
Is it over for AI after the midterms?Policy
Data centers were on the ballot. We don't think it's over.
Highly unlikely. Voters restricted data centers in 38 of 39 fully counted local ballot measures, and some newly elected officials call for a pause on advanced AI training, but 21 of the roughly 40 measures were in Ohio, and Texas' new governor would let permitted data center builds continue. The frontier labs will keep shipping, LDJ thinks the result could even speed them up before the next cycle, and a US pause would not stop AI from being developed anywhere else.
We try to stay away from politics on ThursdAI, but some weeks we don't have a choice. During the weekend my timelines were full of hope. Then the US midterms happened, and a lot of the newly elected folks are not in favor of AI. Some call for an outright pause on advanced AI training. Around 40 ballot measures called for restrictions on data center buildouts, and the markets erased over $3 trillion, mostly led by the tech and chips sectors.
Politics is about hope and fear, and many of the winners leaned into the fears regular people have about AI: job replacement, the environmental impact of data centers. One tweet calling to ban artificial superintelligence got pushed to 12 million views, because the algorithm LOVES controversy. But what does a ban like that even mean, when we have open source and Chinese models are catching up to the frontier?

More posturing than policy
21 of the roughly 40 measures were in Ohio alone, so this doesn't look like "the country rejects AI buildout." Texas' new governor, Gina Hinojosa, said currently permitted data center builds will continue, and that the moratorium on new ones applies only until a few fairly sensible conditions are in place. Moderate takes just don't bubble to the top.
LDJ thinks this result could even accelerate the labs, who may try to get more done before the next election cycle. Wolfram Ravenwolf pointed out that pausing AI in the US won't stop it anywhere else, and that even today's models have years of medical breakthroughs and new algorithms left in them. Most of the world still uses AI as a smarter Google. That will change in the next year or two, and by the next election we'll be in a completely different place.
It's so over, we're so back
A last-minute addition to the newsletter, not something we got to on air: a new report from METR, the independent AI safety institute Anthropic let in, shows recursive self-improvement moving faster than folks thought, and many respected people in AI safety are updating their timelines. To me that is a much higher signal about what's really going on with AI than the markets or the politics.


























