.547 --> 01:08:49.866
given

01:08:50.627 --> 01:08:55.687
the previous life at CoreWeave, where you
had to get, you had to go talk to a

01:08:55.747 --> 01:08:58.467
salesperson, register for long contracts
and sign up.

01:08:58.947 --> 01:09:00.946
Forge, for the first time, is our

01:09:01.587 --> 01:09:05.666
register as a regular SaaS offering, and
then you get access to a bunch of tools

01:09:05.787 --> 01:09:08.527
from our, CoreWeave Agentic Cloud, tools
like distillation as well.

01:09:08.767 --> 01:09:14.177
We talked about model distillation a lot
on the show, but now via the OpenPipe

01:09:14.337 --> 01:09:18.147
folks, which are great folks, friends of
the show, you can get, model distillation

01:09:19.567 --> 01:09:21.287
for yourself. You don't have to set that
all up.

01:09:21.567 --> 01:09:23.406
It's all part of forge.coreweave.com.

01:09:24.167 --> 01:09:24.486
Um,

01:09:25.207 --> 01:09:28.376
Wolfram, did you set up your Claude code
with the AgentLens yet?

01:09:28.717 --> 01:09:29.936
Are you sending Otel?

01:09:31.157 --> 01:09:32.576
Wolfram Ravenwolf: At the moment, I, I don't.

01:09:33.037 --> 01:09:37.716
It's all local right now, but uh, it makes
definitely sense to integrate all of this,

01:09:37.797 --> 01:09:41.657
and the integration is what Forge is all
about, to have integrations between all

01:09:41.677 --> 01:09:46.337
the different tools in the whole AI loop,
from the evaluations to the inference it's

01:09:46.397 --> 01:09:49.356
running on to uh, the curation of the data
sets.

01:09:49.437 --> 01:09:52.236
It's all connected, and that is a new
thing, I think.

01:09:52.437 --> 01:09:56.516
Uh, it's not just Weave or a individual
product where you have to export, import

01:09:56.557 --> 01:10:00.176
stuff, you can jump between them and the
connection all on one.

01:10:00.197 --> 01:10:00.516
Alex Volkov: Um,

01:10:00.837 --> 01:10:01.297
Wolfram Ravenwolf: on account.

01:10:01.357 --> 01:10:02.796
Alex Volkov: I want to call out yesterday.

01:10:02.837 --> 01:10:06.426
Yesterday we said, at the event that we
did, we sat down and we talked about some

01:10:06.527 --> 01:10:09.546
stuff, and obviously I was like, okay,
this is a CoreWeave sponsored dinner, let

01:10:09.567 --> 01:10:10.847
me at least tell you about their
offerings.

01:10:11.366 --> 01:10:14.006
And the folks who use Weights and Biases
didn't even know we have Aria.

01:10:14.677 --> 01:10:15.876
and somebody's like, what is Aria?

01:10:15.957 --> 01:10:17.277
So Aria is a auto

01:10:18.957 --> 01:10:21.591
agent assistant, agentic research
assistant,

01:10:22.211 --> 01:10:25.815
basically auto research from Karpathy
personified in the product.

01:10:26.055 --> 01:10:29.274
So if you are using Weights and Biases for
anything, people didn't even know that we

01:10:29.315 --> 01:10:32.484
have this offering, so we definitely need
to work a bit about, externalizing our

01:10:32.545 --> 01:10:36.355
offerings. But if you have seen auto
research as a concept from Andrej Karpathy

01:10:36.435 --> 01:10:38.605
in his tweet, it's now in GA.

01:10:38.685 --> 01:10:41.834
You can just use it, inside Forge on your
training runs.

01:10:42.495 --> 01:10:46.058
All right, folks, I think this is enough
about Forge, and now we're gonna move on,

01:10:46.218 --> 01:10:47.237
uh, because we have

01:10:48.138 --> 01:10:52.177
not quite breaking news, but definitely
news from the frontier of AI with two

01:10:52.378 --> 01:10:55.018
great guests here, and let's go talk to
them.

01:11:05.378 --> 01:11:05.777
Geneviève Huskens: Hello.

01:11:06.218 --> 01:11:06.638
Alex Volkov: Hi.

01:11:07.498 --> 01:11:12.508
Omar and Geneviève are joining us from
DeepMind, from Google DeepMind, and you

01:11:12.548 --> 01:11:13.628
guys have news to share,

01:11:14.268 --> 01:11:14.467
and

01:11:15.348 --> 01:11:17.307
it's, can I just say it's about time?

01:11:17.628 --> 01:11:18.708
It's about time.

01:11:19.068 --> 01:11:19.207
Geneviève Huskens: Yep.

01:11:19.227 --> 01:11:22.287
Alex Volkov: We talked on the show before, and folks,
it's about time for a big model.

01:11:22.348 --> 01:11:27.240
So you guys launched, Gemini, 4 Argon, but
I would love for you to tell us about the

01:11:27.321 --> 01:11:29.960
launch, about what's new, about what are
the use cases.

01:11:30.081 --> 01:11:32.201
I'm all ears. It's out for everyone.

01:11:32.361 --> 01:11:36.830
It's number one on Arena, and, uh, J- it
helped make Gemma three times faster.

01:11:36.911 --> 01:11:38.510
Omar, that's kind of your corner as well,
right?

01:11:38.751 --> 01:11:40.390
I would love to hear about the use cases.

01:11:40.631 --> 01:11:43.671
So please give us a highlight, and then
we're gonna dive into use cases.

01:11:44.030 --> 01:11:45.130
And Geneviève, great to meet you.

01:11:45.171 --> 01:11:46.010
Thank you so much for coming.

01:11:46.030 --> 01:11:47.090
Geneviève Huskens: Likewise. Thanks for having me.

01:11:48.711 --> 01:11:50.231
Alex Volkov: All right, who's gonna start? Omar, let's
go.

01:11:50.284 --> 01:11:53.241
Omar Sanseviero: I can go first. So yeah, I mean, Gemini 4
Argon is our latest model.

01:11:53.360 --> 01:11:55.500
Uh, TLDR, it's a great model.

01:11:55.641 --> 01:11:57.840
You have probably heard many things about
it.

01:11:58.081 --> 01:12:02.360
My only recommendation is to go try it
out, and I think many of you will be

01:12:02.521 --> 01:12:03.574
pleasantly surprised.

01:12:03.601 --> 01:12:06.061
eh, yeah, the model can be used for many
things.

01:12:06.161 --> 01:12:07.721
We've been using it internally.

01:12:08.201 --> 01:12:11.261
Eh, as you said, we've been doing
optimizations for Gemma.

01:12:11.361 --> 01:12:16.780
We have been able to achieve over 100,000
tokens per second with the E2B, so our

01:12:16.881 --> 01:12:22.854
smallest model. Eh, the model has a 1
million unified, eh, context, eh, so

01:12:23.014 --> 01:12:26.293
pretty much you can pass very long videos,
but you can also have very long outputs,

01:12:26.334 --> 01:12:27.654
so that is quite exciting.

01:12:27.894 --> 01:12:28.033
Alex Volkov: Mm.

01:12:28.254 --> 01:12:31.454
Omar Sanseviero: Uh, and yeah, we have been very excited to
see what the community has been building

01:12:31.474 --> 01:12:33.223
with the model. what do you think,
Geneviève?

01:12:33.944 --> 01:12:35.704
Geneviève Huskens: Yeah, we've had so much fun, building with
Argon.

01:12:35.744 --> 01:12:39.624
I it had been a while since we launched a
new, model, and so most people will know

01:12:39.684 --> 01:12:43.403
that this is the first model that came out
in our Gemini 4 series, by far our largest

01:12:43.504 --> 01:12:47.363
train training run ever. And so, uh,
Argon, I think, is the first, actually

01:12:47.424 --> 01:12:50.443
quite early checkpoint that already is
doing really well, but we're also super

01:12:50.464 --> 01:12:52.883
excited about everything that we can
build, next now.

01:12:52.924 --> 01:12:56.043
And so Argon is already training our
future generations of models.

01:12:56.364 --> 01:12:59.823
Um, I think we've really enjoyed the fact
that Argon can do many more long-running

01:12:59.924 --> 01:13:03.424
tests, and so now everyone is shipping a
bunch of stuff overnight, and you wake up

01:13:03.484 --> 01:13:06.943
and you just wake up to really fun things
that Argon has been cooking in the

01:13:06.964 --> 01:13:11.163
background. And so, um, it's much better
at 3D, um, much better at creativity.

01:13:11.804 --> 01:13:13.144
The writing is really pleasant, and so

01:13:13.244 --> 01:13:13.503
Alex Volkov: Mm.

01:13:13.524 --> 01:13:15.823
Geneviève Huskens: in general, it's just been super fun to
build things with this model.

01:13:15.884 --> 01:13:18.983
And again, uh, we think there's many more
great things to come from us, uh, in the

01:13:19.004 --> 01:13:19.524
next few weeks.

01:13:19.947 --> 01:13:20.674
Alex Volkov: I would love-

01:13:20.694 --> 01:13:21.194
Omar Sanseviero: Yeah.

01:13:21.254 --> 01:13:22.143
Alex Volkov: Yeah, go ahead, Omar, please.

01:13:22.263 --> 01:13:25.363
Omar Sanseviero: Uh, yeah, ju- just that as usual, we have
been working with all of the open source

01:13:25.424 --> 01:13:29.263
ecosystem to make sure that you can use
the model, eh, regardless of what's your

01:13:29.344 --> 01:13:33.024
favorite tool. So we have been working to
make sure that this model works well with

01:13:33.143 --> 01:13:38.443
OpenClaw, with Hermes, with, uh, all of
the tools, uh, Llama, uh, sorry, uh,

01:13:38.584 --> 01:13:40.583
LangChain, uh, Vercel, and so on.

01:13:40.624 --> 01:13:44.824
So, uh, super excited to also collaborate
with all of this ecosystem to, to get the

01:13:44.864 --> 01:13:45.403
model out there.

01:13:46.704 --> 01:13:49.507
Alex Volkov: I want to say, the release definitely is a
wide surface release, right?

01:13:49.507 --> 01:13:51.434
it's available pretty much everywhere, uh,

01:13:51.454 --> 01:13:51.633
Omar Sanseviero: Yeah.

01:13:51.694 --> 01:13:53.823
Alex Volkov: and also in your own, Gemini API and AI
Studio.

01:13:53.884 --> 01:13:57.002
Shout out to AI Studio folks, for always,
bringing us in to the fold.

01:13:57.263 --> 01:13:59.862
Uh, Gemini app only for Pro and Ultra, is
that correct?

01:14:00.943 --> 01:14:04.682
So folks who are subscribing to Gemini app
on the Pro and Ultra tier are giving this,

01:14:04.783 --> 01:14:06.212
and Antigravity Ultra as well.

01:14:06.573 --> 01:14:08.253
2 dollars in and 10 dollars out.

01:14:08.573 --> 01:14:10.292
Uh, this is introductory pricing?

01:14:10.893 --> 01:14:11.292
Omar Sanseviero: Exactly.

01:14:11.693 --> 01:14:13.733
Alex Volkov: Yeah. Uh, and then what happens then?

01:14:13.886 --> 01:14:16.233
Ex- extension, new model, another
interactive pricing?

01:14:17.233 --> 01:14:17.593
Um.

01:14:17.873 --> 01:14:19.753
Omar Sanseviero: Breaking news, breaking news for, for next
month.

01:14:20.072 --> 01:14:23.753
Alex Volkov: All right. and then, based on what it says
now then it doubles, 1 million token

01:14:23.793 --> 01:14:25.832
context, and I think let's talk about
multimodality.

01:14:25.993 --> 01:14:29.362
Uh, Google and Gemini models specifically
were always kind of like the, the front

01:14:29.443 --> 01:14:32.733
leading in multimodal, including like
watching the video that you send to it.

01:14:32.853 --> 01:14:34.772
1 million token is a great thing for that.

01:14:35.113 --> 01:14:37.762
Omar Sanseviero: Yeah, you'll see that the model is very
good at understanding

01:14:38.623 --> 01:14:42.943
visuals, um, the space, and it has a very
good understanding of the world and

01:14:43.103 --> 01:14:44.462
physics. So, uh,

01:14:45.423 --> 01:14:49.143
many people kind of forget that models are
not just for coding, like models are to

01:14:49.183 --> 01:14:53.223
understand the world, and the world is
highly multimodal, uh, multilingual as

01:14:53.343 --> 01:14:57.463
well, and in general for Gemini, we make
sure that this model works well across all

01:14:57.583 --> 01:14:58.662
of these kind of use cases.

01:14:59.183 --> 01:15:00.462
Alex Volkov: That's incredible. Let's talk about
vision.

01:15:00.743 --> 01:15:05.112
Uh, Roboflow called this model like number
one in vision and detect OCR stuff as

01:15:05.133 --> 01:15:06.613
well, very, very, very strong.

01:15:07.053 --> 01:15:09.922
Um, any specific demos around vision that
you guys want to show us?

01:15:10.243 --> 01:15:12.042
Any cool things? That'd be dope.

01:15:12.083 --> 01:15:14.502
Geneviève Huskens: Uh, let's start with the ones that I have
ready, and then

01:15:14.603 --> 01:15:14.983
Alex Volkov: Let's go, let's go.

01:15:15.003 --> 01:15:17.003
Geneviève Huskens: if you have anything else, vision in the
background.

01:15:17.083 --> 01:15:20.203
Uh, the ones that I picked for today are
mostly very cool looking.

01:15:20.962 --> 01:15:23.762
Uh, but yeah, it's great to see the vision
capabilities always, if you're building

01:15:23.783 --> 01:15:27.322
with a model and it can check its own
work, if it can record videos and kind of

01:15:27.383 --> 01:15:29.343
see what's going on, then that is super,
super helpful.

01:15:29.423 --> 01:15:32.542
So even for some of our 3D stuff that
we're now doing, it's just so pleasant

01:15:32.583 --> 01:15:34.342
that Gemini can watch its own videos back.

01:15:34.663 --> 01:15:38.402
Even things like motion graphics is very
helpful because it can look at a video,

01:15:38.543 --> 01:15:39.242
understand the style,

01:15:39.383 --> 01:15:39.562
Alex Volkov: Ooh.

01:15:40.143 --> 01:15:44.042
Geneviève Huskens: it. And so I made a trailer about Argon
earlier this week that took me just maybe

01:15:44.143 --> 01:15:45.902
30 minutes, uh, and it came out really
good.

01:15:45.983 --> 01:15:49.562
Um, but yeah, in terms of, uh, the demos
that we've been cooking, the first one

01:15:49.623 --> 01:15:51.622
that I made was, uh, Desk Racer.

01:15:51.983 --> 01:15:55.463
Um, and so first of all, if you go into
Google AI Studio and you click on the

01:15:55.503 --> 01:15:58.822
gallery, you can find a bunch of stuff
that we've made, uh, with Argon.

01:15:59.143 --> 01:16:02.822
Um, and so Desk Racer came from our
multimodality, where I wanted to build a

01:16:02.943 --> 01:16:04.663
racing game on top of my actual desk.

01:16:04.943 --> 01:16:08.522
And so the microphone that you see here,
and then this like cute little cat, um,

01:16:09.143 --> 01:16:12.902
just gave Gemini some reference images and
said, can you just build me a racetrack?

01:16:13.062 --> 01:16:17.182
Um, and what's fun about this is, I mean,
it's a long running task to understand

01:16:17.583 --> 01:16:21.382
where to go around the objects, to make it
look good, uh, to sort of plan the

01:16:21.423 --> 01:16:26.142
lighting and everything. Um, and so now if
you can play this, um, and then Argon

01:16:26.303 --> 01:16:29.283
even, hang on, let me switch camera view
and turn the sound off.

01:16:29.503 --> 01:16:30.062
Alex Volkov: That's so cool.

01:16:30.623 --> 01:16:36.062
Geneviève Huskens: Argon even prompted our Omni video model,
um, to extract sounds, like engine sounds

01:16:36.223 --> 01:16:40.662
from, uh, different race cars, listen to
all the sounds, found the sort of, uh,

01:16:40.783 --> 01:16:43.022
audio that was able to loop, and then
stitch all of that.

01:16:43.463 --> 01:16:47.203
And so, like, yes, it looks good, but it's
also cool to think about the rest that's

01:16:47.223 --> 01:16:50.963
happening in the background to, in the
end, uh, come up with a very, uh, shiny,

01:16:51.063 --> 01:16:54.523
uh, result. And so this one I really like
because it's where I spend all day, every

01:16:54.583 --> 01:16:57.983
day, uh, but it's it's fun to see Argon,
uh, do such a good job.

01:16:58.063 --> 01:17:01.683
And so I built all these little other
camera views in it, uh, and so this you

01:17:01.723 --> 01:17:02.943
can play in AI Studio.

01:17:03.183 --> 01:17:06.483
Uh, there's a timed mode where you just
drive three laps, uh, and so that's pretty

01:17:06.503 --> 01:17:08.842
fun. Um, and then this one is-

01:17:09.203 --> 01:17:12.003
Alex Volkov: Just before you switch, could I ask you
for our audience, how do you approach

01:17:12.062 --> 01:17:16.122
building this demo? Is this all in AI
Studio, using any other harnesses, or

01:17:16.183 --> 01:17:17.402
using like the internal tools?

01:17:17.603 --> 01:17:21.422
Could you tell us how do we get to
building this where Argon can download the

01:17:21.523 --> 01:17:25.222
files, then like using Omni to generating
things and like extracting?

01:17:25.283 --> 01:17:27.103
Where, where's all the tool happening?

01:17:27.243 --> 01:17:30.103
Geneviève Huskens: Yeah, that's a, that's a great question,
and actually I wrote a guide about that

01:17:30.203 --> 01:17:34.442
earlier this week, and so in essence,
started with the reference images, um, use

01:17:34.523 --> 01:17:38.322
GrillMe, so like ask me questions about
how I should plan, uh, uh, this project,

01:17:38.602 --> 01:17:42.243
and then just use a big goal command and
said, you know, I just want you to spawn a

01:17:42.283 --> 01:17:44.763
bunch of sub-agents, work on it however
long you need.

01:17:45.203 --> 01:17:50.083
Some things that helped were A, um, using
adversary, uh, uh, sub-agents, and so

01:17:50.123 --> 01:17:53.902
there was always one sub-agent whose job
it was to look at the outputs, grade them

01:17:53.923 --> 01:17:58.142
for accuracy, for lighting, come back with
feedback, and then, um, give a rating out

01:17:58.163 --> 01:18:01.363
of 10, and then keep going until the
rating was, uh, very, very high.

01:18:01.723 --> 01:18:04.082
Uh, so that, first of all, uh, uh, was
really helpful.

01:18:04.163 --> 01:18:08.923
And then secondly, we've all really been
enjoying using, uh, Nano Banana to make 3D

01:18:09.003 --> 01:18:13.082
even better. And so in this example, for
instance, I'll turn off the audio, but

01:18:13.243 --> 01:18:15.043
this is a demo that looks really, really
good.

01:18:15.363 --> 01:18:16.782
It's like a pagoda, uh, demo.

01:18:16.843 --> 01:18:21.102
And so if you have a poor render and you
give it to Nano Banana and you say, make

01:18:21.123 --> 01:18:25.022
this look really good and realistic, and
then you pass that image back to Argon and

01:18:25.083 --> 01:18:27.382
say, do whatever you need to do to make it
look like this.

01:18:27.683 --> 01:18:27.822
Alex Volkov: Mm.

01:18:27.843 --> 01:18:32.222
Geneviève Huskens: Um, I'm now using that in all of my, uh,
3D projects, and so the lighting that you

01:18:32.283 --> 01:18:36.242
saw in Desk Racer, uh, the neon, uh,
lighting was designed by Nano Banana

01:18:36.443 --> 01:18:40.103
because at first it looked very bland, and
so this, I think, is a really nice way to

01:18:40.163 --> 01:18:43.942
interact, uh, with any model, just that
image inspiration is a really good, uh,

01:18:44.043 --> 01:18:44.623
visual reference.

01:18:45.363 --> 01:18:45.863
Alex Volkov: Oh, that's incredible.

01:18:45.883 --> 01:18:48.703
Geneviève Huskens: And yeah, I did write a guide about this,
so, uh, sorry, if you look this up.

01:18:48.723 --> 01:18:51.192
Alex Volkov: No, no, it's it's all good. It's just like
a definitely a great tip for our audience

01:18:51.253 --> 01:18:55.452
as well. Use visual references because the
model is very good at multimodality from

01:18:55.513 --> 01:18:56.902
other models, for this.

01:18:57.303 --> 01:18:57.943
That is incredible.

01:18:58.823 --> 01:18:59.162
Geneviève Huskens: Amazing.

01:18:59.286 --> 01:19:00.302
Alex Volkov: show us another one. That's, that's great.

01:19:00.483 --> 01:19:04.002
Geneviève Huskens: Yeah, so, so this one is, is pretty cool
because like, yes, it's fun to do things

01:19:04.123 --> 01:19:08.242
with, uh, Blender and Three.js, uh, but in
this case, my colleague actually asked,

01:19:08.363 --> 01:19:11.643
um, Argon to create this 3D scene
completely from scratch.

01:19:11.683 --> 01:19:15.122
So zero libraries, zero, uh, external
things being pulled in.

01:19:15.523 --> 01:19:19.582
Um, and what's cool about this is if you
think about how a model needs to do that,

01:19:19.663 --> 01:19:23.842
is it needs to think about all the light,
all the ways that objects might interact

01:19:23.883 --> 01:19:27.763
with each other. And so the light bouncing
off the wooden floor here needs to be

01:19:27.923 --> 01:19:29.042
refracted in a certain way.

01:19:29.363 --> 01:19:32.323
Uh, the light shining through the glass
needs to exist in a certain way.

01:19:32.443 --> 01:19:36.562
And so if you think about the amount of
real world understanding and then also the

01:19:36.643 --> 01:19:39.943
quality of code generation that you need
to make happen to make a project like

01:19:40.002 --> 01:19:42.602
this, uh, that we also thought was very
impressive.

01:19:43.043 --> 01:19:45.883
Um, and then the other thing that was fun
about this video, I'll, I'll spare you the

01:19:45.923 --> 01:19:51.182
audio, but uh, Argon also narrated it by
itself, um, uh, picked the, the music with

01:19:51.283 --> 01:19:54.983
Lyria. And so again, the idea that you can
build something cool, give it back to

01:19:55.043 --> 01:19:59.122
Argon, and then say, now make this into a
cool video, that all just ends up working.

01:19:59.203 --> 01:20:02.723
And I think in our previous models, we
probably would have had to babysit that a

01:20:02.763 --> 01:20:05.842
lot more and and and give much more
guidance on how things should look.

01:20:05.963 --> 01:20:09.243
Um, and so another one that I think is
just a cool example of of what you can do.

01:20:09.763 --> 01:20:13.606
Alex Volkov: I wanna, I wanna go back to here with Omar
as well, and maybe both of you can chime

01:20:13.646 --> 01:20:17.465
in. Uh, the token output changed as well,
like, Argon is like

01:20:18.086 --> 01:20:19.606
generates output significantly.

01:20:20.206 --> 01:20:24.346
Could you tell us how this affects like
demos of like this on other stuff?

01:20:24.445 --> 01:20:25.726
Omar, would love to hear from you as well.

01:20:26.246 --> 01:20:30.005
How does that improve people's kind of
like out

01:20:30.686 --> 01:20:32.165
results? Specifically because

01:20:34.410 --> 01:20:37.710
if you think about kind of like evaluating
models, a lot of the times, uh, the folks

01:20:37.750 --> 01:20:38.270
are focusing on

01:20:39.193 --> 01:20:43.652
the Pareto frontier corner where reasoning
used to take a long, long, long time, and

01:20:43.793 --> 01:20:45.952
it's just like with more reasoning you get
better results.

01:20:46.273 --> 01:20:49.493
And then there was a little bit of a
movement towards improving that so that

01:20:49.553 --> 01:20:52.633
the model will give great results, but
still not reason as much and not waste as,

01:20:52.713 --> 01:20:53.392
as many tokens.

01:20:53.993 --> 01:20:57.213
But this is not about that. This is like
about the model being able to generate

01:20:57.233 --> 01:20:58.472
like long, long things.

01:20:58.513 --> 01:21:00.133
So could you tell us about the outputs a
little bit?

01:21:01.553 --> 01:21:06.533
Omar Sanseviero: I mean, this is mostly for long horizon or
scientific projects where you do want the

01:21:06.593 --> 01:21:07.233
model to do

01:21:08.073 --> 01:21:10.192
lots and lots of reasoning, eh,

01:21:11.073 --> 01:21:15.153
and that's pretty much the kind of task
where you would need that kind of context.

01:21:15.233 --> 01:21:17.992
In the day-to-day, most likely you do not
need that level of output.

01:21:18.073 --> 01:21:22.432
For input maybe, right? Like if you want
to pass a very long video or lots of PDFs,

01:21:22.553 --> 01:21:24.392
you may need to do that, but

01:21:25.313 --> 01:21:27.432
this is mostly for scientific or long
horizon.

01:21:28.713 --> 01:21:31.973
Alex Volkov: That was awesome. And Geneviève, did it
affect any of of the work that you did?

01:21:32.653 --> 01:21:36.333
Geneviève Huskens: Um, no, I, I agree with Omar that in most
cases, like, yes, you could write one or

01:21:36.413 --> 01:21:39.692
several books in one prompt, but that
doesn't end up being super useful.

01:21:39.773 --> 01:21:42.253
So to us, it's mostly on the, on the very
long reasoning.

01:21:42.693 --> 01:21:45.533
One project that I have been working on in
the background, but it needs a bit more

01:21:45.693 --> 01:21:49.593
work, is one 3D project where I'm modeling
55 cities in one go.

01:21:49.933 --> 01:21:53.272
And so whenever it sends off to the sub-
agents, then they all start building many,

01:21:53.293 --> 01:21:54.373
many cities at the same time.

01:21:54.733 --> 01:21:56.612
Uh, but again, in most engineering
applications,

01:21:57.453 --> 01:22:00.453
it's still much better to just do things
in slightly smaller batches.

01:22:00.573 --> 01:22:04.633
But if you have to think about a very
long, uh, difficult math proof for a long

01:22:04.693 --> 01:22:08.133
time, then you don't want the output
window to be constricted by the fact that

01:22:08.153 --> 01:22:10.092
the model already thought for a long time.

01:22:10.173 --> 01:22:12.492
And so that's where we see most
application.

01:22:12.653 --> 01:22:16.273
Um, I think it is a very new thing also
for us, and so there's also some

01:22:16.333 --> 01:22:19.453
complexity with how this works, even in
things like external harnesses.

01:22:19.533 --> 01:22:22.753
But in general, the idea that the
scientific community can use this is, is

01:22:22.813 --> 01:22:23.612
very interesting to us.

01:22:24.093 --> 01:22:25.932
Alex Volkov: Yeah, that is very exciting for sure.

01:22:26.213 --> 01:22:29.492
Uh, so we talked about the visual kind of
understanding in number one.

01:22:29.573 --> 01:22:32.223
Uh, Omar and Geneviève, I think you
mentioned this, that

01:22:33.043 --> 01:22:35.202
now Argon is working on next versions of
Argon.

01:22:35.413 --> 01:22:37.292
that suspiciously sounds like RSI.

01:22:37.693 --> 01:22:40.686
And Omar, you're talking about Argon
training Gemma models, and that's like,

01:22:40.733 --> 01:22:43.276
parent teacher, not necessarily
distillation, but it's also in the process

01:22:43.276 --> 01:22:43.893
of, of training them.

01:22:44.643 --> 01:22:47.923
give us a little bit more of the, I think
people do want to know whether or not this

01:22:48.003 --> 01:22:50.982
model can, like, help train other models
and how that works.

01:22:51.223 --> 01:22:54.122
Uh, specifically around Gemma work, how
much of this was autonomous or how much of

01:22:54.143 --> 01:22:55.223
this is like intervening?

01:22:55.543 --> 01:22:58.962
Uh, could you guys tell, talk to us about
model improving other models in the

01:22:58.983 --> 01:22:59.303
future?

01:23:00.423 --> 01:23:06.002
Omar Sanseviero: Yeah, I think just as we think about AI
for science, AI for math, AI for biology,

01:23:06.183 --> 01:23:11.602
AI for quantum computing, we can think as
well about AI for AI, right?

01:23:11.663 --> 01:23:13.982
And I, I do find this a very exciting
area.

01:23:14.423 --> 01:23:18.263
This is not, this is something that we as
an ecosystem have been doing for some

01:23:18.383 --> 01:23:22.402
time. It's just that as these models are
getting significantly better, it's quite

01:23:22.503 --> 01:23:23.943
exciting to think about ideas.

01:23:23.983 --> 01:23:28.502
So, for example, in the context of Gemma,
eh, what Argon did was optimize vLLM,

01:23:28.583 --> 01:23:33.783
which is one of the most popular, eh, open
source libraries for server, eh, side

01:23:33.983 --> 01:23:37.943
inference, and it did a bunch of, eh, vLLM
optimizations.

01:23:38.022 --> 01:23:38.902
It found a bunch of

01:23:39.783 --> 01:23:41.902
areas where we could im- eh, improve
things.

01:23:42.463 --> 01:23:47.303
Similarly, you could see how models could
be help on co-designing training code or

01:23:47.383 --> 01:23:48.742
co-designing architectures.

01:23:48.943 --> 01:23:49.283
Eh,

01:23:50.143 --> 01:23:50.743
so yeah.

01:23:52.263 --> 01:23:55.863
Alex Volkov: Uh, Geneviève, anything, any last
comments, before we let you guys go?

01:23:55.883 --> 01:23:56.822
No, we're very busy during release weeks.

01:23:56.843 --> 01:24:00.143
Geneviève Huskens: Um, no, I mean, I think, yeah, the
sentiment in the market about Gemini has,

01:24:00.443 --> 01:24:02.863
has varied. I would say please give Argon
a shot.

01:24:02.963 --> 01:24:06.622
It, to us, feels like a very different
model from, uh, the models that we've

01:24:06.683 --> 01:24:10.542
launched up to now, and so I hope everyone
gives it a creative shot because there's

01:24:10.583 --> 01:24:12.243
so much, I think, that you, you can do
with it.

01:24:12.602 --> 01:24:15.923
Um, for us, I think it's the start of a
new era without sounding too commercial,

01:24:15.963 --> 01:24:19.863
but yeah, I think this is a very exciting
first step to what hopefully is, uh, it's

01:24:19.883 --> 01:24:21.442
gonna be a couple of fun weeks and months.

01:24:21.803 --> 01:24:24.996
Alex Volkov: We've been waiting, and, we're now very
excited to have it back and like

01:24:25.756 --> 01:24:27.236
to see that Google is back.

01:24:27.276 --> 01:24:28.636
So, folks, thank you so much for joining
us.

01:24:28.676 --> 01:24:30.716
Geneviève, nice to have you on the
podcast.

01:24:30.796 --> 01:24:33.645
Uh, feel free to come back with awesome
demos, which we al- always love.

01:24:33.766 --> 01:24:35.866
Omar, as always, friend of the pod for a
long, long time.

01:24:36.126 --> 01:24:37.225
Thank you guys for joining us, and

01:24:37.246 --> 01:24:37.746
Geneviève Huskens: Thank you so much.

01:24:37.766 --> 01:24:40.966
Alex Volkov: Congrats on the release, and we know that
you have a lot of stuff to catch up on

01:24:41.286 --> 01:24:43.576
during the release week. Uh, we'll see you
here, next time.

01:24:43.676 --> 01:24:44.496
Cheers. Thank you so much, guys.

01:24:44.516 --> 01:24:44.935
Geneviève Huskens: See you. Bye-bye.

01:24:44.996 --> 01:24:45.635
Omar Sanseviero: Cheers. Bye-bye.

01:24:46.356 --> 01:24:50.755
Alex Volkov: All right, folks, from one, conversation
to another, now we're going to chat,

01:24:51.456 --> 01:24:55.695
uh, now we're moving forward, and I want
to introduce you to Nathan Benaich, I-

01:24:55.836 --> 01:24:59.315
I've followed you for the longest time,
but I think we've never talked like this

01:24:59.396 --> 01:25:02.035
on video, and I followed the State of AI
report.

01:25:02.259 --> 01:25:03.896
so let me just, let me just do this
reading.

01:25:04.296 --> 01:25:07.235
Uh, folks, the State of the AI report
turns

01:25:07.856 --> 01:25:09.115
9 this year. Na- is that real?

01:25:09.676 --> 01:25:09.936
Nathan Benaich: Yes.

01:25:09.956 --> 01:25:10.035
Alex Volkov: 9

01:25:10.636 --> 01:25:13.646
years. I feel like I've been doing this
for 3 and a half years, and I feel like

01:25:13.686 --> 01:25:16.005
this is a long time. Uh, 9 years.

01:25:16.565 --> 01:25:21.265
Uh, the word AI was not familiar to many,
like many folks back like 9 years ago.

01:25:21.326 --> 01:25:25.645
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, it was, uh, it was, it was the era
of like AI dash ML and data science, if

01:25:25.666 --> 01:25:26.446
you remember that.

01:25:26.886 --> 01:25:32.725
Alex Volkov: And uh, this year is 20 to uh 2 244
slides, a scorecard on last year's

01:25:32.806 --> 01:25:36.646
predictions. Uh, would love to hear about
last year's predictions and whether or not

01:25:36.686 --> 01:25:40.205
we can hit them, and 9 new predictions,
including AGI 27.

01:25:40.446 --> 01:25:41.325
Nathan Benaich,

01:25:42.006 --> 01:25:45.565
the founder of Air Street Capital, is with
us, the author of State of AI Report.

01:25:45.846 --> 01:25:46.286
Um,

01:25:47.085 --> 01:25:47.726
Nathan, welcome.

01:25:48.646 --> 01:25:49.365
Nathan Benaich: Thanks for having me.

01:25:50.126 --> 01:25:52.276
Alex Volkov: Uh, P- Peter also joined us for this
interview.

01:25:52.516 --> 01:25:54.076
Peter, thanks so much for making this
connection.

01:25:54.516 --> 01:25:54.915
Uh,

01:25:55.766 --> 01:25:57.956
I want to talk about some, like, the
highlights, some favorite numbers.

01:25:58.156 --> 01:26:02.835
I have Claude led 27% of measured model
R&D at Anthropic in August.

01:26:03.196 --> 01:26:06.996
We just talked with folks, from DeepMind
about Argon and, like, RSI, whatever.

01:26:07.436 --> 01:26:09.656
Um, would love to hear from you, Nathan,
how this

01:26:10.416 --> 01:26:13.315
kind of like shapes, takes, takes shape
between last year and this year.

01:26:13.636 --> 01:26:15.376
People do talk about RSI being a thing.

01:26:15.436 --> 01:26:17.935
People do talk about models training other
models, whether or not we're going to hit

01:26:17.956 --> 01:26:20.506
this like, thing. Uh, what are you seeing
from there?

01:26:20.566 --> 01:26:25.306
What are the, what are the report says
about RSI and continued improvement by the

01:26:25.346 --> 01:26:25.565
models?

01:26:25.606 --> 01:26:27.465
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, yeah, yeah. I would say like the,

01:26:28.366 --> 01:26:32.065
the major story in the last 12 months has
been, has been RSI and, and, you know,

01:26:32.166 --> 01:26:35.046
super intelligence, from AGI to super
intelligence, uh,

01:26:35.806 --> 01:26:39.846
and then, you know, increasing evidence,
uh, you know, at the frontier that shows,

01:26:39.926 --> 01:26:43.086
like, we're kind of making progress
towards this idea of, like, AI, building

01:26:43.166 --> 01:26:44.745
AI. I think, um,

01:26:45.646 --> 01:26:48.665
what if, like, the two, the two
experiments I found most interesting

01:26:48.766 --> 01:26:53.306
there, one of them you cited, which is
just the general stat of, like, how, um,

01:26:53.726 --> 01:26:58.385
Anthropic's, like, R&D team, when they're
doing core, uh, R&D work on the model, uh,

01:26:58.566 --> 01:27:03.586
so 26% of, uh, of like the directions in
research are being guided by Claude.

01:27:03.966 --> 01:27:04.125
Alex Volkov: Mm.

01:27:04.526 --> 01:27:07.125
Nathan Benaich: And that's up from basically 0 a couple of
months ago.

01:27:07.766 --> 01:27:07.906
Alex Volkov: As

01:27:08.526 --> 01:27:12.265
not to oppose this, but I think the code
generation stat that I remember, maybe you

01:27:12.306 --> 01:27:16.405
have an updated one, but as far as I
remember, like 80 or 85% of code is

01:27:16.646 --> 01:27:18.025
generated by Claude, maybe not directed.

01:27:18.326 --> 01:27:18.545
So-

01:27:18.686 --> 01:27:19.745
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, yeah, yeah.

01:27:19.886 --> 01:27:22.065
So that, yeah, that was like a few, a few
months earlier.

01:27:22.126 --> 01:27:25.566
You could see like a chart of like code
commits that were, that were basically

01:27:25.586 --> 01:27:29.745
accepted by engineers, uh, as a function
of like how models have been changing, and

01:27:29.766 --> 01:27:32.645
it was sort of like flat for a while, and
then like the Mythos class models came,

01:27:32.726 --> 01:27:36.446
and then now it's like 8x the, the
average, and you see a similar stat at

01:27:36.486 --> 01:27:37.045
OpenAI.

01:27:37.726 --> 01:27:38.045
Um,

01:27:38.886 --> 01:27:41.885
and then the other, uh, the other data
point that I, that I like that we made a

01:27:41.926 --> 01:27:45.986
slide on is this, this like, um,
experimental setup where a human

01:27:46.046 --> 01:27:50.825
researcher engages on a, on a, on a
research path, um, kind of goes through

01:27:50.886 --> 01:27:54.165
like several leaves down like the node of
that research path, and at some point the

01:27:54.246 --> 01:27:58.325
path forks, and then one of the fork is a
model that continues the research, and

01:27:58.346 --> 01:28:00.566
then the other fork is a human that
continues the research.

01:28:01.086 --> 01:28:05.765
And at the end of like both of those
leaves, uh, a human rates, uh, which one

01:28:05.806 --> 01:28:06.165
was better.

01:28:06.526 --> 01:28:06.705
Alex Volkov: Mm.

01:28:07.086 --> 01:28:11.205
Nathan Benaich: And um, and you saw that like the old, old
school models were definitely not better.

01:28:11.286 --> 01:28:15.165
Like, I think 10% of the time humans
prefer them, but then the Mythos class

01:28:15.246 --> 01:28:20.025
model, it was like 60% of the time humans
said the Mythos, uh, suggestions were

01:28:20.046 --> 01:28:24.546
better than humans. So I think that's like
also, um, it's also interesting, and it

01:28:24.606 --> 01:28:26.686
gets to this point about scientific taste,

01:28:27.366 --> 01:28:31.505
um, which I, which I think is like on the,
on the tip of everybody's tongue, like no

01:28:31.526 --> 01:28:32.065
pun intended.

01:28:32.606 --> 01:28:33.726
Alex Volkov: Scientific taste.

01:28:34.686 --> 01:28:35.405
That's incredible.

01:28:36.006 --> 01:28:39.525
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, just, just the idea for the, for,
for those who are like less familiar.

01:28:41.046 --> 01:28:46.205
It's like, um, I, I did a PhD in biology,
and like what I remember were like the

01:28:46.286 --> 01:28:49.405
great papers were the ones where you
would, the grad student or the postdoc

01:28:49.526 --> 01:28:53.666
would, uh, would be, uh, running a couple
of experiments and then every week going

01:28:53.706 --> 01:28:56.946
to their supervisor and showing the
experiments to the supervisor who would

01:28:57.326 --> 01:29:01.106
look at the work and, you know, kind of
mull it over and say like, okay, the next,

01:29:01.166 --> 01:29:03.726
the next best thing you should do for the
story is this.

01:29:04.405 --> 01:29:08.525
And I think the best PIs would be the ones
who'd suggest experiments or ways to

01:29:09.046 --> 01:29:12.505
interpret the experiments that you did and
the results you got in a way that you

01:29:12.606 --> 01:29:16.565
thought was like, like novel and, and
interesting and elegant.

01:29:17.246 --> 01:29:18.545
And then the bad PIs, like,

01:29:19.166 --> 01:29:23.206
do that very poorly. And then you see this
in the result of a paper where, like, the

01:29:23.286 --> 01:29:24.546
story kind of reads beautifully.

01:29:24.606 --> 01:29:29.546
It's very logical, like each experiment
adds additional signal that the previous

01:29:29.566 --> 01:29:34.045
one didn't have. And I think that's like
what people are trying to encompass in,

01:29:34.246 --> 01:29:35.525
uh, what they call taste.

01:29:36.246 --> 01:29:38.085
So can a model like approximate that?

01:29:40.006 --> 01:29:41.866
Peter Gostev: Yeah, I think there were, there was one
more

01:29:42.726 --> 01:29:45.186
from Prime Intellect, I think, where it w-

01:29:45.206 --> 01:29:45.306
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:29:45.326 --> 01:29:47.786
Peter Gostev: it was the Nano GPT, right?

01:29:47.926 --> 01:29:48.106
Where

01:29:48.286 --> 01:29:48.445
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:29:48.806 --> 01:29:52.025
Peter Gostev: where, where it sort of did it almost get
to the human level, right?

01:29:52.326 --> 01:29:52.465
In

01:29:52.845 --> 01:29:52.945
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:29:53.206 --> 01:29:56.306
Peter Gostev: but I think there was something that it
was still narrow, the the scope of the

01:29:56.405 --> 01:29:57.325
work that it was doing.

01:29:57.845 --> 01:30:02.306
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, yeah. There's a, like, to to get
into this more, what I, there was um a

01:30:02.405 --> 01:30:07.905
study uh from OpenAI in the report where
they looked at trying to categorize, like,

01:30:07.966 --> 01:30:11.486
the the token usage of their uh of their
engineers and researchers.

01:30:12.126 --> 01:30:12.445
Um,

01:30:13.166 --> 01:30:18.166
and um and what they did was like identify
some tokens that were about uh

01:30:19.166 --> 01:30:22.946
helping decide the research direction,
what experiments should you run to test

01:30:23.006 --> 01:30:26.546
that research, and then other kind of
category of tokens, which is like

01:30:26.966 --> 01:30:30.106
implementing those ideas, like designing
the infrastructure, engineering the

01:30:30.126 --> 01:30:33.706
infrastructure, doing the data pipelines,
and doing the data analysis, then just

01:30:33.806 --> 01:30:35.325
writing the results of the study.

01:30:35.845 --> 01:30:39.766
And the vast majority of the token usage
was on just like the raw engineering of

01:30:39.806 --> 01:30:44.206
just like get the thing working and then
writing about it, and very, very small

01:30:44.326 --> 01:30:45.485
amount of tokens was on

01:30:46.206 --> 01:30:49.086
what research should I do in the first
place, and like, how should I test it?

01:30:50.006 --> 01:30:53.486
And um, and so mine, I think there's
different ways you can interpret this, but

01:30:53.726 --> 01:30:57.085
but one of the interpretations to me is
there's still like so much more to go on

01:30:57.206 --> 01:30:57.706
improving,

01:30:58.326 --> 01:31:02.926
uh, you know, the use of models for like
ideation in brand new id- brand new areas.

01:31:04.446 --> 01:31:06.885
Alex Volkov: Um, you also gave yourself a scorecard.

01:31:07.126 --> 01:31:08.425
Can we talk about that from last year's

01:31:08.446 --> 01:31:08.585
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:31:08.606 --> 01:31:11.785
Alex Volkov: predictions and misses? Uh, what stuff did
you hit correctly?

01:31:11.846 --> 01:31:14.566
What's the, or like the report hit
correctly, and I'm assuming that's you as

01:31:14.606 --> 01:31:15.526
well. Uh, what stuff

01:31:15.546 --> 01:31:15.745
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:31:15.766 --> 01:31:16.586
Alex Volkov: did you miss?

01:31:17.406 --> 01:31:17.586
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:31:17.606 --> 01:31:18.245
Alex Volkov: Would love to hear.

01:31:18.366 --> 01:31:18.805
Nathan Benaich: Um,

01:31:19.526 --> 01:31:21.706
yeah, like the stuff I got right was, um,

01:31:22.526 --> 01:31:26.125
that there'd be a pushback from big labs
and neo labs into open source.

01:31:27.086 --> 01:31:31.646
And this is in, and um, i- in the US and
the West, and the idea with that is it was

01:31:31.686 --> 01:31:35.726
very clearly part of the national AI
strategy from the Trump administration to

01:31:36.086 --> 01:31:40.505
sort of regain, regain supremacy of, um,
of American AI, and like open source is a

01:31:40.546 --> 01:31:44.766
way of doing that. And very soon after we
published that report, like Reflection AI

01:31:45.046 --> 01:31:48.486
sort of went from the coding agent work
that they were doing towards saying we're

01:31:48.506 --> 01:31:49.425
going to publish an open

01:31:49.926 --> 01:31:50.065
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:31:50.286 --> 01:31:53.425
Nathan Benaich: open weights model, and then NVIDIA kind
of supercharged all that.

01:31:54.646 --> 01:31:54.985
Um.

01:31:55.246 --> 01:31:57.966
Alex Volkov: By s- by by basically, I think it's
rumored.

01:31:58.026 --> 01:31:59.126
I'm not sure if this is quite

01:31:59.146 --> 01:31:59.345
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:31:59.426 --> 01:32:00.426
Alex Volkov: there yet, but by

01:32:01.146 --> 01:32:05.450
saying that NVIDIA is going to maybe like
get reflection in there after

01:32:05.550 --> 01:32:05.710
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:32:05.910 --> 01:32:07.489
Alex Volkov: getting Hugging Face in there also this
year.

01:32:07.550 --> 01:32:08.429
So yeah, you're kind of

01:32:08.570 --> 01:32:09.210
Nathan Benaich: And Poolside.

01:32:09.550 --> 01:32:11.559
Alex Volkov: And Poolside and other potential ones.

01:32:11.660 --> 01:32:14.000
And uh, so you're bang on on that as well.

01:32:14.020 --> 01:32:16.920
Nathan Benaich: Yeah. So that one, and then the, the
second one was um,

01:32:17.740 --> 01:32:21.799
on NIMBYism for data centers, the idea of
like, not in my backyard, like I don't

01:32:21.820 --> 01:32:25.860
want to have a data center next to my
garden, um, that this would be a real

01:32:25.980 --> 01:32:26.279
problem

01:32:26.900 --> 01:32:27.539
in the,

01:32:28.499 --> 01:32:31.340
yeah, you know, hampering like the build
out of data centers, but also influencing

01:32:31.460 --> 01:32:33.659
part of the midterms, which we'll see in
the next couple of weeks.

01:32:34.460 --> 01:32:38.940
Um, we substantiated this stat with like a
survey that we found where Americans say

01:32:38.980 --> 01:32:43.159
that they're much, that they much prefer
living near a nuclear power plant than a

01:32:43.260 --> 01:32:43.739
data center,

01:32:44.660 --> 01:32:46.119
which is, uh, quite wild.

01:32:46.740 --> 01:32:49.920
Alex Volkov: Wild, yeah. we covered this on the show as
well, and we still can't believe it.

01:32:50.180 --> 01:32:50.359
It's

01:32:50.460 --> 01:32:50.839
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:32:51.383 --> 01:32:52.049
Alex Volkov: It's, it's just,

01:32:52.930 --> 01:32:53.489
oof, the amount of

01:32:53.510 --> 01:32:53.769
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:32:53.790 --> 01:32:56.970
Alex Volkov: that are going on and just people on the
street talking about just, AI boiling the

01:32:57.070 --> 01:32:57.969
planet, uh.

01:32:58.150 --> 01:33:01.129
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, yeah, yeah. And it's not just like
in the US, it's certainly happening in

01:33:01.230 --> 01:33:03.590
Europe and in Korea and in other places
where,

01:33:04.230 --> 01:33:06.709
you know, there's been like a small
proportion of the population that's

01:33:06.790 --> 01:33:10.629
benefited like enormously from AI and, and
many people who haven't, and,

01:33:11.310 --> 01:33:13.310
um, you know, there's some social issues
with that.

01:33:13.830 --> 01:33:17.129
Uh, I think the last, the, the last one
that I got right was that, um, you know,

01:33:17.190 --> 01:33:21.409
Chinese labs would overtake US ones, uh,
in some major leaderboards, and, you know,

01:33:21.430 --> 01:33:24.270
I think it depends on, you know, which,
which timeline you actually look at, and

01:33:24.430 --> 01:33:29.190
Peter probably knows this by heart, but,
um, but certainly, you know, Kimi and GLM

01:33:29.270 --> 01:33:30.629
and others have done really, really well.

01:33:31.510 --> 01:33:31.790
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:33:32.790 --> 01:33:33.989
What about some of the misses?

01:33:34.950 --> 01:33:36.490
What did you predict and didn't

01:33:36.670 --> 01:33:36.949
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:33:37.590 --> 01:33:38.749
Yeah, yeah. Well, um,

01:33:39.510 --> 01:33:43.149
there's been so much talk about, like, AI
sovereignty, which could be interpreted in

01:33:43.190 --> 01:33:47.409
different ways, but either broadly
speaking, the one of I, I as a country

01:33:47.510 --> 01:33:48.009
want to have

01:33:48.630 --> 01:33:52.769
independence or control over my own
destiny when it comes to, uh, building

01:33:52.870 --> 01:33:57.610
models, um, uh, training them, serving
them, having the infrastructure for it and

01:33:57.630 --> 01:33:58.749
the energy, et cetera.

01:34:00.029 --> 01:34:04.869
And, um, and my bet was w- there would be
this concept of like, uh, you know, I'm AI

01:34:04.990 --> 01:34:10.529
neutrality in that that kind of mirrors
like, uh, uh, sort of mutual defense, um,

01:34:10.670 --> 01:34:14.590
agreements where a country is like too
small to be able to afford, uh, you know,

01:34:14.630 --> 01:34:17.909
its own military or its own defenses in
the same way it's like too small to be

01:34:17.930 --> 01:34:21.389
able to build its own data centers and
have people build models, etcetera.

01:34:21.750 --> 01:34:25.970
So it just forms like a strategic like
defense, uh, you know, agreement, uh, or

01:34:26.150 --> 01:34:26.450
AI,

01:34:27.110 --> 01:34:30.929
um, provision agreement with a bigger
neighbor or an ally that says, you know, I

01:34:30.950 --> 01:34:34.850
will, I will, I'll promise to give you
all, all of the AI in exchange for

01:34:34.910 --> 01:34:35.470
something else.

01:34:36.190 --> 01:34:38.809
Um, I haven't quite seen something like
that yet.

01:34:38.910 --> 01:34:41.929
There's been a bit of a move with the,
like, US Pax Silica,

01:34:42.630 --> 01:34:47.789
um, policy that, um, that tries to, like,
bring, um, a collection of countries that

01:34:47.910 --> 01:34:48.789
have, uh,

01:34:50.390 --> 01:34:54.889
access to core, um, parts of the chip
supply chain, whether it's like minerals

01:34:54.990 --> 01:34:57.470
or fabs or lithography or whatever.

01:34:58.070 --> 01:35:02.949
Um, but, but overall the sort of AI
neutrality thing hasn't really taken on

01:35:03.030 --> 01:35:03.389
just yet.

01:35:03.910 --> 01:35:04.569
Alex Volkov: No, not yet.

01:35:05.070 --> 01:35:05.429
Nathan Benaich: Um,

01:35:06.030 --> 01:35:08.810
and overall, I'd say the predictions are
like directionally well, like this is a

01:35:08.830 --> 01:35:12.550
guy on LinkedIn who like looked at the
last like 9 years, uh, and then tried to

01:35:12.590 --> 01:35:15.610
see like over that 9 years which report
which pro- which what portion of all

01:35:15.730 --> 01:35:16.870
predictions eventually happened.

01:35:16.950 --> 01:35:18.429
It was, I think, like, over 2/3.

01:35:19.190 --> 01:35:22.690
And so sometimes it's just a question of
timing, more than just like, this is

01:35:22.830 --> 01:35:23.349
ludicrous.

01:35:23.990 --> 01:35:27.110
Peter Gostev: Well, well, that that's what I like about
your prediction is that I think it's quite

01:35:27.190 --> 01:35:31.090
easy to make predictions that, uh, you're
gonna nail, like, 90% correct.

01:35:31.230 --> 01:35:33.329
You just kind of predict roughly what just
happened.

01:35:33.350 --> 01:35:33.449
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:35:33.470 --> 01:35:36.229
Peter Gostev: Oh, you know, Anthropic is gonna make more
money next year.

01:35:36.310 --> 01:35:37.770
You know, it's like, okay, that's not

01:35:37.830 --> 01:35:37.929
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:35:37.950 --> 01:35:39.090
Peter Gostev: that's not very interesting. So,

01:35:39.110 --> 01:35:39.409
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:35:39.430 --> 01:35:41.569
Peter Gostev: yeah, I find it interesting you got a hit
rate of like

01:35:41.590 --> 01:35:41.690
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:35:41.710 --> 01:35:42.429
Peter Gostev: 50-50.

01:35:42.990 --> 01:35:43.870
Nathan Benaich: Yeah. Yeah.

01:35:44.030 --> 01:35:47.310
Peter Gostev: So is it like how, is it difficult to to
come up with the predictions?

01:35:47.390 --> 01:35:51.530
Are there some that you you kind of
decided against, I don't know, too wild

01:35:51.790 --> 01:35:53.789
that that you didn't end up making this
year?

01:35:54.790 --> 01:35:55.830
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, um,

01:35:57.750 --> 01:36:00.310
there's one I couldn't quite formulate
around, um,

01:36:01.150 --> 01:36:06.569
around, uh, one is like cybersecurity and
like, can AI somehow disrupt, um,

01:36:06.830 --> 01:36:08.629
encryption on the internet, um,

01:36:09.310 --> 01:36:13.470
as it might be, uh, as that might be
accelerated by the fact that AI solves

01:36:13.590 --> 01:36:13.909
math.

01:36:14.989 --> 01:36:18.930
So I don't quite know how to, yeah,
basically I just ran out of time for like

01:36:19.630 --> 01:36:22.650
thinking about how to formulate it
properly to be able to defend it,

01:36:22.702 --> 01:36:27.342
Peter Gostev: Can I, can I ask you, so you, you speak to
all kinds of people, and we're a little

01:36:27.422 --> 01:36:30.821
bit in the AI engineer kind of bubble.

01:36:30.942 --> 01:36:33.861
Like, what, what are sort of things that
people ask you about?

01:36:34.102 --> 01:36:38.382
Because you've got different parts of the
report about even going into politics and,

01:36:38.422 --> 01:36:42.661
and things like that. What do ki- what do
you hear people care, caring about?

01:36:45.862 --> 01:36:46.442
Nathan Benaich: Um...

01:36:48.302 --> 01:36:51.301
There's a segment of people who really
care about what we discussed, like the,

01:36:51.342 --> 01:36:55.241
the RSI, like, rapidly kind of
accelerating progress, like, what does

01:36:55.302 --> 01:36:57.822
that mean for the, the rest of us,
basically?

01:36:58.102 --> 01:36:58.462
Um,

01:36:59.181 --> 01:37:04.641
there's, there's some who, um, you know,
are just like increasingly like, uh,

01:37:04.862 --> 01:37:10.722
pessimistic over like software companies
still, because, um, you know, now like if

01:37:10.742 --> 01:37:15.041
you kind of believe the RSI is coming and
basically the, the quality of the software

01:37:15.102 --> 01:37:19.002
you can produce or the work you can
produce is like very limited by what model

01:37:19.222 --> 01:37:21.362
you have and how much money you're willing
to spend on it.

01:37:21.502 --> 01:37:21.741
Then,

01:37:22.342 --> 01:37:26.162
um, there's certain people that will just
like, or organizations that'll accelerate

01:37:26.262 --> 01:37:28.822
way faster than others, and if you're not
part of that, like, what do you do?

01:37:29.822 --> 01:37:30.341
Um,

01:37:31.422 --> 01:37:34.281
there's always like chatter, you know,
every 2 weeks or something, and I think

01:37:34.342 --> 01:37:38.202
now we're in one of those negative cycles
around like, is there too much compute,

01:37:38.502 --> 01:37:42.241
circular financing, like how is it
financed, like is the debt going to be

01:37:42.282 --> 01:37:45.781
able to be serviced? And, you know,
there's a bloodbath in NeoClouds in the

01:37:45.822 --> 01:37:47.702
last, like, 2, 3 days because

01:37:48.342 --> 01:37:49.662
we're just in that part of the cycle.

01:37:50.621 --> 01:37:51.361
Um,

01:37:52.862 --> 01:37:53.322
um,

01:37:53.982 --> 01:37:58.002
you know, there's always, always debate
around, like, will, will NeoLabs monetize?

01:37:58.062 --> 01:38:01.642
How will they monetize? Or these, like,
funky financing structures with multiple

01:38:01.782 --> 01:38:05.062
stages at different prices, all within a
couple minutes of each other.

01:38:05.181 --> 01:38:06.262
Is that like a sign of,

01:38:07.142 --> 01:38:10.901
um, I don't know, just like rabid demand
and not very much thinking?

01:38:11.862 --> 01:38:12.342
Um.

01:38:13.542 --> 01:38:17.341
Alex Volkov: How about normies? I have to ask you,
Nathan, how about like just regular folks

01:38:17.382 --> 01:38:18.921
on the street and how they view AI?

01:38:18.982 --> 01:38:20.221
Do you track that in state of AI?

01:38:20.262 --> 01:38:23.101
Do you talk to them? How do you see that
opinion shapes?

01:38:23.382 --> 01:38:24.132
So we did talk about

01:38:24.152 --> 01:38:24.252
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:38:24.272 --> 01:38:26.671
Alex Volkov: the change in the public opinion about
water use, et cetera.

01:38:26.952 --> 01:38:29.211
Uh, what about the kind of the use case
for AI?

01:38:29.272 --> 01:38:30.631
What do you see there? What do you track
there?

01:38:30.872 --> 01:38:34.611
The rise of personal agents is now upon
us, Gokbots and Muse and all of those.

01:38:34.992 --> 01:38:35.272
Do you

01:38:35.992 --> 01:38:36.891
consider those in the report?

01:38:38.112 --> 01:38:42.171
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, but it that's still like in the
small minority of tech people who know,

01:38:42.232 --> 01:38:43.831
who know what it is. Um,

01:38:44.512 --> 01:38:48.831
you know, I would, I would still bet that
like 90% of people are using like a model

01:38:48.912 --> 01:38:49.032
to

01:38:49.712 --> 01:38:51.791
maybe at best like read their email or

01:38:51.832 --> 01:38:52.052
Alex Volkov: Mm.

01:38:52.072 --> 01:38:53.231
Nathan Benaich: answer to their email or,

01:38:53.992 --> 01:38:57.572
you know, ask questions in the same way
they would ask Google, but they probably

01:38:57.632 --> 01:38:58.711
never click the work button.

01:38:58.752 --> 01:39:01.851
Like, what does that even mean? Like, do I
want to open a consumer app and, like,

01:39:01.992 --> 01:39:02.231
work?

01:39:03.112 --> 01:39:03.292
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:39:03.352 --> 01:39:03.871
Nathan Benaich: Not really.

01:39:04.952 --> 01:39:05.471
You know, and

01:39:06.272 --> 01:39:09.492
most people don't even know you can swipe
left, open Codex, run it on your machine,

01:39:09.552 --> 01:39:11.832
and like talk to your machine and make it
do work for you.

01:39:11.872 --> 01:39:12.071
So,

01:39:12.792 --> 01:39:17.052
like, I think that's so far away, which is
one of the reasons why, like, I've just

01:39:17.272 --> 01:39:21.111
started saying, like, I think these big
labs should open like a Genius Bar or like

01:39:21.172 --> 01:39:25.252
an actual physical store and just like
start walking, you know, regular people

01:39:25.372 --> 01:39:25.631
through

01:39:26.232 --> 01:39:28.231
the magical things you can do with AI.

01:39:29.992 --> 01:39:30.131
Alex Volkov: That,

01:39:30.752 --> 01:39:34.381
this is the kind of also the geek squad
genius bar comment, right?

01:39:34.582 --> 01:39:34.961
Nathan Benaich: Exactly.

01:39:35.362 --> 01:39:38.162
Alex Volkov: They need hand holding and imagination
unlock.

01:39:38.522 --> 01:39:38.881
Um.

01:39:39.522 --> 01:39:39.661
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:39:39.722 --> 01:39:43.642
Alex Volkov: And also that's what we're trying to do on
the show, though the show does cater to AI

01:39:43.682 --> 01:39:47.441
engineers, and so if you're still
listening to this, uh, you are

01:39:48.122 --> 01:39:52.042
in the very few, I don't know if you saw
the Karpathy tweet as well about, he kind

01:39:52.062 --> 01:39:52.742
of talks about this as well.

01:39:52.882 --> 01:39:54.562
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, exactly, when he segments the world.

01:39:54.802 --> 01:39:58.161
Exactly. It's, it's, and we're still very
much, very much like that.

01:39:58.482 --> 01:40:02.981
Um, and there's an argument that, like,
that gap, that gap expands even further

01:40:03.202 --> 01:40:06.401
if, like, capabilities get better and RSI
happens and all that stuff.

01:40:06.962 --> 01:40:10.261
But you can see it a bit in, like, the,
you know, the ramp data that we show with

01:40:10.282 --> 01:40:14.582
the 70,000 US customers that they have and
tracking how much money they spend on

01:40:14.682 --> 01:40:15.041
models.

01:40:15.762 --> 01:40:19.021
It's like, you know, the the average
spends like 12 bucks per employee per

01:40:19.122 --> 01:40:22.982
month, and the top 1% is like 7,500,
roughly speaking.

01:40:23.642 --> 01:40:25.601
So it's like 580 times difference.

01:40:27.082 --> 01:40:27.722
Alex Volkov: Between the

01:40:28.442 --> 01:40:31.582
potential permanent underclass, if this
continues, yes.

01:40:31.842 --> 01:40:31.981
Nathan Benaich: Right.

01:40:32.041 --> 01:40:34.305
Alex Volkov: And and and the top spenders, the billion
token ones.

01:40:34.382 --> 01:40:34.701
Nathan,

01:40:34.822 --> 01:40:34.961
Nathan Benaich: Right.

01:40:34.982 --> 01:40:35.902
Alex Volkov: Thank you so much for joining.

01:40:36.902 --> 01:40:40.361
The thing that I do want to, ask you,
because you've been doing this for a long

01:40:40.422 --> 01:40:40.662
time,

01:40:41.352 --> 01:40:44.361
again, from AI ML days to then generative
AI to, know,

01:40:44.382 --> 01:40:44.562
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:40:44.582 --> 01:40:44.802
Alex Volkov: uh,

01:40:45.662 --> 01:40:47.662
very small context windows to the huge
ones.

01:40:47.702 --> 01:40:49.721
We've been doing this for 3 years, and it
feels like incredible time.

01:40:49.742 --> 01:40:52.001
You've been doing this for, for, for much,
much longer.

01:40:52.342 --> 01:40:52.481
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:40:52.542 --> 01:40:52.861
Alex Volkov: Um,

01:40:53.702 --> 01:40:54.501
your personal

01:40:55.702 --> 01:40:56.101
beliefs

01:40:56.942 --> 01:41:00.702
and whether or not, your P doom stuff, I
don't like the P doom, nomenclature,

01:41:00.722 --> 01:41:00.902
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:41:00.922 --> 01:41:02.117
Alex Volkov: but about the bubble stuff.

01:41:02.238 --> 01:41:04.497
I would love to just hear from you, how do
you see

01:41:05.277 --> 01:41:06.918
your views change throughout these years?

01:41:07.438 --> 01:41:07.738
If you can

01:41:07.878 --> 01:41:07.978
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:41:08.038 --> 01:41:09.497
Alex Volkov: chat about this for a little bit briefly.

01:41:10.118 --> 01:41:12.498
Nathan Benaich: Yeah. I, I think the major...

01:41:13.078 --> 01:41:14.938
Well, so I, my P doom is very small.

01:41:15.358 --> 01:41:15.578
Alex Volkov: Mm-hmm.

01:41:15.598 --> 01:41:17.757
Nathan Benaich: I'm not like a big believer in X risk.

01:41:18.397 --> 01:41:19.037
Um,

01:41:19.958 --> 01:41:24.978
I, I, I do think along that angle that
cybersecurity is very precarious, um, and

01:41:25.078 --> 01:41:26.917
should be taken like insanely seriously,

01:41:27.758 --> 01:41:30.678
but I think that's different than like
existential risk of like destroying

01:41:30.758 --> 01:41:31.238
humanity.

01:41:31.998 --> 01:41:32.438
Um,

01:41:33.998 --> 01:41:38.418
I think the- the major change I've had in
the last like 2, 3 years is

01:41:39.078 --> 01:41:39.857
I, I've generally

01:41:40.638 --> 01:41:42.737
believed that you use the right model for
the task

01:41:43.438 --> 01:41:45.978
in the same way that, you know, you don't,
you don't drive your Ferrari to go to,

01:41:45.998 --> 01:41:48.797
like, the coffee shop, or maybe you do to
show off or something, but it's like not

01:41:48.838 --> 01:41:50.678
the most reasonable thing to do, just like
walk.

01:41:51.118 --> 01:41:51.278
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:41:51.438 --> 01:41:51.998
Nathan Benaich: Um,

01:41:53.038 --> 01:41:56.517
but I think there's like a weird behavior
with like, w- with like frontier

01:41:56.558 --> 01:42:00.397
intelligence. If you, if you have like 200
bucks a month to spend and you value the

01:42:00.478 --> 01:42:04.197
quality of your work, do you really want
to like take the risk of putting the

01:42:04.278 --> 01:42:06.657
slider down to low and like using a
cheaper model

01:42:07.518 --> 01:42:09.597
on the chance that like the quality of the
work is worse?

01:42:10.558 --> 01:42:14.698
So while I could switch for, like, emails
or whatever, I j- I just don't.

01:42:14.798 --> 01:42:16.698
I'm just like on Astra High, like, who
cares?

01:42:17.198 --> 01:42:18.698
Alex Volkov: You're answering emails on Astra High.

01:42:18.718 --> 01:42:18.977
Nathan Benaich: Yeah.

01:42:18.998 --> 01:42:21.198
Alex Volkov: Nathan Benaich from Air Street Capital.

01:42:23.598 --> 01:42:26.217
Nathan Benaich: Not all my emails, but like the ones we
have to think about it, like.

01:42:26.358 --> 01:42:26.537
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:42:26.918 --> 01:42:29.958
Nathan Benaich: You know, why, why would you take the risk
using a shittier, a shittier system?

01:42:30.318 --> 01:42:30.498
Alex Volkov: Mhm.

01:42:30.678 --> 01:42:32.357
Nathan Benaich: Um, or potentially shittier system.

01:42:32.998 --> 01:42:34.118
So, um,

01:42:35.638 --> 01:42:38.278
w- yeah, so there's, there's that, and
then like, you know, will we ever make

01:42:38.358 --> 01:42:39.717
money on frontier intelligence?

01:42:39.798 --> 01:42:43.257
And I think it's starting to show that,
like, we will, because the value of the

01:42:43.358 --> 01:42:45.698
task that they're doing is increasingly
high, and just

01:42:46.318 --> 01:42:49.898
this, the more people from all sorts of
different parts of the technology world

01:42:49.918 --> 01:42:53.817
who come into working in AI bring all of
their knowledge and optimizations to, to

01:42:53.838 --> 01:42:54.637
the fore, and

01:42:55.278 --> 01:42:58.597
just, you know, human ingenuity plus lots
of AI equals more progress.

01:42:58.638 --> 01:43:03.398
So I'm like quite, um, quite bullish on
like margins improving, and you know, I

01:43:03.418 --> 01:43:06.558
don't know what Anthropic is adjusting
when they report their adjusted numbers,

01:43:06.678 --> 01:43:06.837
but

01:43:07.638 --> 01:43:08.037
um,

01:43:08.638 --> 01:43:11.698
it's, you know, it's probably not like
community adjusted EBITDA like WeWork.

01:43:11.758 --> 01:43:13.398
Like, I think it's a serious company, so

01:43:14.158 --> 01:43:14.638
um,

01:43:15.678 --> 01:43:18.317
um, so I'm, I've changed my mind on on on
that.

01:43:18.358 --> 01:43:21.837
Like, I think you can really make money on
Frontier AI, and I'm increasingly

01:43:21.918 --> 01:43:25.718
convinced that it's the the open source
versus like Frontier Labs is like

01:43:26.518 --> 01:43:28.237
um, iOS versus Android.

01:43:28.918 --> 01:43:31.697
It's sort of cool for a while to play
around with your Android and mod

01:43:31.758 --> 01:43:33.517
everything, and some people want to do
that, but

01:43:33.637 --> 01:43:33.777
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:43:34.078 --> 01:43:37.457
Nathan Benaich: At some point, you just want product that
auto updates, is like reliable, connects

01:43:37.478 --> 01:43:39.378
with everything, and looks nice, and

01:43:41.158 --> 01:43:41.518
so.

01:43:41.998 --> 01:43:44.707
Alex Volkov: All right, are, those are great stuff. Uh,
folks, Nathan Benaich, thank you so much

01:43:44.748 --> 01:43:46.207
for joining, us on Thursday.

01:43:46.268 --> 01:43:49.128
I will always welcome you back after the
next one as well.

01:43:49.228 --> 01:43:51.287
If you, are you planning to keep going, to
to the-

01:43:51.348 --> 01:43:53.368
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. We'll we'll keep
going.

01:43:53.428 --> 01:43:57.068
I mean, you know, if AGI 27 happens, I'll
be on the 10th year anniversary, and then

01:43:57.128 --> 01:43:58.928
I might be able to stop, but uh,

01:43:58.948 --> 01:43:59.688
Alex Volkov: All right.

01:43:59.708 --> 01:44:02.387
Nathan Benaich: Let's see. Yeah. In the meantime, you can
find everything online.

01:44:02.428 --> 01:44:03.787
It's all free at stateof.ai.

01:44:03.868 --> 01:44:06.708
Alex Volkov: It's at stateof.ai.

01:44:07.188 --> 01:44:07.388
Nathan Benaich: Yes.

01:44:07.411 --> 01:44:09.767
Alex Volkov: so it's a great, URL. Nathan, thank you so
much for joining us.

01:44:09.968 --> 01:44:10.607
Nathan Benaich: Yeah, thanks guys.

01:44:11.328 --> 01:44:11.648
Alex Volkov: Bye-bye.

01:44:12.288 --> 01:44:12.688
Um,

01:44:13.338 --> 01:44:17.297
that was super cool. Uh, I don't, we don't
often, we don't often get somebody here

01:44:17.757 --> 01:44:19.198
that does this longer than we do.

01:44:19.518 --> 01:44:21.078
Uh, and LDJ joined us as well.

01:44:21.477 --> 01:44:21.877
Uh,

01:44:22.661 --> 01:44:23.208
this is great.

01:44:24.048 --> 01:44:25.768
Nathan, uh, Peter, thank you so much.

01:44:25.968 --> 01:44:26.667
What's your take on-

01:44:27.208 --> 01:44:32.748
Peter Gostev: I, the, the most, the, the very cool thing
about this is that there's obviously, I, I

01:44:32.808 --> 01:44:36.448
find this really helpful to keep up with
this stuff every week, but there's

01:44:36.528 --> 01:44:38.148
something really valuable, I think, that

01:44:38.808 --> 01:44:43.188
to just look back at the year and you're
just like, oh, I completely forgotten

01:44:43.248 --> 01:44:47.487
about this, or I didn't actually realize
there were papers there that maybe didn't

01:44:47.528 --> 01:44:50.707
quite make the splash this week, so we
skipped it because, you know, there's too

01:44:50.728 --> 01:44:51.307
much to cover.

01:44:51.328 --> 01:44:51.587
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:44:51.608 --> 01:44:53.428
Peter Gostev: But actually they turn out to be quite
important.

01:44:53.448 --> 01:44:57.428
So I really value his work, and I've been
reading his stuff for years now.

01:44:57.528 --> 01:45:02.067
I can't remember what was the first one
that I read, but it it's just so useful to

01:45:02.128 --> 01:45:05.007
just look at it and and just read the
stuff.

01:45:05.088 --> 01:45:09.507
So I really recommend just book, I don't
know, an hour, 2 hours in your diary and

01:45:09.568 --> 01:45:13.087
just scroll for this. You don't have to
read every single thing, but just scroll

01:45:13.128 --> 01:45:15.048
for this. I know it's like 250 slides.

01:45:15.448 --> 01:45:17.048
You can do it in an hour quite easily.

01:45:17.128 --> 01:45:19.388
Don't, don't le- don't ask your agent to
read this.

01:45:19.488 --> 01:45:20.548
Alex Volkov: Don't ask your agent to read this.

01:45:20.568 --> 01:45:23.028
Peter Gostev: Yeah, just read it, read it, put some
effort in.

01:45:23.408 --> 01:45:24.167
No, it's worth it.

01:45:24.563 --> 01:45:27.263
Alex Volkov: Nisten, how's your 100K city going?

01:45:27.323 --> 01:45:28.642
Are you still AI pilled?

01:45:29.083 --> 01:45:33.573
And, Peter, what, what new and interesting
did you start using or, or building this

01:45:33.613 --> 01:45:35.872
week? Just whoever wants to jump in, let's
just chat.

01:45:37.133 --> 01:45:37.812
Nisten Tahiraj: Hell yeah.

01:45:39.372 --> 01:45:43.612
There's, uh, I, I got, I got some, some,
some crazy stuff

01:45:44.293 --> 01:45:46.093
coming up for, uh, release.

01:45:46.853 --> 01:45:47.333
Um,

01:45:48.133 --> 01:45:52.773
it's, uh, yeah, the, the all the entire
decompilation of games and stuff is

01:45:52.853 --> 01:45:54.753
enabling full out simulations.

01:45:54.893 --> 01:45:56.052
Alex Volkov: Can we talk about this decompilation?

01:45:56.073 --> 01:45:59.732
So, LDJ, we mentioned this like last time
that people are putting things in other

01:45:59.812 --> 01:46:01.753
games, and now there's the whole
decompilation thing happening.

01:46:01.773 --> 01:46:05.092
Somebody told me somebody decompiled or
reverse engineered the airdrop protocol.

01:46:05.133 --> 01:46:05.572
What the fuck?

01:46:06.093 --> 01:46:07.852
Nisten Tahiraj: Guys, it is crazy.

01:46:07.973 --> 01:46:09.592
Alex Volkov: It's like a renaissance happening right
now, right?

01:46:09.823 --> 01:46:10.242
tell us.

01:46:10.263 --> 01:46:12.718
Nisten Tahiraj: Yes. All right, here's, here's what's
happened.

01:46:12.997 --> 01:46:17.578
The entire internet the last two months
has just gone completely nuts by using,

01:46:17.678 --> 01:46:21.297
like, the NSA Ghidra protocol, which
allows you to, like, reverse engineer any

01:46:21.358 --> 01:46:22.117
piece of software.

01:46:22.878 --> 01:46:28.518
And then there was also the law in 1996
from the Phoenix BIOS, or AVS, I might be

01:46:28.557 --> 01:46:30.478
wrong on that, that allows you to

01:46:31.158 --> 01:46:35.597
actually provide, like, visually
functional, uh, pieces of software, as

01:46:35.638 --> 01:46:38.117
long as it does not violate any trademark.

01:46:38.958 --> 01:46:44.057
So you see a lot of these things called
Photocraft, Gridcraft, and stuff, which

01:46:44.098 --> 01:46:45.318
are like Photoshop

01:46:45.958 --> 01:46:48.218
or Excel builds that are done in Rust.

01:46:48.238 --> 01:46:49.497
Alex Volkov: Clean, clean room builds, yes.

01:46:50.118 --> 01:46:52.217
Nisten Tahiraj: Yes, so those are mainly done in Rust.

01:46:52.273 --> 01:46:55.952
But yeah, it's a complete renaissance in,
uh, in apps.

01:46:56.513 --> 01:46:59.772
It's going to be a very interesting next 3
months

01:47:00.433 --> 01:47:04.992
as, uh, entire countries and economies
figure out what kind of office suite do

01:47:05.033 --> 01:47:05.793
they need to run.

01:47:06.473 --> 01:47:09.812
Uh, and, and, and the very interesting
thing is that actual professionals and

01:47:09.913 --> 01:47:10.332
creatives

01:47:11.113 --> 01:47:16.252
tend to like the vibe-coded versions more
because they're just so much more

01:47:16.393 --> 01:47:16.813
portable.

01:47:17.233 --> 01:47:17.852
Alex Volkov: And they're fun.

01:47:18.033 --> 01:47:19.872
Nisten Tahiraj: Yeah, and they're fun. Again, they're not
perfect.

01:47:19.953 --> 01:47:23.692
For example, in Photoshop, the reviews
were that the Magic Wand tool is not very

01:47:23.753 --> 01:47:27.292
good because it used like an older machine
learning model to remove the background.

01:47:27.633 --> 01:47:27.813
Alex Volkov: Mm.

01:47:27.873 --> 01:47:30.713
Nisten Tahiraj: That's going to just be fixed in the next,
like, 2 weeks.

01:47:31.153 --> 01:47:34.932
Alex Volkov: The second he turns his slop cannon
towards that issue, that issue is solved.

01:47:34.953 --> 01:47:36.193
Nisten Tahiraj: Yes, that issue is solved.

01:47:36.313 --> 01:47:41.532
Yeah, they're just, they're throwing
entire gauntlet prompts, and they're, I've

01:47:41.633 --> 01:47:47.172
seen entire apps, the entire Adobe suite,
InDesign, After Effects, uh,

01:47:47.313 --> 01:47:51.132
Lightroom, uh, all just running in the
browser, very performant too,

01:47:51.873 --> 01:47:56.552
and you can run them without any telemetry
or crap or spyware or

01:47:56.753 --> 01:47:59.372
Alex Volkov: Without Adobe paying also a bunch of money
to Adobe.

01:47:59.473 --> 01:47:59.813
Nisten,

01:47:59.833 --> 01:48:00.012
Nisten Tahiraj: Yeah.

01:48:00.333 --> 01:48:00.953
Alex Volkov: I do have

01:48:01.793 --> 01:48:05.032
to pause you because LDJ just bought us
breaking news.

01:48:05.713 --> 01:48:06.953
Uh, let's go.

01:48:10.193 --> 01:48:11.353
Breaking news stinger: AI breaking news

01:48:13.313 --> 01:48:13.953
coming at you

01:48:15.153 --> 01:48:16.313
only on ThursdAI.

01:48:22.033 --> 01:48:24.513
Alex Volkov: All right, folks, we have, quite exciting
breaking news.

01:48:24.673 --> 01:48:25.642
LDJ, you wanna take this one?

01:48:26.683 --> 01:48:26.942
LDJ: Sure.

01:48:27.283 --> 01:48:27.662
Alex Volkov: I can share.

01:48:27.683 --> 01:48:28.463
LDJ: So, uh,

01:48:29.203 --> 01:48:32.822
yeah, I, I do feel like overall these past
few months we've had a bit of a

01:48:32.963 --> 01:48:36.282
renaissance of, of Western American open
models,

01:48:37.003 --> 01:48:40.843
and Meta just announced, uh, literally
within the past 20 minutes,

01:48:41.523 --> 01:48:43.302
that Muse Spark Open

01:48:43.963 --> 01:48:48.362
is released, which I presume is maybe like
a partly censored version of Muse Spark.

01:48:48.643 --> 01:48:51.763
It's 816 billion total parameters,

01:48:52.523 --> 01:48:54.622
42 billion active parameters.

01:48:54.683 --> 01:48:55.302
So this is

01:48:56.203 --> 01:49:02.182
around 3 times smaller in total parameter
size than, uh, than Kimi K3, while being

01:49:02.283 --> 01:49:05.483
approximately half of the active
parameters of Kimi K3.

01:49:06.003 --> 01:49:09.083
So you could expect it to be a lot more
practical to run a lot faster.

01:49:09.603 --> 01:49:13.862
Um, I'd say probably in terms of parameter
count of active and total, it's probably

01:49:14.563 --> 01:49:17.642
most fair to compare it to maybe the full
GLM 5.3,

01:49:18.563 --> 01:49:23.842
and I think it is maybe beating GLM 5.3,
though, or at least trading blows with it

01:49:24.003 --> 01:49:27.942
in the benchmarks. So I guess we'll have
to scroll down or kind of wait for people

01:49:27.963 --> 01:49:28.922
to benchmark things.

01:49:29.083 --> 01:49:30.402
Alex Volkov: Yeah, let's take a look. Let's take a
look.

01:49:30.443 --> 01:49:34.762
They're comparing themselves, uh, Muse
Spark Open, to Inkling, to Nemotron, to

01:49:34.923 --> 01:49:38.942
Beam, to Mistral, and only then to Qwen
and GLM, right?

01:49:39.003 --> 01:49:40.223
So, like, they're starting with,

01:49:41.347 --> 01:49:43.036
what is it Inkling, US-based?

01:49:43.057 --> 01:49:43.896
LDJ: Thinking Machines.

01:49:44.337 --> 01:49:44.837
Alex Volkov: Yeah, oh yeah,

01:49:44.857 --> 01:49:44.997
LDJ: Yes.

01:49:45.017 --> 01:49:49.936
Alex Volkov: Nice, okay. Uh, so look, they're literally
saying, hey, we're comparing ourselves to

01:49:50.017 --> 01:49:54.257
American counterparts first, then to
European counterparts, and only then Qwen

01:49:54.297 --> 01:49:55.336
and GLM and Kimi.

01:49:55.537 --> 01:49:59.977
Peter Gostev: Yeah, I, I think what's interesting, if
you scroll down into the coding area and

01:50:00.456 --> 01:50:01.917
compare it to the Chinese models,

01:50:02.137 --> 01:50:02.236
Alex Volkov: Mhm.

01:50:02.257 --> 01:50:04.556
Peter Gostev: So we've got the Terminal Bench 2.1.

01:50:04.857 --> 01:50:04.997
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:50:05.017 --> 01:50:10.736
Peter Gostev: So Muse Spark has, uh, 76.4, then Qwen 3.8

01:50:10.977 --> 01:50:12.136
has 82,

01:50:12.897 --> 01:50:16.436
and, uh, GLM 5.3 has, uh, 84.

01:50:16.456 --> 01:50:17.196
Alex Volkov: 83.

01:50:17.537 --> 01:50:19.936
Peter Gostev: Yeah, 83.9, Kimi 85.

01:50:19.977 --> 01:50:24.616
So it's like a 10 points behind the, no,
well, not quite 10 points, but a b- like 7

01:50:24.737 --> 01:50:25.816
and 8 points behind.

01:50:26.177 --> 01:50:31.317
Then DeepSeek as well, but basically
behind GLM and Kimi K3, which, by the way,

01:50:31.497 --> 01:50:31.637
been

01:50:31.657 --> 01:50:31.917
Alex Volkov: Mhm.

01:50:31.937 --> 01:50:34.197
Peter Gostev: out for, what, a month, 2, something like
that?

01:50:34.497 --> 01:50:34.597
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:50:34.617 --> 01:50:38.097
Peter Gostev: I haven't found it. So yeah, definitely
better than the US models, but not

01:50:38.297 --> 01:50:42.497
necessarily at coding versus the, the top
tier Chinese models yet.

01:50:43.537 --> 01:50:47.597
Alex Volkov: Yep. Um, it doesn't look like they were
going to break Sora.

01:50:48.017 --> 01:50:50.936
One, oh, somebody says, yeah, but they're
like 3x the size, right?

01:50:50.977 --> 01:50:53.696
So GLM and and all those are like, in the
billions of tokens.

01:50:54.257 --> 01:50:56.397
Peter Gostev: I think GLM not so much, right?

01:50:56.497 --> 01:50:58.076
Isn't it, isn't it like about

01:50:58.137 --> 01:50:59.196
LDJ: GLM 3.

01:50:59.696 --> 01:51:01.096
Yeah, it's it's quite large here.

01:51:01.137 --> 01:51:03.536
Let me find the exact parameter count real
quick here, uh,

01:51:04.577 --> 01:51:07.117
because Flash is around 300 billion
parameters.

01:51:07.217 --> 01:51:11.957
Uh, yeah, okay, so total parameters for
GLM 5.3, the the not Flash version, which

01:51:12.297 --> 01:51:16.277
they're showing the not Flash version in
that chart, it's 753 billion total

01:51:16.377 --> 01:51:16.677
parameters.

01:51:16.696 --> 01:51:17.557
Alex Volkov: Oh, so that's comparable.

01:51:18.017 --> 01:51:21.976
LDJ: Yeah, and 40 billion active parameters, so
almost the, the, uh, very, very similar.

01:51:22.377 --> 01:51:22.996
Alex Volkov: Very similar

01:51:23.817 --> 01:51:24.656
and gets beaten.

01:51:26.417 --> 01:51:30.177
Peter Gostev: Well, the, it's, uh, GLM is bad at coding,
like quite a bit.

01:51:30.897 --> 01:51:31.036
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:51:31.297 --> 01:51:34.416
Peter Gostev: Quite a few points. So, so yeah, I think
it's...

01:51:34.737 --> 01:51:35.957
Well, well, what do you guys think?

01:51:36.097 --> 01:51:39.117
Is this, what was the relationship to
Spark,

01:51:39.817 --> 01:51:44.096
uh, Muse Spark through, uh, 1.123?

01:51:44.696 --> 01:51:45.456
Any relation?

01:51:45.577 --> 01:51:48.547
Alex Volkov: Oh, that's, I'm assuming that this is like
a cleanup version

01:51:49.307 --> 01:51:49.967
to some extent.

01:51:49.987 --> 01:51:50.327
LDJ: Yeah.

01:51:51.027 --> 01:51:51.246
Yeah.

01:51:51.387 --> 01:51:55.886
Alex Volkov: But they're not talking about this, but
yeah, Muse Spark from 1.1 to 1.3 did like

01:51:56.047 --> 01:51:57.706
quite heavy jumps, um...

01:51:59.247 --> 01:52:02.987
And this one is a multimodal text, image,
video, and audio.

01:52:03.327 --> 01:52:07.507
Output is only text with 1 million as
inference context window and,

01:52:08.191 --> 01:52:09.750
a great vocabulary size. Uh,

01:52:11.351 --> 01:52:11.991
this is super cool.

01:52:13.871 --> 01:52:16.170
Llama is back, essentially, is what we're
saying, right?

01:52:16.231 --> 01:52:20.330
This is like the first release from Meta
for a long time that's in an LLM space.

01:52:20.451 --> 01:52:20.890
Nisten,

01:52:22.011 --> 01:52:22.351
thoughts?

01:52:23.451 --> 01:52:23.711
Excitement?

01:52:23.731 --> 01:52:26.471
Nisten Tahiraj: I'm just, I'm just going to, I just need
to try it.

01:52:27.971 --> 01:52:29.451
Alex Volkov: The weights are available to download.

01:52:29.651 --> 01:52:31.931
Uh, the model is available in BF16 and F-

01:52:32.051 --> 01:52:32.670
Nisten Tahiraj: It's pretty big.

01:52:32.771 --> 01:52:33.771
Alex Volkov: and NVFP4.

01:52:33.931 --> 01:52:37.730
To run on your system, the model requires
a GPU with at least 700 gigs of VRAM

01:52:38.491 --> 01:52:41.050
and NVFP4 and 2 terabytes for BF16.

01:52:41.371 --> 01:52:44.550
It also requires an inference deployment
framework, supported frameworks, SG Lang,

01:52:44.771 --> 01:52:47.330
vLLM, Hugging Face, and Llama CPP.

01:52:47.411 --> 01:52:51.330
We're definitely gonna chat with our
inference folks, to try and, to provide

01:52:51.351 --> 01:52:54.830
this inference for you, because we do
believe this is a good model.

01:52:55.391 --> 01:52:59.551
Nisten Tahiraj: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. It's a, especially
for computer use, I think this will be

01:53:00.231 --> 01:53:03.511
pretty key right now. I'm just reading
through the license.

01:53:03.671 --> 01:53:09.250
It just asks that anything you do with it,
it should say built with Muse Spark Open

01:53:09.591 --> 01:53:13.490
in the interface of each product or
service that uses the software or any

01:53:13.591 --> 01:53:14.230
derivatives.

01:53:15.151 --> 01:53:19.570
That's the main license, and uh,
everything else is like an open usage

01:53:19.991 --> 01:53:22.951
policy, so no violence and s- drugs and
stuff,

01:53:23.711 --> 01:53:26.711
um, or not impersonating and misinfo.

01:53:27.111 --> 01:53:27.331
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:53:27.871 --> 01:53:32.170
Nisten Tahiraj: Otherwise, it looks uh, close to just like
an open license.

01:53:32.911 --> 01:53:35.950
There's no restrictions on like how much
money or anything like that.

01:53:36.991 --> 01:53:38.471
Uh, thi- this is, yeah.

01:53:38.711 --> 01:53:39.851
Oh no, there is a restriction.

01:53:40.111 --> 01:53:43.050
Where the third party outputs of such
models, models of service, and the

01:53:43.111 --> 01:53:45.730
aggregate gross revenue of the licensee
and its affiliates

01:53:46.391 --> 01:53:48.331
exceed 20 million US dollars

01:53:48.791 --> 01:53:48.930
Alex Volkov: Mm.

01:53:48.991 --> 01:53:52.030
Nisten Tahiraj: or equivalent during any consecutive
12-month period.

01:53:53.271 --> 01:53:54.290
So as long as you make

01:53:54.991 --> 01:53:58.211
less than 20 million dollars a year, you
can just, uh, offer it.

01:53:58.591 --> 01:53:58.810
Alex Volkov: Mhm.

01:53:59.071 --> 01:53:59.490
Nisten Tahiraj: Uh, yeah.

01:54:00.311 --> 01:54:01.571
Alex Volkov: And then probably a license.

01:54:01.831 --> 01:54:05.591
Nisten Tahiraj: Yeah, that's, those are the things, but
this, this is amazing because it, uh,

01:54:06.271 --> 01:54:07.430
it, it will be great for

01:54:08.111 --> 01:54:09.271
generating data and stuff.

01:54:09.351 --> 01:54:10.771
Yeah, I'm pretty sure companies will offer
it.

01:54:10.831 --> 01:54:12.951
It's probably one of the best computer use
ones.

01:54:13.791 --> 01:54:14.890
Alex Volkov: That is so cool. Let's go.

01:54:14.951 --> 01:54:16.731
I wish I had my, my, my air horn button.

01:54:16.871 --> 01:54:18.930
Folks, Llama is so back, and

01:54:19.111 --> 01:54:19.810
Nisten Tahiraj: Llama is back.

01:54:21.071 --> 01:54:24.911
Alex Volkov: The promises of Space Unk, where they
release a new Grok, the old Grok will be

01:54:24.991 --> 01:54:27.530
open source, that doesn't often come to
fruition.

01:54:27.571 --> 01:54:29.591
I don't remember the last time Grok was
open source.

01:54:29.991 --> 01:54:34.100
Uh, Zuck and Alex Wang did say that the,
the open source is back after the

01:54:34.161 --> 01:54:37.261
manifesto and everything, and so now
they're, after the releasing

01:54:38.001 --> 01:54:41.141
Muse, so two, two huge news from Meta this
week, right?

01:54:41.361 --> 01:54:45.180
They released Muse Wonder and Wonderful,
and that's, folks are split on that a

01:54:45.201 --> 01:54:49.221
little bit, and now they released the open
source version of Spark in Muse Spark

01:54:49.301 --> 01:54:54.110
Open, a sorry, 816 billion parameter, 42
active billion parameters.

01:54:54.511 --> 01:54:57.381
We don't have the clap buttons here, also
the applause, but like every lab that

01:54:57.441 --> 01:55:00.480
releases stuff with the license that's
open, we applause.

01:55:00.961 --> 01:55:05.361
Uh, and this was our attempt to adjust the
conversation, then breaking news came.

01:55:05.761 --> 01:55:08.900
Uh, there was a bunch of other stuff this
week that we didn't get to, including the

01:55:09.001 --> 01:55:12.080
voice. So Grok Voice released, and then
Tiny Fish as well.

01:55:12.601 --> 01:55:12.920
Um,

01:55:13.680 --> 01:55:15.360
let's see what else is interesting here.

01:55:15.921 --> 01:55:17.720
Um, yeah, I think it's pretty much it.

01:55:17.821 --> 01:55:21.300
we've covered most of it, besides the,
the, the, oh, and multimodal JEV.

01:55:21.821 --> 01:55:23.420
Didn't get to. I really wanted to.

01:55:23.741 --> 01:55:26.481
JEV is now multimodal, the original JEV,
not the

01:55:27.241 --> 01:55:31.101
700 open source or so clones, including
the one from Microsoft that's called

01:55:31.481 --> 01:55:35.280
Decision 1, including the one from OpenAI
that's called OpenAI Decision API.

01:55:35.601 --> 01:55:40.160
Uh, JEV, the original JEV from TypeSafe AI
that we talked to you about, what, a month

01:55:40.241 --> 01:55:42.760
ago? That's it? That's only a month since
JEV came out?

01:55:42.881 --> 01:55:44.801
Yeah, pretty much literally a month ago.

01:55:45.201 --> 01:55:49.200
Um, JEV is now multimodal, so it can look
at images and return bounding boxes.

01:55:49.601 --> 01:55:54.471
Uh, we also told you about Gemini Argon,
which is Gemini 4, and we had both folks

01:55:54.491 --> 01:55:59.621
here, Geneviève and Omar Sanseviero, from
the developer experience team at DeepMind

01:55:59.661 --> 01:56:01.181
to tell you about these models as well.

01:56:01.941 --> 01:56:06.570
Coming to you live from New York, AI
Engineer, the conference, had a lot of

01:56:06.871 --> 01:56:09.151
folks who listened to ThursdAI and a lot
of talk about

01:56:10.071 --> 01:56:14.010
the type of stuff that we struggle with,
including attention, including how to run

01:56:14.111 --> 01:56:18.870
multiple agents, including when to sleep
and how to sleep when you're just about to

01:56:18.951 --> 01:56:22.191
send something to an agent and it can
reply and wait for you the whole night.

01:56:22.391 --> 01:56:24.431
This is also a part of the conversation as
well.

01:56:24.991 --> 01:56:26.791
Uh, signing off from here.

01:56:27.031 --> 01:56:30.471
Uh, if you missed any part of the show,
the show comes, to any podcast

01:56:32.471 --> 01:56:33.410
app that you use,

01:56:34.111 --> 01:56:37.720
Apple Podcasts, Spotify, et cetera, and on
YouTube, including shorts.

01:56:37.881 --> 01:56:41.000
Uh, if you haven't subscribed, please like
and subscribe.

01:56:41.441 --> 01:56:44.101
Um, and if you have, help us on other
platforms as well.

01:56:44.321 --> 01:56:46.080
Really, really does help for exposure.

01:56:46.561 --> 01:56:47.421
Uh, Wolfram...

01:56:48.561 --> 01:56:48.921
go ahead.

01:56:50.041 --> 01:56:54.441
Wolfram Ravenwolf: I just wanted to say the news are coming
so fast that it is now the time where it

01:56:54.481 --> 01:56:57.240
is the easiest to actually implement,
implement the stuff.

01:56:57.641 --> 01:57:01.381
When we started with the show and I saw we
were, will be talking about Grok, uh,

01:57:01.481 --> 01:57:06.000
voice, I told my agent, put this in my, my
voice app, and it's now running on my

01:57:06.081 --> 01:57:08.460
phone already. I can talk to Amy with the
Grok voice.

01:57:08.521 --> 01:57:08.820
Alex Volkov: Yeah.

01:57:08.841 --> 01:57:14.761
Wolfram Ravenwolf: And it would be cool if the audience would
also, um, tell us next time, what of the

01:57:14.841 --> 01:57:16.401
last show did you implement yourself?

01:57:16.441 --> 01:57:19.720
If you have your agents, what is the stuff
you are actually using?

01:57:20.361 --> 01:57:23.881
What, what about the things we reported on
are you using now?

01:57:23.961 --> 01:57:27.641
This is super interesting to us, uh, not
just reporting on the news, but actually

01:57:27.721 --> 01:57:31.240
the uses of the news items, what our
audience is doing.

01:57:31.321 --> 01:57:32.620
That would be very interesting to hear.

01:57:33.000 --> 01:57:36.260
Alex Volkov: Yeah, please send and comment and tag us
on social media.

01:57:36.321 --> 01:57:38.881
It's gonna be great. Uh, with that, we're
signing off.

01:57:39.000 --> 01:57:42.321
Folks, thank you so much. Peter Gostev,
Wolfram Ravenwolf, Nisten Tahiraj, LDJ,

01:57:42.361 --> 01:57:46.881
Yam Peleg was here before, and our 3
guests, Nathan Benaich, Geneviève, and

01:57:46.961 --> 01:57:51.650
Omar Sanseviero from, DeepMind, and all of
you for tuning in, for listening, for

01:57:51.751 --> 01:57:55.071
sharing, for liking, for sending
subscribes and sharing with your friends.

01:57:55.351 --> 01:57:58.360
It really means a lot to us, especially if
you come up and tell us, that you're a

01:57:58.421 --> 01:58:00.480
listener. Thank you so much, and we'll see
you here next week.

01:58:00.541 --> 01:58:01.141
Bye-bye, everyone.

